Best MLB hits allowed matchups — Sunday, June 14, 2026
Every starting pitcher on the Sunday, June 14, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow. His hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. Results show how each call played out.
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload9.0 BF
Expected batters faced9.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.8 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Cole Young (L)22.2%1.0
2. Julio Rodríguez (R)22.7%1.0
3. Josh Naylor (L)25.3%1.0
4. Luke Raley (L)19.4%1.0
5. Dominic Canzone (L)21.8%1.0
6. Victor Robles (R)23.1%1.0
7. Miles Mastrobuoni (L)24.5%1.0
8. Jhonny Pereda (R)22.4%1.0
9. Colt Emerson (L)19.3%1.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.9%
vs RHB19.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.1%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload9.3 BF
Expected batters faced9.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.0 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Shohei Ohtani (L)25.9%1.3
2. Andy Pages (R)22.4%1.0
3. Freddie Freeman (L)19.9%1.0
4. Mookie Betts (R)21.5%1.0
5. Max Muncy (L)22.3%1.0
6. Kyle Tucker (L)20.2%1.0
7. Ryan Ward (L)21.6%1.0
8. Dalton Rushing (L)23.5%1.0
9. Alex Freeland (R)19.9%1.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.0%
vs RHB22.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload9.8 BF
Expected batters faced9.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.1 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.1% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Matt Chapman (R)22.3%1.8
2. Luis Arraez (L)25.7%1.0
3. Bryce Eldridge (L)26.7%1.0
4. Rafael Devers (L)18.6%1.0
5. Casey Schmitt (R)26.5%1.0
6. Willy Adames (R)19.3%1.0
7. Jung Hoo Lee (L)25.0%1.0
8. Daniel Susac (R)26.8%1.0
9. Drew Gilbert (L)17.4%1.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB18.9%
vs RHB27.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload9.7 BF
Expected batters faced9.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.4 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Zach Neto (R)20.4%1.7
2. Mike Trout (R)18.5%1.0
3. Wade Meckler (L)26.5%1.0
4. Jo Adell (R)21.4%1.0
5. Nolan Schanuel (L)23.6%1.0
6. Denzer Guzman (R)23.4%1.0
7. Nick Madrigal (R)26.5%1.0
8. Donovan Walton (L)25.0%1.0
9. Logan Porter (R)20.8%1.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.1%
vs RHB22.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.0 BF
Expected batters faced21.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.5 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Sam Antonacci (L)25.8%3.0
2. Miguel Vargas (R)19.9%3.0
3. Andrew Benintendi (L)22.0%3.0
4. Colson Montgomery (L)19.8%2.0
5. Braden Montgomery (L)22.5%2.0
6. Chase Meidroth (R)23.3%2.0
7. Jacob Gonzalez (L)22.5%2.0
8. Tristan Peters (L)27.2%2.0
9. Drew Romo (L)17.6%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.4%
vs RHB21.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.3 BF
Expected batters faced23.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.5 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.0% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. James Wood (L)21.9%3.0
2. Luis García Jr. (L)24.2%3.0
3. Dylan Crews (R)19.5%3.0
4. CJ Abrams (L)24.6%3.0
5. Keibert Ruiz (L)21.7%3.0
6. Daylen Lile (L)23.9%2.3
7. Nasim Nuñez (L)19.6%2.0
8. Jorbit Vivas (L)20.5%2.0
9. Jacob Young (R)21.6%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.1% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.1%
vs RHB20.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.6 BF
Expected batters faced23.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.5 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Carter Jensen (L)20.2%3.0
2. Bobby Witt Jr. (R)23.6%3.0
3. Jac Caglianone (L)22.5%3.0
4. Maikel Garcia (R)22.0%3.0
5. Michael Massey (L)25.2%3.0
6. Salvador Perez (R)19.5%2.6
7. Kameron Misner (L)23.8%2.0
8. Lane Thomas (R)20.7%2.0
9. Isaac Collins (L)19.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.5%
vs RHB22.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.1 BF
