Best MLB hits allowed matchups — Friday, June 12, 2026
Every starting pitcher on the Friday, June 12, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow. His hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. Results show how each call played out.
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload10.5 BF
Expected batters faced10.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.6 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Christian Yelich (L)22.7%2.0
2. Jackson Chourio (R)29.7%1.4
3. Brice Turang (L)20.0%1.0
4. William Contreras (R)23.7%1.0
5. Jake Bauers (L)21.8%1.0
6. Andrew Vaughn (R)30.4%1.0
7. Garrett Mitchell (L)20.8%1.0
8. David Hamilton (L)21.4%1.0
9. Joey Ortiz (R)20.8%1.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.1%
vs RHB20.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)7.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload14.5 BF
Expected batters faced14.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection3.0 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.4% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Jeremy Peña (R)25.2%2.0
2. Yordan Alvarez (L)24.8%2.0
3. Christian Walker (R)23.1%2.0
4. Isaac Paredes (R)20.9%2.0
5. Jose Altuve (R)21.3%2.0
6. Joey Loperfido (L)22.5%1.4
7. Cam Smith (R)20.9%1.0
8. Taylor Trammell (L)22.5%1.0
9. Christian Vázquez (R)20.4%1.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB24.6%
vs RHB20.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload17.1 BF
Expected batters faced17.1
From recent starts4
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection3.7 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.4% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Yandy Díaz (R)26.1%2.0
2. Jonathan Aranda (L)21.7%2.0
3. Junior Caminero (R)22.7%2.0
4. Ryan Vilade (R)24.2%2.0
5. Austin Slater (R)20.4%2.0
6. Ben Williamson (R)23.5%2.0
7. Chandler Simpson (L)21.5%2.0
8. Nick Fortes (R)21.9%2.0
9. Taylor Walls (R)19.8%1.1
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate18.7% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.9%
vs RHB19.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload19.9 BF
Expected batters faced19.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection3.8 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.8% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Carter Jensen (L)19.2%3.0
2. Bobby Witt Jr. (R)23.0%2.9
3. Vinnie Pasquantino (L)24.1%2.0
4. Maikel Garcia (R)22.3%2.0
5. Jac Caglianone (L)23.5%2.0
6. Salvador Perez (R)17.7%2.0
7. Michael Massey (L)23.3%2.0
8. Kameron Misner (L)22.6%2.0
9. Isaac Collins (L)20.1%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.7%
vs RHB21.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload16.3 BF
Expected batters faced16.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection3.8 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness24.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Luis Arraez (L)27.2%2.0
2. Bryce Eldridge (L)23.7%2.0
3. Casey Schmitt (R)22.3%2.0
4. Rafael Devers (L)22.8%2.0
5. Jung Hoo Lee (L)32.9%2.0
6. Willy Adames (R)21.9%2.0
7. Matt Chapman (R)24.8%2.0
8. Drew Gilbert (L)23.4%1.3
9. Daniel Susac (R)22.6%1.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate17.7% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.1%
vs RHB19.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.0 BF
Expected batters faced21.0
From recent starts5
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.0 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.2% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. James Wood (L)20.9%3.0
2. Luis García Jr. (L)24.6%3.0
3. Curtis Mead (R)21.4%3.0
4. CJ Abrams (L)24.1%2.0
5. Dylan Crews (R)19.1%2.0
6. Daylen Lile (L)24.3%2.0
7. Jacob Young (R)22.2%2.0
8. Jorbit Vivas (L)20.1%2.0
9. Keibert Ruiz (L)22.9%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate16.1% Hits / BF
vs LHB15.8%
vs RHB18.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.6 BF
Expected batters faced23.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.0 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Kyle Schwarber (L)19.9%3.0
2. Trea Turner (R)23.7%3.0
3. Bryce Harper (L)22.8%3.0
4. Brandon Marsh (L)27.5%3.0
5. Alec Bohm (R)22.6%3.0
6. Bryson Stott (L)22.1%2.6
