MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Sunday, June 21, 2026

NYM @ PHI Earned Runs matchups · Sunday, June 21, 2026

NYM
NYM
New York Mets
vs
7:20 PM EDT
PHI
Philadelphia Phillies
PHI
Citizens Bank ParkElevation 20 ftCenter Field 401 ft

NYM David Peterson · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload20.4 BF

Expected batters faced20.4
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.4 ER

Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

PHI lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Trea Turner (R)14.7%3.0 PA
2Kyle Schwarber (L)13.5%3.0 PA
3Bryce Harper (L)11.2%2.4 PA
4Brandon Marsh (L)11.7%2.0 PA
5Alec Bohm (R)8.6%2.0 PA
6Bryson Stott (L)11.8%2.0 PA
7J.T. Realmuto (R)9.2%2.0 PA
8Gabriel Rincones Jr. (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Justin Crawford (L)16.2%2.0 PA

PHI Zack Wheeler · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.8 BF

Expected batters faced23.8
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.6 ER

Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

NYM lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Carson Benge (L)12.2%3.0 PA
2Bo Bichette (R)11.3%3.0 PA
3Juan Soto (L)13.5%3.0 PA
4Marcus Semien (R)10.5%3.0 PA
5Eric Wagaman (R)11.1%3.0 PA
6Francisco Alvarez (R)10.2%2.8 PA
7Mark Vientos (R)10.1%2.0 PA
8Luis Torrens (R)11.5%2.0 PA
9Zack Short (R)9.4%2.0 PA