‹ Hits Allowed · Monday, June 15, 2026
COL @ CHC Hits Allowed matchups · Monday, June 15, 2026
COL
Colorado Rockies
4–5
Final
CHC
Chicago Cubs
◆ Wrigley FieldElevation 595 ftCenter Field 400 ft☀ 76°F Partly CloudyWind 10 mph, Out To RF
Michael Lorenzen · RHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate27.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB28.1%
vs RHB25.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.5 BF
Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection6.0 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
CHC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)25.4%3.0 PA
2Alex Bregman (R)22.1%3.0 PA
3Michael Busch (L)22.6%3.0 PA
4Seiya Suzuki (R)23.9%3.0 PA
5Ian Happ (L)21.1%2.5 PA
6Nico Hoerner (R)20.3%2.0 PA
7Moisés Ballesteros (L)22.5%2.0 PA
8Matt Shaw (R)21.7%2.0 PA
9Dansby Swanson (R)18.5%2.0 PA
Shota Imanaga · LHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.9%
vs RHB20.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.9 BF
Expected batters faced23.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.2 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
COL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Willi Castro (R)25.7%3.0 PA
2Tyler Freeman (R)21.6%3.0 PA
3TJ Rumfield (L)24.2%3.0 PA
4Hunter Goodman (R)23.7%3.0 PA
5Ezequiel Tovar (R)22.0%3.0 PA
6Cole Carrigg (R)22.5%2.9 PA
7Jake McCarthy (L)24.3%2.0 PA
8Kyle Karros (R)24.7%2.0 PA
9Braxton Fulford (R)21.7%2.0 PA