7. Gabriel Rincones Jr. (L)22.5%2.0
8. J.T. Realmuto (R)19.1%2.0
9. Justin Crawford (L)22.3%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.1% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.1%
vs RHB19.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.2%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.0 BF
Expected batters faced22.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.3 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Trent Grisham (L)21.7%3.0
2. Ben Rice (L)24.5%3.0
3. Paul Goldschmidt (R)21.9%3.0
4. Cody Bellinger (L)22.9%3.0
5. Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L)19.1%2.0
6. Spencer Jones (L)22.5%2.0
7. José Caballero (R)23.1%2.0
8. Ryan McMahon (L)22.0%2.0
9. J.C. Escarra (L)16.2%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate17.9% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.7%
vs RHB17.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.1 BF
Expected batters faced23.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.5 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.4% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Mauricio Dubón (R)25.0%3.0
2. Michael Harris II (L)25.9%3.0
3. Matt Olson (L)24.6%3.0
4. Ozzie Albies (L)21.9%3.0
5. Dominic Smith (L)24.4%3.0
6. Austin Riley (R)19.7%2.1
7. Mike Yastrzemski (L)21.8%2.0
8. Ha-Seong Kim (R)19.1%2.0
9. Austin Wynns (R)19.2%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB24.0%
vs RHB20.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload20.8 BF
Expected batters faced20.8
From recent starts7
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.5 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.4% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Taylor Ward (R)21.5%3.0
2. Gunnar Henderson (L)21.2%3.0
3. Adley Rutschman (L)22.9%2.8
4. Pete Alonso (R)23.2%2.0
5. Samuel Basallo (L)21.6%2.0
6. Coby Mayo (R)16.8%2.0
7. Colton Cowser (L)22.2%2.0
8. Tyler O'Neill (R)20.9%2.0
9. Jackson Holliday (L)22.4%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.0% Hits / BF
vs LHB18.9%
vs RHB22.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.5 BF
Expected batters faced21.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.7 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.2% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Zach Neto (R)21.8%3.0
2. Mike Trout (R)20.2%3.0
3. Jo Adell (R)25.3%3.0
4. Oswald Peraza (R)22.1%2.5
5. Trey Mancini (R)24.0%2.0
6. Denzer Guzman (R)21.5%2.0
7. Nick Madrigal (R)19.4%2.0
8. Logan O'Hoppe (R)21.9%2.0
9. Jose Siri (R)23.7%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.7% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.8%
vs RHB21.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.9%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.7 BF
Expected batters faced21.7
From recent starts7
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.7 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.1% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Carson Benge (L)23.1%3.0
2. Bo Bichette (R)22.5%3.0
3. Juan Soto (L)21.3%3.0
4. Jared Young (L)24.1%2.7
5. A.J. Ewing (L)24.8%2.0
6. Marcus Semien (R)21.2%2.0
7. Brett Baty (L)21.9%2.0
8. MJ Melendez (L)19.3%2.0
9. Luis Torrens (R)21.0%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.4%
vs RHB20.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.9%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.0 BF
Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.7 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Sam Antonacci (L)27.0%3.0
2. Miguel Vargas (R)19.2%3.0
3. Andrew Benintendi (L)22.6%3.0
4. Colson Montgomery (L)21.1%3.0
5. Braden Montgomery (L)22.5%3.0
6. Chase Meidroth (R)22.1%2.0
7. Jacob Gonzalez (L)22.5%2.0
8. Tristan Peters (L)28.4%2.0
9. Drew Romo (L)17.4%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.0%
vs RHB22.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.8 BF
Expected batters faced21.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.7 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.1% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Travis Bazzana (L)23.4%3.0
2. José Ramírez (L)21.3%3.0
3. Chase DeLauter (L)19.6%3.0
4. Kyle Manzardo (L)20.8%2.8
5. Rhys Hoskins (R)19.3%2.0
6. Angel Martínez (L)21.3%2.0
