‹ Hits Allowed · Monday, June 15, 2026
KC @ WSH Hits Allowed matchups · Monday, June 15, 2026
KC
Kansas City Royals
3–7
Final
WSH
Washington Nationals
◆ Nationals ParkElevation 35 ftCenter Field 402 ft☀ 76°F Partly CloudyWind 11 mph, In From LF
Mitch Spence · RHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.6%
vs RHB22.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.5 BF
Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts1
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.2 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
WSH lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1James Wood (L)23.0%3.0 PA
2Luis García Jr. (L)23.6%3.0 PA
3Curtis Mead (R)20.4%3.0 PA
4CJ Abrams (L)24.6%3.0 PA
5Dylan Crews (R)19.7%2.5 PA
6Daylen Lile (L)24.4%2.0 PA
7Jacob Young (R)22.4%2.0 PA
8Keibert Ruiz (L)22.8%2.0 PA
9Nasim Nuñez (L)19.7%2.0 PA
Andrew Alvarez · LHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB24.8%
vs RHB20.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload17.2 BF
Expected batters faced17.2
From recent starts7
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection3.8 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
KC lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Lane Thomas (R)21.8%2.0 PA
2Bobby Witt Jr. (R)26.3%2.0 PA
3Jac Caglianone (L)25.9%2.0 PA
4Maikel Garcia (R)24.4%2.0 PA
5Starling Marte (R)22.0%2.0 PA
6Salvador Perez (R)21.8%2.0 PA
7Nick Loftin (R)21.5%2.0 PA
8Carter Jensen (L)21.7%2.0 PA
9Isaac Collins (R)20.3%1.2 PA