MatchWiz Plays
Hits Allowed · Saturday, June 13, 2026

MIA @ PIT Hits Allowed matchups · Saturday, June 13, 2026

MIA
MIA
Miami Marlins
23
Final
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
PIT
PNC ParkElevation 780 ftCenter Field 399 ft 86°F SunnyWind 9 mph, L To R

MIA Lake Bachar · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate18.0% Hits / BF

vs LHB18.7%
vs RHB19.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.0%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload11.7 BF

Expected batters faced11.7
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.3 H

Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

PIT lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Spencer Horwitz (L)24.4%2.0 PA
2Brandon Lowe (L)22.9%2.0 PA
3Bryan Reynolds (L)20.5%1.7 PA
4Ryan O'Hearn (L)24.9%1.0 PA
5Nick Gonzales (R)27.5%1.0 PA
6Endy Rodríguez (L)19.9%1.0 PA
7Tyler Callihan (L)23.0%1.0 PA
8Jake Mangum (L)27.6%1.0 PA
9Jared Triolo (R)18.6%1.0 PA

PIT Bubba Chandler · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.1% Hits / BF

vs LHB19.4%
vs RHB19.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.2%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.8 BF

Expected batters faced21.8
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.4 H

Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

MIA lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Liam Hicks (L)23.8%3.0 PA
2Otto Lopez (R)26.6%3.0 PA
3Xavier Edwards (L)24.2%3.0 PA
4Kyle Stowers (L)21.4%2.8 PA
5Heriberto Hernández (R)23.3%2.0 PA
6Leo Jiménez (R)22.5%2.0 PA
7Jakob Marsee (L)21.3%2.0 PA
8Javier Sanoja (R)22.2%2.0 PA
9Connor Norby (R)21.7%2.0 PA