MatchWiz Plays
Hits Allowed · Thursday, June 11, 2026

LAD @ PIT Hits Allowed matchups · Thursday, June 11, 2026

LAD
LAD
Los Angeles Dodgers
86
Final
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
PIT
PNC ParkElevation 780 ftCenter Field 399 ft 72°F OvercastWind 11 mph, Out To LF

LAD Justin Wrobleski · LHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.2% Hits / BF

vs LHB21.6%
vs RHB20.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.5%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload25.5 BF

Expected batters faced25.5
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.2 H

Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

PIT lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Nick Gonzales (R)22.1%3.0 PA
2Brandon Lowe (L)18.5%3.0 PA
3Bryan Reynolds (R)25.2%3.0 PA
4Marcell Ozuna (R)22.3%3.0 PA
5Spencer Horwitz (L)21.8%3.0 PA
6Esmerlyn Valdez (R)22.5%3.0 PA
7Jake Mangum (R)23.9%3.0 PA
8Rafael Flores Jr. (R)20.8%2.5 PA
9Jared Triolo (R)24.2%2.0 PA

PIT Mitch Keller · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate24.6% Hits / BF

vs LHB24.8%
vs RHB22.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.6%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.5 BF

Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.9 H

Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

LAD lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Shohei Ohtani (L)24.6%3.0 PA
2Andy Pages (R)23.7%3.0 PA
3Freddie Freeman (L)27.6%3.0 PA
4Mookie Betts (R)19.3%3.0 PA
5Max Muncy (L)24.3%3.0 PA
6Kyle Tucker (L)21.0%2.5 PA
7Ryan Ward (L)24.1%2.0 PA
8Dalton Rushing (L)23.8%2.0 PA
9Alex Freeland (L)22.0%2.0 PA