7. Steven Kwan (L)22.0%2.0
8. Patrick Bailey (L)19.6%2.0
9. Brayan Rocchio (L)22.2%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.0% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.5%
vs RHB19.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.7 BF
Expected batters faced23.7
From recent starts3
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.8 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.8% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Willi Castro (R)25.0%3.0
2. Kyle Karros (R)22.8%3.0
3. TJ Rumfield (L)21.9%3.0
4. Hunter Goodman (R)21.8%3.0
5. Troy Johnston (L)21.8%3.0
6. Cole Carrigg (R)22.5%2.7
7. Sterlin Thompson (L)22.5%2.0
8. Braxton Fulford (R)20.7%2.0
9. Chad Stevens (R)17.3%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.2% Hits / BF
vs LHB26.7%
vs RHB19.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.0 BF
Expected batters faced24.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.9 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.2% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. George Springer (R)20.0%3.0
2. Ernie Clement (R)24.8%3.0
3. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)24.8%3.0
4. Alejandro Kirk (R)21.4%3.0
5. Kazuma Okamoto (R)22.5%3.0
6. Nathan Lukes (L)20.3%3.0
7. Myles Straw (R)22.8%2.0
8. Davis Schneider (R)15.5%2.0
9. Andrés Giménez (L)18.8%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.2% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.5%
vs RHB22.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.5 BF
Expected batters faced21.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.9 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.4% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Joc Pederson (L)19.6%3.0
2. Josh Jung (R)25.8%3.0
3. Brandon Nimmo (L)22.8%3.0
4. Wyatt Langford (R)21.2%2.5
5. Ezequiel Duran (R)25.9%2.0
6. Evan Carter (L)19.4%2.0
7. Jake Burger (R)22.1%2.0
8. Kyle Higashioka (R)21.3%2.0
9. Nicky Lopez (L)23.0%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.1%
vs RHB21.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload20.9 BF
Expected batters faced20.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.9 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Cole Young (L)23.9%3.0
2. Julio Rodríguez (R)23.1%3.0
3. Josh Naylor (L)21.5%2.9
4. Randy Arozarena (R)24.0%2.0
5. Luke Raley (L)21.9%2.0
6. Dominic Canzone (L)26.7%2.0
7. Miles Mastrobuoni (L)21.7%2.0
8. Jhonny Pereda (R)25.8%2.0
9. Colt Emerson (L)23.3%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.7%
vs RHB22.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.3 BF
Expected batters faced22.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.9 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. JJ Wetherholt (L)23.0%3.0
2. Iván Herrera (R)21.1%3.0
3. Alec Burleson (L)27.9%3.0
4. Jordan Walker (R)24.8%3.0
5. Lars Nootbaar (L)21.6%2.3
6. Masyn Winn (R)20.4%2.0
7. Jimmy Crooks (L)19.4%2.0
8. Blaze Jordan (R)22.5%2.0
9. Nathan Church (L)23.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.9% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.3%
vs RHB21.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.9 BF
Expected batters faced22.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.0 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)24.6%3.0
2. Alex Bregman (R)22.0%3.0
3. Michael Busch (L)22.7%3.0
4. Ian Happ (L)24.1%3.0
5. Seiya Suzuki (R)23.9%2.9
6. Nico Hoerner (R)20.9%2.0
7. Moisés Ballesteros (L)22.7%2.0
8. Carson Kelly (R)21.8%2.0
9. Dansby Swanson (R)17.8%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.8%
vs RHB24.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)7.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.5 BF
Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.1 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.8% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Alex Call (R)24.8%3.0
2. Andy Pages (R)23.3%3.0
3. Freddie Freeman (L)20.6%3.0
4. Mookie Betts (R)21.6%3.0
5. Kyle Tucker (L)21.5%2.5
6. Miguel Rojas (R)24.1%2.0
7. Max Muncy (L)21.8%2.0
8. Santiago Espinal (R)21.2%2.0
9. Chuckie Robinson (R)17.4%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.2% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.5%
