MatchWiz Plays
Hits Allowed · Sunday, June 14, 2026

HOU @ KC Hits Allowed matchups · Sunday, June 14, 2026

HOU
HOU
Houston Astros
04
Final
KC
Kansas City Royals
KC
Kauffman StadiumElevation 856 ftCenter Field 410 ft 74°F SunnyWind 13 mph, L To R

HOU Spencer Arrighetti · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.1% Hits / BF

vs LHB19.1%
vs RHB20.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.7%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.6 BF

Expected batters faced23.6
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.5 H

Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

KC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Carter Jensen (L)20.2%3.0 PA
2Bobby Witt Jr. (R)23.6%3.0 PA
3Jac Caglianone (L)22.5%3.0 PA
4Maikel Garcia (R)22.0%3.0 PA
5Michael Massey (L)25.2%3.0 PA
6Salvador Perez (R)19.5%2.6 PA
7Kameron Misner (L)23.8%2.0 PA
8Lane Thomas (R)20.7%2.0 PA
9Isaac Collins (L)19.5%2.0 PA

KC Stephen Kolek · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.9% Hits / BF

vs LHB22.6%
vs RHB23.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.9%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.1 BF

Expected batters faced24.1
From recent starts7

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.6 H

Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

HOU lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jeremy Peña (R)24.6%3.0 PA
2Yordan Alvarez (L)26.8%3.0 PA
3Christian Walker (R)23.0%3.0 PA
4Joey Loperfido (L)21.4%3.0 PA
5Cam Smith (R)19.9%3.0 PA
6Jake Meyers (R)23.1%3.0 PA
7Brice Matthews (R)20.9%2.1 PA
8Raynel Delgado (L)22.5%2.0 PA
9Collin Price (R)22.5%2.0 PA