‹ Earned Runs · Sunday, June 21, 2026
PIT @ COL Earned Runs matchups · Sunday, June 21, 2026
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
vs
3:10 PM EDT
COL
Colorado Rockies
◆ Coors FieldElevation 5,190 ftCenter Field 415 ft
Jared Jones · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate12.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB16.8%
vs RHB7.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.5%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.0 BF
Expected batters faced21.0
From recent starts4
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection3.5 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
COL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jake McCarthy (L)12.6%3.0 PA
2Willi Castro (L)13.4%3.0 PA
3TJ Rumfield (L)13.0%3.0 PA
4Hunter Goodman (R)14.5%2.0 PA
5Troy Johnston (L)12.8%2.0 PA
6Cole Carrigg (L)11.7%2.0 PA
7Edouard Julien (L)11.2%2.0 PA
8Ezequiel Tovar (R)10.6%2.0 PA
9Sterlin Thompson (L)11.7%2.0 PA
Michael Lorenzen · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate12.4% Runs / BF
vs LHB13.4%
vs RHB11.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.6%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.5 BF
Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection3.1 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
PIT lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Spencer Horwitz (L)12.2%3.0 PA
2Brandon Lowe (L)14.3%3.0 PA
3Bryan Reynolds (L)14.2%3.0 PA
4Ryan O'Hearn (L)11.2%3.0 PA
5Nick Gonzales (R)11.7%2.5 PA
6Tyler Callihan (L)12.8%2.0 PA
7Jake Mangum (L)10.4%2.0 PA
8Jared Triolo (R)10.2%2.0 PA
9Henry Davis (R)10.6%2.0 PA