MatchWiz Plays
Hits Allowed · Sunday, June 14, 2026

SD @ BAL Hits Allowed matchups · Sunday, June 14, 2026

SD
SD
San Diego Padres
52
Final
BAL
Baltimore Orioles
BAL
Oriole Park at Camden YardsElevation 33 ftCenter Field 410 ft 87°F Partly CloudyWind 9 mph, Out To CF

SD Walker Buehler · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.6% Hits / BF

vs LHB24.4%
vs RHB22.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.3%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.1 BF

Expected batters faced22.1
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.2 H

Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

BAL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Taylor Ward (R)20.5%3.0 PA
2Gunnar Henderson (L)22.2%3.0 PA
3Adley Rutschman (L)22.9%3.0 PA
4Pete Alonso (R)24.2%3.0 PA
5Samuel Basallo (L)21.8%2.1 PA
6Leody Taveras (L)22.3%2.0 PA
7Colton Cowser (L)21.4%2.0 PA
8Jeremiah Jackson (R)24.5%2.0 PA
9Blaze Alexander (R)26.3%2.0 PA

BAL Trevor Rogers · LHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.8% Hits / BF

vs LHB21.0%
vs RHB24.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.1%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.5 BF

Expected batters faced21.5
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.2 H

Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

SD lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)24.7%3.0 PA
2Jackson Merrill (L)22.9%3.0 PA
3Manny Machado (R)23.0%3.0 PA
4Xander Bogaerts (R)22.9%2.5 PA
5Gavin Sheets (L)19.9%2.0 PA
6Samad Taylor (R)23.5%2.0 PA
7Nick Solak (R)21.8%2.0 PA
8Jase Bowen (R)22.5%2.0 PA
9Rodolfo Durán (R)22.5%2.0 PA