‹ Hits Allowed · Friday, June 12, 2026
SD @ BAL Hits Allowed matchups · Friday, June 12, 2026
SD
San Diego Padres
3–7
Final
BAL
Baltimore Orioles
◆ Oriole Park at Camden YardsElevation 33 ftCenter Field 410 ft☀ 89°F Partly CloudyWind 9 mph, Out To RF
Griffin Canning · RHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB24.0%
vs RHB20.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload20.8 BF
Expected batters faced20.8
From recent starts7
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.5 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
BAL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Taylor Ward (R)21.5%3.0 PA
2Gunnar Henderson (L)21.2%3.0 PA
3Adley Rutschman (L)22.9%2.8 PA
4Pete Alonso (R)23.2%2.0 PA
5Samuel Basallo (L)21.6%2.0 PA
6Coby Mayo (R)16.8%2.0 PA
7Colton Cowser (L)22.2%2.0 PA
8Tyler O'Neill (R)20.9%2.0 PA
9Jackson Holliday (L)22.4%2.0 PA
Shane Baz · RHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.2% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.5%
vs RHB20.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.9 BF
Expected batters faced24.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.1 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
SD lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)25.2%3.0 PA
2Jackson Merrill (L)20.3%3.0 PA
3Manny Machado (R)18.3%3.0 PA
4Xander Bogaerts (R)20.2%3.0 PA
5Gavin Sheets (L)19.8%3.0 PA
6Samad Taylor (R)23.6%3.0 PA
7Ty France (R)20.9%2.9 PA
8Will Wagner (L)25.3%2.0 PA
9Freddy Fermin (R)18.1%2.0 PA