MatchWiz Plays
Hits Allowed · Thursday, June 11, 2026

AZ @ MIA Hits Allowed matchups · Thursday, June 11, 2026

AZ
AZ
Arizona Diamondbacks
02
Final
MIA
Miami Marlins
MIA
loanDepot parkElevation 10 ftCenter Field 407 ft 72°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None

AZ Merrill Kelly · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.8% Hits / BF

vs LHB23.7%
vs RHB23.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.9%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload25.3 BF

Expected batters faced25.3
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection6.0 H

Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

MIA lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Liam Hicks (L)23.4%3.0 PA
2Otto Lopez (R)27.2%3.0 PA
3Kyle Stowers (L)22.0%3.0 PA
4Xavier Edwards (L)25.0%3.0 PA
5Javier Sanoja (R)22.6%3.0 PA
6Owen Caissie (L)20.6%3.0 PA
7Jakob Marsee (L)20.7%3.0 PA
8Joe Mack (L)22.5%2.3 PA
9Esteury Ruiz (R)22.1%2.0 PA

MIA Tyler Phillips · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.5% Hits / BF

vs LHB21.2%
vs RHB23.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)6.8%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload16.2 BF

Expected batters faced16.2
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.4 H

Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

AZ lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Ketel Marte (L)20.4%2.0 PA
2Corbin Carroll (L)20.9%2.0 PA
3Gabriel Moreno (R)24.0%2.0 PA
4Nolan Arenado (R)22.4%2.0 PA
5Geraldo Perdomo (L)23.7%2.0 PA
6LuJames Groover (R)22.5%2.0 PA
7Tommy Troy (R)18.9%2.0 PA
8Aramis Garcia (R)18.8%1.2 PA
9Jorge Barrosa (L)17.8%1.0 PA