MatchWiz Plays
Hits Allowed · Monday, June 15, 2026

MIA @ PHI Hits Allowed matchups · Monday, June 15, 2026

MIA
MIA
Miami Marlins
07
Final
PHI
Philadelphia Phillies
PHI
Citizens Bank ParkElevation 20 ftCenter Field 401 ft 75°F Partly CloudyWind 14 mph, L To R

MIA Ryan Gusto · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate25.1% Hits / BF

vs LHB24.4%
vs RHB24.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.4%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload15.6 BF

Expected batters faced15.6
From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.8 H

Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

PHI lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Kyle Schwarber (L)20.3%2.0 PA
2Trea Turner (R)22.8%2.0 PA
3Bryce Harper (L)22.3%2.0 PA
4Brandon Marsh (L)27.2%2.0 PA
5Bryson Stott (L)22.2%2.0 PA
6J.T. Realmuto (R)20.3%2.0 PA
7Gabriel Rincones Jr. (L)22.5%1.6 PA
8Justin Crawford (L)22.4%1.0 PA
9Edmundo Sosa (R)22.2%1.0 PA

PHI Zack Wheeler · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate18.6% Hits / BF

vs LHB19.6%
vs RHB19.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.3%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.8 BF

Expected batters faced23.8
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.7 H

Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

MIA lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Liam Hicks (L)24.7%3.0 PA
2Otto Lopez (R)27.3%3.0 PA
3Kyle Stowers (L)20.9%3.0 PA
4Xavier Edwards (L)23.3%3.0 PA
5Heriberto Hernández (R)23.4%3.0 PA
6Owen Caissie (L)19.5%2.8 PA
7Jakob Marsee (L)20.0%2.0 PA
8Joe Mack (L)22.5%2.0 PA
9Javier Sanoja (R)22.3%2.0 PA