‹ Earned Runs · Sunday, June 21, 2026
MIL @ ATL Earned Runs matchups · Sunday, June 21, 2026
MIL
Milwaukee Brewers
vs
1:35 PM EDT
ATL
Atlanta Braves
◆ Truist ParkElevation 1,001 ftCenter Field 400 ft
Robert Gasser · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate11.7% Runs / BF
vs LHB12.4%
vs RHB10.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.3%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.0 BF
Expected batters faced22.0
From recent starts5
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.7 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
ATL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Mauricio Dubón (R)10.3%3.0 PA
2Drake Baldwin (L)14.2%3.0 PA
3Matt Olson (L)14.2%3.0 PA
4Ozzie Albies (R)10.3%3.0 PA
5Michael Harris II (L)11.6%2.0 PA
6Austin Riley (R)10.5%2.0 PA
7Eli White (R)11.6%2.0 PA
8Joey Bart (R)12.7%2.0 PA
9Jorge Mateo (R)14.0%2.0 PA
Bryce Elder · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate11.3% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.7%
vs RHB11.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.7%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.9 BF
Expected batters faced23.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection3.2 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
MIL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jackson Chourio (R)14.6%3.0 PA
2Brice Turang (L)16.4%3.0 PA
3William Contreras (R)12.7%3.0 PA
4Gary Sánchez (R)14.4%3.0 PA
5Andrew Vaughn (R)9.4%3.0 PA
6Blake Perkins (L)12.9%2.9 PA
7Garrett Mitchell (L)15.2%2.0 PA
8Cooper Pratt (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Joey Ortiz (R)12.1%2.0 PA