‹ Earned Runs · Saturday, June 20, 2026
MIL @ ATL Earned Runs matchups · Saturday, June 20, 2026
MIL
Milwaukee Brewers
vs
4:10 PM EDT
ATL
Atlanta Braves
◆ Truist ParkElevation 1,001 ftCenter Field 400 ft
Kyle Harrison · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.7% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.9%
vs RHB10.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.2%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.8 BF
Expected batters faced21.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.5 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
ATL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Drake Baldwin (L)14.2%3.0 PA
2Ozzie Albies (R)10.3%3.0 PA
3Matt Olson (L)14.2%3.0 PA
4Dominic Smith (L)11.1%2.8 PA
5Mauricio Dubón (R)10.3%2.0 PA
6Austin Riley (R)10.5%2.0 PA
7Mike Yastrzemski (L)12.5%2.0 PA
8Eli White (R)11.6%2.0 PA
9Jorge Mateo (R)14.0%2.0 PA
Chris Sale · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate7.9% Runs / BF
vs LHB7.2%
vs RHB8.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.0%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.8 BF
Expected batters faced24.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.3 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
MIL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Christian Yelich (L)12.6%3.0 PA
2Jackson Chourio (R)14.8%3.0 PA
3Brice Turang (L)10.7%3.0 PA
4William Contreras (R)15.4%3.0 PA
5Garrett Mitchell (L)9.8%3.0 PA
6Andrew Vaughn (R)14.2%3.0 PA
7Blake Perkins (R)12.8%2.8 PA
8Cooper Pratt (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Joey Ortiz (R)9.8%2.0 PA