BAL @ SEA Hits Allowed matchups · Tuesday, June 16, 2026

BAL

Baltimore Orioles

1–3

Final

SEA

Seattle Mariners

◆ T-Mobile ParkElevation 10 ftCenter Field 405 ft☀ 71°F Partly CloudyWind 11 mph, In From LF

Brandon Young · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.5% Hits / BF

vs LHB20.9%

vs RHB23.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.7%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.1 BF

Expected batters faced24.1

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.2 H

Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

SEA lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1J.P. Crawford (L)21.9%3.0 PA

2Cal Raleigh (L)17.8%3.0 PA

3Julio Rodríguez (R)21.3%3.0 PA

4Dominic Canzone (L)27.2%3.0 PA

5Rob Refsnyder (R)20.7%3.0 PA

6Cole Young (L)23.9%3.0 PA

7Victor Robles (R)24.7%2.1 PA

8Colt Emerson (L)24.1%2.0 PA

9Miles Mastrobuoni (L)20.0%2.0 PA

Logan Gilbert · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.1% Hits / BF

vs LHB19.9%

vs RHB21.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.8%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.7 H

Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

BAL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Taylor Ward (R)20.9%3.0 PA

2Gunnar Henderson (L)22.9%3.0 PA

3Adley Rutschman (L)22.9%3.0 PA

4Pete Alonso (R)24.4%3.0 PA

5Samuel Basallo (L)22.0%3.0 PA

6Leody Taveras (L)21.8%2.1 PA

7Colton Cowser (L)21.4%2.0 PA

8Blaze Alexander (R)27.0%2.0 PA

9Jackson Holliday (L)20.3%2.0 PA