Expected batters faced21.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.6 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Travis Bazzana (L)23.4%3.0
2. Brayan Rocchio (L)22.2%3.0
3. Kyle Manzardo (L)20.8%3.0
4. Rhys Hoskins (R)19.3%2.1
5. Daniel Schneemann (L)20.3%2.0
6. David Fry (R)24.3%2.0
7. Steven Kwan (L)22.0%2.0
8. Gabriel Arias (R)22.4%2.0
9. Patrick Bailey (L)19.6%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.0% Hits / BF
vs LHB18.0%
vs RHB24.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.1 BF
Expected batters faced24.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.8 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.1% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Carson Benge (L)22.7%3.0
2. Bo Bichette (R)22.9%3.0
3. Juan Soto (L)22.8%3.0
4. Jared Young (L)23.3%3.0
5. A.J. Ewing (L)23.3%3.0
6. Marcus Semien (R)21.1%3.0
7. Brett Baty (L)21.3%2.1
8. MJ Melendez (L)19.1%2.0
9. Luis Torrens (R)22.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.0% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.5%
vs RHB21.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.2%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.8 BF
Expected batters faced23.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.9 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.8% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Spencer Horwitz (L)23.8%3.0
2. Brandon Lowe (L)23.1%3.0
3. Bryan Reynolds (L)20.1%3.0
4. Ryan O'Hearn (L)24.7%3.0
5. Nick Gonzales (R)26.5%3.0
6. Tyler Callihan (L)22.7%2.8
7. Jake Mangum (L)27.7%2.0
8. Jared Triolo (R)18.5%2.0
9. Henry Davis (R)17.9%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.2%
vs RHB22.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.6 BF
Expected batters faced21.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.9 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.4% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Kyle Schwarber (L)23.4%3.0
2. Trea Turner (R)21.2%3.0
3. Bryce Harper (L)21.5%3.0
4. Alec Bohm (R)23.0%2.6
5. Brandon Marsh (L)24.9%2.0
6. Edmundo Sosa (R)23.0%2.0
7. Bryson Stott (L)22.8%2.0
8. Rafael Marchán (R)20.5%2.0
9. Derek Hill (R)21.1%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.5%
vs RHB19.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)21.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.8 BF
Expected batters faced23.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.0 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Liam Hicks (L)25.0%3.0
2. Otto Lopez (R)27.1%3.0
3. Kyle Stowers (L)20.7%3.0
4. Xavier Edwards (L)23.3%3.0
5. Heriberto Hernández (R)23.4%3.0
6. Owen Caissie (L)19.5%2.8
7. Jakob Marsee (L)20.5%2.0
8. Joe Mack (L)22.5%2.0
9. Connor Norby (R)21.3%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.0% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.0%
vs RHB21.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.6 BF
Expected batters faced22.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.1 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Trevor Larnach (L)21.9%3.0
2. Byron Buxton (R)24.3%3.0
3. Kody Clemens (L)23.9%3.0
4. Royce Lewis (R)21.4%3.0
5. Josh Bell (L)23.2%2.6
6. Victor Caratini (L)21.9%2.0
7. Brooks Lee (L)22.0%2.0
8. Tristan Gray (L)23.9%2.0
9. Luke Keaschall (R)22.0%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.9% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.7%
vs RHB21.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.2 BF
Expected batters faced23.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.2 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.1% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. George Springer (R)19.6%3.0
2. Nathan Lukes (L)26.6%3.0
3. Alejandro Kirk (R)23.1%3.0
4. Yohendrick Piñango (L)22.5%3.0
5. Kazuma Okamoto (R)21.7%3.0
6. Jesús Sánchez (L)26.1%2.2
7. Ernie Clement (R)28.0%2.0
8. Davis Schneider (R)18.0%2.0
9. Charles McAdoo (R)22.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.2% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.1%
vs RHB22.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.7 BF
Expected batters faced24.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.2 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Kevin McGonigle (L)22.9%3.0
