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Hits Allowed · Sunday, June 14, 2026

ATL @ NYM Hits Allowed matchups · Sunday, June 14, 2026

ATL
ATL
Atlanta Braves
18
Final
NYM
New York Mets
NYM
Citi FieldElevation 10 ftCenter Field 408 ft 87°F Partly CloudyWind 12 mph, Out To LF

ATL Bryce Elder · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.0% Hits / BF

vs LHB18.0%
vs RHB24.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.8%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.1 BF

Expected batters faced24.1
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.8 H

Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

NYM lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Carson Benge (L)22.7%3.0 PA
2Bo Bichette (R)22.9%3.0 PA
3Juan Soto (L)22.8%3.0 PA
4Jared Young (L)23.3%3.0 PA
5A.J. Ewing (L)23.3%3.0 PA
6Marcus Semien (R)21.1%3.0 PA
7Brett Baty (L)21.3%2.1 PA
8MJ Melendez (L)19.1%2.0 PA
9Luis Torrens (R)22.5%2.0 PA

NYM Freddy Peralta · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.4% Hits / BF

vs LHB22.4%
vs RHB20.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.7%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.3 BF

Expected batters faced24.3
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.3 H

Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

ATL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Michael Harris II (L)25.5%3.0 PA
2Mauricio Dubón (R)24.9%3.0 PA
3Matt Olson (L)23.3%3.0 PA
4Ozzie Albies (L)22.1%3.0 PA
5Dominic Smith (L)23.5%3.0 PA
6Austin Riley (R)19.6%3.0 PA
7Eli White (R)23.0%2.3 PA
8Mike Yastrzemski (L)21.4%2.0 PA
9Sandy León (L)17.8%2.0 PA