‹ Earned Runs · Sunday, June 21, 2026
WSH @ TB Earned Runs matchups · Sunday, June 21, 2026
WSH
Washington Nationals
vs
1:40 PM EDT
TB
Tampa Bay Rays
◆ Tropicana FieldElevation 15 ftCenter Field 404 ft
Andrew Alvarez · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate9.3% Runs / BF
vs LHB12.9%
vs RHB7.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.3%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload17.3 BF
Expected batters faced17.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.9 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
TB lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Yandy Díaz (R)13.1%2.0 PA
2Jonathan Aranda (L)10.0%2.0 PA
3Cedric Mullins (L)9.0%2.0 PA
4Junior Caminero (R)12.6%2.0 PA
5Richie Palacios (L)11.8%2.0 PA
6Chandler Simpson (L)10.0%2.0 PA
7Victor Mesa Jr. (L)11.4%2.0 PA
8Hunter Feduccia (L)9.4%2.0 PA
9Taylor Walls (R)10.0%1.3 PA
Nick Martinez · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate9.3% Runs / BF
vs LHB9.9%
vs RHB8.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.7%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.8 BF
Expected batters faced23.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.7 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
WSH lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1James Wood (L)18.6%3.0 PA
2Curtis Mead (R)12.0%3.0 PA
3Andrés Chaparro (R)10.6%3.0 PA
4CJ Abrams (L)15.1%3.0 PA
5Dylan Crews (R)11.7%3.0 PA
6Daylen Lile (L)13.9%2.8 PA
7Jacob Young (R)12.0%2.0 PA
8Nasim Nuñez (L)12.3%2.0 PA
9Keibert Ruiz (L)12.3%2.0 PA