2. Gleyber Torres (R)26.3%3.0
3. Riley Greene (L)26.2%3.0
4. Dillon Dingler (R)26.1%3.0
5. Kerry Carpenter (L)23.3%3.0
6. Colt Keith (L)22.2%3.0
7. Spencer Torkelson (R)19.4%2.7
8. James Outman (L)18.8%2.0
9. Jake Rogers (R)18.3%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.7% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.0%
vs RHB19.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.2%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.4 BF
Expected batters faced24.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.2 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.8% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)25.8%3.0
2. Alex Bregman (R)21.5%3.0
3. Michael Busch (L)22.5%3.0
4. Ian Happ (L)22.1%3.0
5. Michael Conforto (L)19.9%3.0
6. Pedro Ramírez (L)22.5%3.0
7. Carson Kelly (R)21.5%2.4
8. Moisés Ballesteros (L)22.2%2.0
9. Dansby Swanson (R)17.8%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.0%
vs RHB24.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.1%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.5 BF
Expected batters faced21.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.2 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)24.7%3.0
2. Jackson Merrill (L)22.9%3.0
3. Manny Machado (R)23.0%3.0
4. Xander Bogaerts (R)22.9%2.5
5. Gavin Sheets (L)19.9%2.0
6. Samad Taylor (R)23.5%2.0
7. Nick Solak (R)21.8%2.0
8. Jase Bowen (R)22.5%2.0
9. Rodolfo Durán (R)22.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB24.2%
vs RHB23.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.5 BF
Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.2 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Lawrence Butler (L)19.9%3.0
2. Nick Kurtz (L)23.1%3.0
3. Tyler Soderstrom (L)22.0%3.0
4. Carlos Cortes (L)23.4%3.0
5. Zack Gelof (R)23.7%2.5
6. Jonah Heim (L)18.5%2.0
7. Max Muncy (R)23.1%2.0
8. Jeff McNeil (L)20.9%2.0
9. Alika Williams (R)22.4%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB24.4%
vs RHB22.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.1 BF
Expected batters faced22.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.2 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Taylor Ward (R)20.5%3.0
2. Gunnar Henderson (L)22.2%3.0
3. Adley Rutschman (L)22.9%3.0
4. Pete Alonso (R)24.2%3.0
5. Samuel Basallo (L)21.8%2.1
6. Leody Taveras (L)22.3%2.0
7. Colton Cowser (L)21.4%2.0
8. Jeremiah Jackson (R)24.5%2.0
9. Blaze Alexander (R)26.3%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.4%
vs RHB20.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.3 BF
Expected batters faced24.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.3 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.4% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Michael Harris II (L)25.5%3.0
2. Mauricio Dubón (R)24.9%3.0
3. Matt Olson (L)23.3%3.0
4. Ozzie Albies (L)22.1%3.0
5. Dominic Smith (L)23.5%3.0
6. Austin Riley (R)19.6%3.0
7. Eli White (R)23.0%2.3
8. Mike Yastrzemski (L)21.4%2.0
9. Sandy León (L)17.8%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.1%
vs RHB21.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.2%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.8 BF
Expected batters faced23.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.3 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.0% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Wyatt Langford (R)22.9%3.0
2. Josh Jung (R)25.1%3.0
3. Brandon Nimmo (L)21.5%3.0
4. Ezequiel Duran (R)23.6%3.0
5. Jake Burger (R)24.6%3.0
6. Justin Foscue (R)22.8%2.8
7. Cody Freeman (R)21.0%2.0
8. Kyle Higashioka (R)24.0%2.0
9. Alejandro Osuna (L)22.0%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.2%
vs RHB21.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)5.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.5 BF
Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.3 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Ketel Marte (R)23.9%3.0
2. Corbin Carroll (L)28.0%3.0
3. Gabriel Moreno (R)22.1%3.0
4. Nolan Arenado (R)20.6%3.0
5. Ildemaro Vargas (R)24.3%3.0
6. Geraldo Perdomo (R)21.6%2.5
7. Jordan Lawlar (R)22.8%2.0
