MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Sunday, June 21, 2026

CIN @ NYY Earned Runs matchups · Sunday, June 21, 2026

CIN
CIN
Cincinnati Reds
vs
1:35 PM EDT
NYY
New York Yankees
NYY
Yankee StadiumElevation 55 ftCenter Field 408 ft

CIN Chase Burns · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate7.2% Runs / BF

vs LHB8.5%
vs RHB7.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.6%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.8 BF

Expected batters faced22.8
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.1 ER

Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

NYY lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Ben Rice (L)16.4%3.0 PA
2Amed Rosario (R)13.0%3.0 PA
3Paul Goldschmidt (R)11.6%3.0 PA
4Cody Bellinger (L)14.0%3.0 PA
5Jasson Domínguez (L)12.6%2.8 PA
6José Caballero (R)11.0%2.0 PA
7Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L)14.0%2.0 PA
8Anthony Volpe (R)12.3%2.0 PA
9Ali Sánchez (R)13.2%2.0 PA

NYY Elmer Rodríguez · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.0% Runs / BF

vs LHB7.7%
vs RHB12.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.0%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.2 BF

Expected batters faced22.2
From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.5 ER

Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

CIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Blake Dunn (R)11.3%3.0 PA
2JJ Bleday (L)14.2%3.0 PA
3Sal Stewart (R)12.2%3.0 PA
4Nathaniel Lowe (L)10.0%3.0 PA
5Spencer Steer (R)12.6%2.2 PA
6Noelvi Marte (R)10.0%2.0 PA
7Matt McLain (R)11.2%2.0 PA
8Jose Trevino (R)10.5%2.0 PA
9Edwin Arroyo (L)11.7%2.0 PA