vs RHB20.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.9 BF
Expected batters faced24.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.1 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)25.2%3.0
2. Jackson Merrill (L)20.3%3.0
3. Manny Machado (R)18.3%3.0
4. Xander Bogaerts (R)20.2%3.0
5. Gavin Sheets (L)19.8%3.0
6. Samad Taylor (R)23.6%3.0
7. Ty France (R)20.9%2.9
8. Will Wagner (L)25.3%2.0
9. Freddy Fermin (R)18.1%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.1% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.6%
vs RHB21.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.3 BF
Expected batters faced24.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.2 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Mickey Gasper (L)23.4%3.0
2. Ceddanne Rafaela (R)24.3%3.0
3. Wilyer Abreu (L)20.8%3.0
4. Willson Contreras (R)23.1%3.0
5. Jarren Duran (L)20.6%3.0
6. Caleb Durbin (R)22.1%3.0
7. Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)26.1%2.3
8. Marcelo Mayer (L)20.3%2.0
9. Connor Wong (R)23.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.1% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.3%
vs RHB22.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.5 BF
Expected batters faced24.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.2 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Dane Myers (R)24.2%3.0
2. JJ Bleday (L)21.7%3.0
3. Sal Stewart (R)20.5%3.0
4. Spencer Steer (R)23.6%3.0
5. Eugenio Suárez (R)20.3%3.0
6. Blake Dunn (R)22.5%3.0
7. Noelvi Marte (R)19.4%2.5
8. Tyler Stephenson (R)18.8%2.0
9. Matt McLain (R)21.2%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.3%
vs RHB22.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.2 BF
Expected batters faced23.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.2 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Kevin McGonigle (L)22.9%3.0
2. Gleyber Torres (R)26.3%3.0
3. Riley Greene (L)26.2%3.0
4. Dillon Dingler (R)26.1%3.0
5. Kerry Carpenter (L)23.3%3.0
6. Colt Keith (L)22.2%2.2
7. Spencer Torkelson (R)19.4%2.0
8. Zach McKinstry (L)21.3%2.0
9. James Outman (L)18.8%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate24.0% Hits / BF
vs LHB26.7%
vs RHB21.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.5%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.8 BF
Expected batters faced23.8
From recent starts6
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.6 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Ketel Marte (R)23.9%3.0
2. Corbin Carroll (L)27.1%3.0
3. Gabriel Moreno (R)22.4%3.0
4. Nolan Arenado (R)21.6%3.0
5. Ildemaro Vargas (R)25.3%3.0
6. Geraldo Perdomo (R)21.4%2.8
7. Jordan Lawlar (R)22.8%2.0
8. LuJames Groover (R)22.5%2.0
9. Ryan Waldschmidt (R)25.8%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.5%
vs RHB22.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.0 BF
Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts0
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.6 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness24.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Shea Langeliers (R)28.8%3.0
2. Nick Kurtz (L)22.9%3.0
3. Colby Thomas (R)22.9%3.0
4. Tyler Soderstrom (L)24.3%3.0
5. Jacob Wilson (R)25.1%3.0
6. Jonah Heim (R)25.9%2.0
7. Zack Gelof (R)23.1%2.0
8. Max Muncy (R)20.7%2.0
9. Henry Bolte (R)25.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.1% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.6%
vs RHB24.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload25.0 BF
Expected batters faced25.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.7 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.8% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Liam Hicks (L)23.8%3.0
2. Otto Lopez (R)26.6%3.0
3. Kyle Stowers (L)21.4%3.0
4. Xavier Edwards (L)24.2%3.0
5. Heriberto Hernández (R)23.3%3.0
6. Owen Caissie (L)20.0%3.0
7. Jakob Marsee (L)21.3%3.0
8. Joe Mack (L)22.5%2.0
9. Javier Sanoja (R)22.2%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate24.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB26.9%
vs RHB21.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.9 BF
Expected batters faced22.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.8 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Trevor Larnach (L)23.0%3.0
