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Hits Allowed Board · Archive

Best MLB hits allowed matchupsMonday, June 15, 2026

Every starting pitcher on the Monday, June 15, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow. His hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. Results show how each call played out.

#Pitcher · MatchupScore

Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.4% Hits / BF

vs LHB23.9%
vs RHB21.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.7%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload10.2 BF

Expected batters faced10.2
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.3 H

Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Jeremy Peña (R)23.4%2.0
2. Yordan Alvarez (L)26.7%1.2
3. Christian Walker (R)23.2%1.0
4. Isaac Paredes (R)20.2%1.0
5. Jose Altuve (R)21.3%1.0
6. Taylor Trammell (L)23.1%1.0
7. Cam Smith (R)20.0%1.0
8. Brice Matthews (R)21.2%1.0
9. Christian Vázquez (R)19.9%1.0

Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.3% Hits / BF

vs LHB22.0%
vs RHB21.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)7.1%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload10.4 BF

Expected batters faced10.4
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.3 H

Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. JJ Wetherholt (L)22.9%2.0
2. Iván Herrera (R)23.4%1.4
3. Alec Burleson (L)20.2%1.0
4. Jordan Walker (R)25.1%1.0
5. Lars Nootbaar (L)21.7%1.0
6. Masyn Winn (R)22.9%1.0
7. Jimmy Crooks (L)22.7%1.0
8. Blaze Jordan (R)22.5%1.0
9. Nathan Church (L)24.0%1.0

Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.3% Hits / BF

vs LHB19.9%
vs RHB25.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.9%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload10.0 BF

Expected batters faced10.0
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.4 H

Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.9% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Blake Dunn (R)23.1%2.0
2. JJ Bleday (L)22.9%1.0
3. Sal Stewart (R)21.7%1.0
4. Spencer Steer (R)20.2%1.0
5. Eugenio Suárez (R)21.1%1.0
6. Noelvi Marte (R)23.9%1.0
7. Matt McLain (R)20.1%1.0
8. Tyler Stephenson (R)21.5%1.0
9. Edwin Arroyo (L)22.5%1.0

Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher hits allowed Rate25.1% Hits / BF

vs LHB24.4%
vs RHB24.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.4%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload15.6 BF

Expected batters faced15.6
From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.8 H

Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.5% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Kyle Schwarber (L)20.3%2.0
2. Trea Turner (R)22.8%2.0
3. Bryce Harper (L)22.3%2.0
4. Brandon Marsh (L)27.2%2.0
5. Bryson Stott (L)22.2%2.0
6. J.T. Realmuto (R)20.3%2.0
7. Gabriel Rincones Jr. (L)22.5%1.6
8. Justin Crawford (L)22.4%1.0
9. Edmundo Sosa (R)22.2%1.0

Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.4% Hits / BF

vs LHB24.8%
vs RHB20.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.8%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload17.2 BF

Expected batters faced17.2
From recent starts7

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.8 H

Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.9% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Lane Thomas (R)21.8%2.0
2. Bobby Witt Jr. (R)26.3%2.0
3. Jac Caglianone (L)25.9%2.0
4. Maikel Garcia (R)24.4%2.0
5. Starling Marte (R)22.0%2.0
6. Salvador Perez (R)21.8%2.0
7. Nick Loftin (R)21.5%2.0
8. Carter Jensen (L)21.7%2.0
9. Isaac Collins (R)20.3%1.2

Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher hits allowed Rate18.0% Hits / BF

vs LHB18.7%
vs RHB19.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.1%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.8 BF

Expected batters faced22.8
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.1 H

Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Ketel Marte (L)21.8%3.0
2. Geraldo Perdomo (L)22.3%3.0
3. Corbin Carroll (L)20.4%3.0
4. Gabriel Moreno (R)24.0%3.0
5. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (R)21.7%2.8
6. Nolan Arenado (R)20.6%2.0
7. Jordan Lawlar (R)23.3%2.0
8. Pavin Smith (L)18.1%2.0
9. Tommy Troy (R)17.9%2.0

Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.9% Hits / BF

vs LHB23.6%
vs RHB20.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.8%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload18.8 BF

Expected batters faced18.8
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.2 H

Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.6% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Kevin McGonigle (L)22.5%2.8
2. Gleyber Torres (R)25.9%2.0
3. Kerry Carpenter (L)22.7%2.0
4. Riley Greene (L)24.8%2.0
5. Dillon Dingler (R)26.2%2.0
6. Colt Keith (L)22.3%2.0
7. Spencer Torkelson (R)19.9%2.0
8. Zach McKinstry (L)20.5%2.0
9. James Outman (L)19.0%2.0

Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.5% Hits / BF

vs LHB22.5%
vs RHB22.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload19.0 BF

Expected batters faced19.0
From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.3 H

Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Joc Pederson (L)20.5%3.0
2. Josh Jung (R)24.5%2.0
3. Wyatt Langford (R)21.7%2.0
4. Brandon Nimmo (L)22.9%2.0
5. Jake Burger (R)21.4%2.0
6. Alejandro Osuna (L)21.3%2.0
7. Cody Freeman (R)24.0%2.0
8. Nicky Lopez (L)21.7%2.0
9. Elias Díaz (R)26.4%2.0

Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.9% Hits / BF

vs LHB23.8%
vs RHB21.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.1%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.5 BF

Expected batters faced21.5
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.7 H

Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Yandy Díaz (R)24.8%3.0
2. Jonathan Aranda (L)21.8%3.0
3. Junior Caminero (R)21.7%3.0
4. Ryan Vilade (R)23.8%2.5
5. Ben Williamson (R)23.6%2.0
6. Austin Slater (R)20.6%2.0
7. Cedric Mullins (L)22.5%2.0
8. Nick Fortes (R)22.4%2.0
9. Taylor Walls (R)20.0%2.0

Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.7% Hits / BF

vs LHB20.1%
vs RHB20.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.7%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.2 BF

Expected batters faced23.2
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.7 H

Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Carson Benge (L)22.6%3.0
2. Bo Bichette (R)23.7%3.0
3. Juan Soto (L)23.3%3.0
4. Jared Young (L)22.8%3.0
5. A.J. Ewing (L)25.2%3.0
6. Marcus Semien (R)20.6%2.2
7. Brett Baty (L)22.1%2.0
8. MJ Melendez (L)18.7%2.0
9. Francisco Alvarez (R)22.4%2.0

Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher hits allowed Rate18.6% Hits / BF

vs LHB19.6%
vs RHB19.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.3%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.8 BF

Expected batters faced23.8
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.7 H

Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Liam Hicks (L)24.7%3.0
2. Otto Lopez (R)27.3%3.0
3. Kyle Stowers (L)20.9%3.0
4. Xavier Edwards (L)23.3%3.0
5. Heriberto Hernández (R)23.4%3.0
6. Owen Caissie (L)19.5%2.8
7. Jakob Marsee (L)20.0%2.0
8. Joe Mack (L)22.5%2.0
9. Javier Sanoja (R)22.3%2.0

Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.4% Hits / BF

vs LHB25.6%
vs RHB19.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.7%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.2 BF

Expected batters faced21.2
From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.8 H

Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Nick Kurtz (L)23.1%3.0
2. Shea Langeliers (R)21.0%3.0
3. Tyler Soderstrom (L)22.4%3.0
4. Jacob Wilson (R)24.6%2.2
5. Carlos Cortes (L)23.3%2.0
6. Zack Gelof (R)23.9%2.0
7. Lawrence Butler (L)21.3%2.0
8. Henry Bolte (R)24.5%2.0
9. Jeff McNeil (L)20.4%2.0

Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.4% Hits / BF

vs LHB23.8%
vs RHB22.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.2%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.3 BF

Expected batters faced22.3
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.0 H

Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.3% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Austin Martin (R)20.8%3.0
2. Byron Buxton (R)25.7%3.0
3. Kody Clemens (L)22.5%3.0
4. Royce Lewis (R)22.7%3.0
5. Josh Bell (R)21.5%2.3
6. Kyler Fedko (R)22.5%2.0
7. Luke Keaschall (R)23.0%2.0
8. Ryan Kreidler (R)21.1%2.0
9. Alex Jackson (R)20.7%2.0

Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.5% Hits / BF

vs LHB24.1%
vs RHB20.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.8%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.0 BF

Expected batters faced24.0
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.1 H

Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)24.3%3.0
2. Jackson Merrill (L)20.5%3.0
3. Manny Machado (R)18.4%3.0
4. Gavin Sheets (L)21.3%3.0
5. Xander Bogaerts (R)20.3%3.0
6. Will Wagner (L)23.9%3.0
7. Ty France (R)20.5%2.0
8. Sung-Mun Song (L)20.9%2.0
9. Rodolfo Durán (R)22.5%2.0

Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.5% Hits / BF

vs LHB20.9%
vs RHB20.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.6%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.9 BF

Expected batters faced23.9
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.2 H

Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Willi Castro (R)25.7%3.0
2. Tyler Freeman (R)21.6%3.0
3. TJ Rumfield (L)24.2%3.0
4. Hunter Goodman (R)23.7%3.0
5. Ezequiel Tovar (R)22.0%3.0
6. Cole Carrigg (R)22.5%2.9
7. Jake McCarthy (L)24.3%2.0
8. Kyle Karros (R)24.7%2.0
9. Braxton Fulford (R)21.7%2.0

Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.8% Hits / BF

vs LHB23.6%
vs RHB22.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.4%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.2 H

Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.3% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. James Wood (L)23.0%3.0
2. Luis García Jr. (L)23.6%3.0
3. Curtis Mead (R)20.4%3.0
4. CJ Abrams (L)24.6%3.0
5. Dylan Crews (R)19.7%2.5
6. Daylen Lile (L)24.4%2.0
7. Jacob Young (R)22.4%2.0
8. Keibert Ruiz (L)22.8%2.0
9. Nasim Nuñez (L)19.7%2.0

Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.3% Hits / BF

vs LHB22.7%
vs RHB17.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.9%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.5 BF

Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.3 H

Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.3% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Spencer Horwitz (L)22.7%3.0
2. Brandon Lowe (L)22.3%3.0
3. Bryan Reynolds (L)20.2%3.0
4. Ryan O'Hearn (L)23.9%3.0
5. Nick Gonzales (R)26.7%3.0
6. Endy Rodríguez (L)20.8%2.5
7. Tyler Callihan (L)22.9%2.0
8. Jake Mangum (L)28.0%2.0
9. Esmerlyn Valdez (R)22.5%2.0

Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.8% Hits / BF

vs LHB22.1%
vs RHB23.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.3%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload25.0 BF

Expected batters faced25.0
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.6 H

Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.3% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Zach Neto (R)20.3%3.0
2. Mike Trout (R)18.3%3.0
3. Wade Meckler (L)25.9%3.0
4. Jo Adell (R)21.6%3.0
5. Nolan Schanuel (L)23.2%3.0
6. Denzer Guzman (R)23.8%3.0
7. Logan O'Hoppe (R)21.7%3.0
8. Donovan Walton (L)24.3%2.0
9. Oswald Peraza (R)21.9%2.0

Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher hits allowed Rate24.6% Hits / BF

vs LHB22.7%
vs RHB25.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.8%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.1 BF

Expected batters faced24.1
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.8 H

Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Shohei Ohtani (L)24.5%3.0
2. Andy Pages (R)23.4%3.0
3. Freddie Freeman (L)25.9%3.0
4. Mookie Betts (R)21.2%3.0
5. Max Muncy (L)23.6%3.0
6. Kyle Tucker (L)22.0%3.0
7. Ryan Ward (L)22.8%2.1
8. Dalton Rushing (L)22.8%2.0
9. Alex Freeland (L)21.8%2.0

Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher hits allowed Rate27.6% Hits / BF

vs LHB28.1%
vs RHB25.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.7%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection6.0 H

Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.0% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)25.4%3.0
2. Alex Bregman (R)22.1%3.0
3. Michael Busch (L)22.6%3.0
4. Seiya Suzuki (R)23.9%3.0
5. Ian Happ (L)21.1%2.5
6. Nico Hoerner (R)20.3%2.0
7. Moisés Ballesteros (L)22.5%2.0
8. Matt Shaw (R)21.7%2.0
9. Dansby Swanson (R)18.5%2.0

Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.