‹ Hits Allowed · Friday, June 12, 2026
ATL @ NYM Hits Allowed matchups · Friday, June 12, 2026
ATL
Atlanta Braves
5–7
Final
NYM
New York Mets
◆ Citi FieldElevation 10 ftCenter Field 408 ft☀ 76°F Partly CloudyWind 5 mph, Out To RF
Spencer Strider · RHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.7% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.8%
vs RHB21.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.9%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.7 BF
Expected batters faced21.7
From recent starts7
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.7 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
NYM lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Carson Benge (L)23.1%3.0 PA
2Bo Bichette (R)22.5%3.0 PA
3Juan Soto (L)21.3%3.0 PA
4Jared Young (L)24.1%2.7 PA
5A.J. Ewing (L)24.8%2.0 PA
6Marcus Semien (R)21.2%2.0 PA
7Brett Baty (L)21.9%2.0 PA
8MJ Melendez (L)19.3%2.0 PA
9Luis Torrens (R)21.0%2.0 PA
Nolan McLean · RHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate17.9% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.7%
vs RHB17.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.1 BF
Expected batters faced23.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.5 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
ATL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Mauricio Dubón (R)25.0%3.0 PA
2Michael Harris II (L)25.9%3.0 PA
3Matt Olson (L)24.6%3.0 PA
4Ozzie Albies (L)21.9%3.0 PA
5Dominic Smith (L)24.4%3.0 PA
6Austin Riley (R)19.7%2.1 PA
7Mike Yastrzemski (L)21.8%2.0 PA
8Ha-Seong Kim (R)19.1%2.0 PA
9Austin Wynns (R)19.2%2.0 PA