8. LuJames Groover (R)22.5%2.0
9. Tommy Troy (R)26.4%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate24.2% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.1%
vs RHB24.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)7.5%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.0 BF
Expected batters faced22.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.3 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.4% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Paul Goldschmidt (R)28.7%3.0
2. Ben Rice (L)22.1%3.0
3. Jasson Domínguez (R)22.9%3.0
4. Cody Bellinger (L)23.3%3.0
5. Amed Rosario (R)21.7%2.0
6. José Caballero (R)21.5%2.0
7. Max Schuemann (R)20.8%2.0
8. Anthony Volpe (R)21.1%2.0
9. Ali Sánchez (R)19.9%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate24.9% Hits / BF
vs LHB24.4%
vs RHB24.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.2%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.5 BF
Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts5
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.4 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.8% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Yandy Díaz (R)27.4%3.0
2. Jonathan Aranda (L)21.4%3.0
3. Cedric Mullins (L)18.8%3.0
4. Junior Caminero (R)23.8%3.0
5. Chandler Simpson (L)24.0%2.5
6. Richie Palacios (L)19.3%2.0
7. Ben Williamson (R)21.9%2.0
8. Hunter Feduccia (L)20.6%2.0
9. Victor Mesa Jr. (L)19.1%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate24.7% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.1%
vs RHB24.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.9%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.5 BF
Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.5 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.4% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Willi Castro (R)24.9%3.0
2. Tyler Freeman (R)23.2%3.0
3. TJ Rumfield (L)23.3%3.0
4. Hunter Goodman (R)20.8%3.0
5. Ezequiel Tovar (R)20.9%2.5
6. Cole Carrigg (R)22.5%2.0
7. Kyle Karros (R)23.9%2.0
8. Troy Johnston (L)20.9%2.0
9. Braxton Fulford (R)21.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.9% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.6%
vs RHB23.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.9%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.1 BF
Expected batters faced24.1
From recent starts7
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.6 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.8% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Jeremy Peña (R)24.6%3.0
2. Yordan Alvarez (L)26.8%3.0
3. Christian Walker (R)23.0%3.0
4. Joey Loperfido (L)21.4%3.0
5. Cam Smith (R)19.9%3.0
6. Jake Meyers (R)23.1%3.0
7. Brice Matthews (R)20.9%2.1
8. Raynel Delgado (L)22.5%2.0
9. Collin Price (R)22.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.1% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.8%
vs RHB23.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.6 BF
Expected batters faced23.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.6 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. JJ Wetherholt (L)23.3%3.0
2. Iván Herrera (R)22.2%3.0
3. Alec Burleson (L)28.1%3.0
4. Jordan Walker (R)25.1%3.0
5. Lars Nootbaar (L)22.1%3.0
6. Blaze Jordan (R)22.5%2.6
7. Bryan Torres (L)22.2%2.0
8. José Fermín (R)23.3%2.0
9. Nathan Church (L)22.6%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.0% Hits / BF
vs LHB24.1%
vs RHB21.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload25.8 BF
Expected batters faced25.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.8 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Masataka Yoshida (L)20.8%3.0
2. Ceddanne Rafaela (R)26.1%3.0
3. Wilyer Abreu (L)22.7%3.0
4. Willson Contreras (R)24.5%3.0
5. Jarren Duran (L)20.7%3.0
6. Caleb Durbin (R)21.0%3.0
7. Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)25.7%3.0
8. Marcelo Mayer (L)19.7%2.8
9. Carlos Narváez (R)21.2%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate26.9% Hits / BF
vs LHB27.2%
vs RHB24.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.7 BF
Expected batters faced23.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.8 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Blake Dunn (R)24.0%3.0