2. Byron Buxton (R)22.4%3.0
3. Kody Clemens (L)23.6%3.0
4. Josh Bell (L)23.3%3.0
5. Royce Lewis (R)20.7%2.9
6. Victor Caratini (L)22.1%2.0
7. Brooks Lee (L)21.9%2.0
8. Tristan Gray (L)24.0%2.0
9. Luke Keaschall (R)23.0%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.9%
vs RHB23.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.2%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload25.2 BF
Expected batters faced25.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection6.0 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Spencer Horwitz (L)24.4%3.0
2. Brandon Lowe (L)22.9%3.0
3. Bryan Reynolds (L)20.5%3.0
4. Ryan O'Hearn (L)24.9%3.0
5. Nick Gonzales (R)27.5%3.0
6. Tyler Callihan (L)23.0%3.0
7. Endy Rodríguez (L)19.9%3.0
8. Jake Mangum (L)27.6%2.2
9. Jared Triolo (R)18.6%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
30 with a HLive count — updates as games play
1
Shane McClanahanP
TB@LAA· proj #11
8HFinal
T1
Jack LeiterP
TEX@BOS· proj #23
8HFinal
T1
Kyle LeahyP
STL@MIN· proj #29
8HFinal
4
Roki SasakiP
LAD@CWS· proj #13
7HFinal
5
Griffin CanningP
SD@BAL· proj #10
6HFinal
T5
Spencer StriderP
ATL@NYM· proj #12
6HFinal
T5
Joe RyanP
MINvsSTL· proj #19
6HFinal
T5
Shane BazP
BALvsSD· proj #22
6HFinal
9
Luinder AvilaP
KCvsHOU· proj #2
5HFinal
T9
Gage JumpP
ATHvsCOL· proj #15
5HFinal
T9
Ryan WeathersP
NYY@TOR· proj #16
5HFinal
T9
Sonny GrayP
BOSvsTEX· proj #17
5HFinal
T9
Nick LodoloP
CINvsAZ· proj #26
5HFinal
T9
Braxton AshcraftP
PITvsMIA· proj #28
5HFinal
T9
Sandy AlcantaraP
MIA@PIT· proj #30
5HFinal
16
Tatsuya ImaiP
HOU@KC· proj #4
4HFinal
T16
Bryce MillerP
SEA@WSH· proj #6
4HFinal
T16
Trey YesavageP
TORvsNYY· proj #8
4HFinal
T16
Zack LittellP
WSHvsSEA· proj #18
4HFinal
T16
Landen RouppP
SFvsCHC· proj #20
4HFinal
T16
Anthony KayP
CWSvsLAD· proj #21
4HFinal
22
Sam AldegheriP
LAAvsTB· proj #3
3HFinal
T22
Javier AssadP
CHC@SF· proj #5
3HFinal
T22
Nolan McLeanP
NYMvsATL· proj #9
3HFinal
T22
Jack FlahertyP
DET@CLE· proj #14
3HFinal
26
Eduardo RodriguezP
AZ@CIN· proj #24
2HFinal
T26
Tanner BibeeP
CLEvsDET· proj #25
2HFinal
T26
Sean SullivanP
COL@ATH· proj #27
2HFinal
29
Tanner BanksP
PHI@MIL· proj #1
1HFinal
T29
Jacob MisiorowskiP
MILvsPHI· proj #7
1HFinal
Grades post here as games go final — how often our top-ranked matchups hit, vs the season.
Best MLB Hits Allowed Matchups — Friday, June 12, 2026
Tanner Banks (PHI) is the top hits allowed spot on the Friday, June 12, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 2.6 H, with Luinder Avila (KC) right behind. Every starter is ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. It's the read DFS and pitcher-prop players make before lock.
Top spot: Tanner Banks
Tanner Banks (PHI) tops the Friday, June 12, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 2.6 H vs MIL. His hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes.
The rest of the top of the board
Luinder Avila (KC) (89) — about 3.0 H vs HOU.
Sam Aldegheri (LAA) (70) — about 3.7 H vs TB.
Tatsuya Imai (HOU) (67) — about 3.8 H vs KC.
Javier Assad (CHC) (66) — about 3.8 H vs SF.
Bryce Miller (SEA) (61) — about 4.0 H vs WSH.
How it played out
The top 10 starts averaged 3.4 H. Tanner Banks finished with 1. Every projection is graded against the box score.
How to read the hits allowed board
Each starter's score (0–100) ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. We project a hits allowed count for the start and grade it against what actually happened.
Which pitcher has the best hits allowed matchup today (Friday, June 12, 2026)?
Tanner Banks (PHI) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 2.6 H against MIL.
What are the best pitcher hits allowed props today?
The top projected starts on Friday, June 12, 2026: Tanner Banks (~2.6 H), Luinder Avila (~3.0 H), Sam Aldegheri (~3.7 H), Tatsuya Imai (~3.8 H), Javier Assad (~3.8 H). The full board ranks every starter.
How is the hits allowed score calculated?
Ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected hits allowed count alongside, and graded against the box score.
Can I use this for pitcher props or DFS?
Yes — the board surfaces the best hits allowed spots and projects a number. Where there's a posted line we show the over/under and which side our projection leans. We show the data and grade it, not picks.
