‹ Earned Runs · Sunday, June 21, 2026
MIN @ AZ Earned Runs matchups · Sunday, June 21, 2026
MIN
Minnesota Twins
vs
3:15 PM EDT
AZ
Arizona Diamondbacks
◆ Chase FieldElevation 1,086 ftCenter Field 407 ft
Mike Paredes · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload18.9 BF
Expected batters faced18.9
From recent starts4
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.1 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
AZ lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Ketel Marte (L)10.8%2.9 PA
2Geraldo Perdomo (L)11.7%2.0 PA
3Corbin Carroll (L)15.4%2.0 PA
4Gabriel Moreno (R)11.2%2.0 PA
5Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (R)9.9%2.0 PA
6Nolan Arenado (R)9.8%2.0 PA
7Ildemaro Vargas (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Jordan Lawlar (R)12.1%2.0 PA
9LuJames Groover (R)11.7%2.0 PA
Jose Cabrera · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.0 BF
Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts0
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.8 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
MIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Trevor Larnach (L)14.8%3.0 PA
2Byron Buxton (R)16.9%3.0 PA
3Kody Clemens (L)15.1%3.0 PA
4Josh Bell (L)12.9%3.0 PA
5Royce Lewis (R)9.7%3.0 PA
6Brooks Lee (L)11.8%2.0 PA
7Victor Caratini (L)9.5%2.0 PA
8Tristan Gray (L)9.2%2.0 PA
9Luke Keaschall (R)12.6%2.0 PA