2. JJ Bleday (L)22.8%3.0
3. Sal Stewart (R)21.4%3.0
4. Nathaniel Lowe (L)21.7%3.0
5. Eugenio Suárez (R)20.8%3.0
6. Noelvi Marte (R)23.8%2.7
7. Matt McLain (R)20.0%2.0
8. Jose Trevino (R)17.8%2.0
9. Edwin Arroyo (L)22.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB18.6%
vs RHB22.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload26.5 BF
Expected batters faced26.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.9 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Jackson Chourio (R)29.9%3.0
2. Andrew Vaughn (R)30.2%3.0
3. William Contreras (R)24.2%3.0
4. Gary Sánchez (R)22.6%3.0
5. Luis Rengifo (R)19.1%3.0
6. Garrett Mitchell (L)20.6%3.0
7. Blake Perkins (R)20.4%3.0
8. Joey Ortiz (R)21.7%3.0
9. David Hamilton (L)21.1%2.5
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
27 with a HLive count — updates as games play
1
Connelly EarlyP
BOSvsTEX· proj #21
11HFinal
2
Bryce ElderP
ATL@NYM· proj #9
10HFinal
3
Emerson HancockP
SEA@WSH· proj #6
9HFinal
T3
Tomoyuki SuganoP
COL@ATH· proj #18
9HFinal
5
Spencer ArrighettiP
HOU@KC· proj #7
8HFinal
T5
Will WarrenP
NYY@TOR· proj #14
8HFinal
T5
Cristopher SánchezP
PHI@MIL· proj #30
8HFinal
8
Michael McGreevyP
STL@MIN· proj #13
7HFinal
T8
Logan WebbP
SFvsCHC· proj #16
7HFinal
T8
Patrick CorbinP
TORvsNYY· proj #23
7HFinal
T8
Jeffrey SpringsP
ATHvsCOL· proj #25
7HFinal
12
Max MeyerP
MIA@PIT· proj #10
6HFinal
T12
Walker BuehlerP
SD@BAL· proj #19
6HFinal
T12
Nathan EovaldiP
TEX@BOS· proj #28
6HFinal
T12
Zac GallenP
AZ@CIN· proj #29
6HFinal
16
Trevor RogersP
BALvsSD· proj #17
5HFinal
T16
Stephen KolekP
KCvsHOU· proj #26
5HFinal
T16
Taj BradleyP
MINvsSTL· proj #27
5HFinal
19
Emmet SheehanP
LAD@CWS· proj #5
4HFinal
T19
Paul SkenesP
PITvsMIA· proj #12
4HFinal
T19
Freddy PeraltaP
NYMvsATL· proj #20
4HFinal
T19
Andrew AbbottP
CINvsAZ· proj #22
4HFinal
23
Kyle HarrisonP
MILvsPHI· proj #11
3HFinal
T23
Grayson RodriguezP
LAAvsTB· proj #24
3HFinal
25
PJ PoulinP
WSHvsSEA· proj #1
2HFinal
T25
Casey LeguminaP
TB@LAA· proj #4
2HFinal
27
Bryan HudsonP
CWSvsLAD· proj #2
1HFinal
Grades post here as games go final — how often our top-ranked matchups hit, vs the season.
Best MLB Hits Allowed Matchups — Sunday, June 14, 2026
PJ Poulin (WSH) is the top hits allowed spot on the Sunday, June 14, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 1.8 H, with Bryan Hudson (CWS) right behind. Every starter is ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. It's the read DFS and pitcher-prop players make before lock.
Top spot: PJ Poulin
PJ Poulin (WSH) tops the Sunday, June 14, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 1.8 H vs SEA. His hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes.
The rest of the top of the board
Bryan Hudson (CWS) (96) — about 2.0 H vs LAD.
Ryan Rolison (CHC) (92) — about 2.1 H vs SF.
Casey Legumina (TB) (85) — about 2.4 H vs LAA.
Emmet Sheehan (LAD) (35) — about 4.5 H vs CWS.
Emerson Hancock (SEA) (34) — about 4.5 H vs WSH.
How it played out
The top 10 starts averaged 4.7 H. PJ Poulin finished with 2. Every projection is graded against the box score.
How to read the hits allowed board
Each starter's score (0–100) ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. We project a hits allowed count for the start and grade it against what actually happened.
Which pitcher has the best hits allowed matchup today (Sunday, June 14, 2026)?
PJ Poulin (WSH) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 1.8 H against SEA.
What are the best pitcher hits allowed props today?
The top projected starts on Sunday, June 14, 2026: PJ Poulin (~1.8 H), Bryan Hudson (~2.0 H), Ryan Rolison (~2.1 H), Casey Legumina (~2.4 H), Emmet Sheehan (~4.5 H). The full board ranks every starter.
How is the hits allowed score calculated?
Ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected hits allowed count alongside, and graded against the box score.
Can I use this for pitcher props or DFS?
Yes — the board surfaces the best hits allowed spots and projects a number. Where there's a posted line we show the over/under and which side our projection leans. We show the data and grade it, not picks.
