MIA @ PHI Hits Allowed matchups · Tuesday, June 16, 2026

MIA

Miami Marlins

2–8

Final

PHI

Philadelphia Phillies

◆ Citizens Bank ParkElevation 20 ftCenter Field 401 ft☀ 78°F ClearWind 8 mph, Out To CF

Tyler Phillips · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.9% Hits / BF

vs LHB21.3%

vs RHB21.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.3%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload16.6 BF

Expected batters faced16.6

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.5 H

Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

PHI lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Brandon Marsh (L)27.2%2.0 PA

2Kyle Schwarber (L)20.3%2.0 PA

3Bryce Harper (L)22.3%2.0 PA

4Alec Bohm (R)22.1%2.0 PA

5Bryson Stott (L)22.2%2.0 PA

6J.T. Realmuto (R)20.3%2.0 PA

7Gabriel Rincones Jr. (L)22.5%2.0 PA

8Justin Crawford (L)22.4%1.6 PA

9Edmundo Sosa (R)22.2%1.0 PA

Jesús Luzardo · LHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.9% Hits / BF

vs LHB20.7%

vs RHB23.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.9%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.6 BF

Expected batters faced23.6

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.4 H

Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

MIA lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA

1Xavier Edwards (R)24.2%3.0 PA

2Otto Lopez (R)30.0%3.0 PA

3Liam Hicks (L)18.7%3.0 PA

4Heriberto Hernández (R)22.3%3.0 PA

5Javier Sanoja (R)22.8%3.0 PA

6Leo Jiménez (R)20.0%2.6 PA

7Esteury Ruiz (R)21.8%2.0 PA

8Jakob Marsee (L)18.5%2.0 PA

9Connor Norby (R)18.7%2.0 PA