DET @ HOU Hits Allowed matchups · Tuesday, June 16, 2026

DET

Detroit Tigers

2–4

Final

HOU

Houston Astros

◆ Daikin ParkElevation 45 ftCenter Field 409 ft☀ 73°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None

Framber Valdez · LHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.3% Hits / BF

vs LHB22.5%

vs RHB22.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.2%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.7 BF

Expected batters faced23.7

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.4 H

Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

HOU lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA

1Jeremy Peña (R)23.8%3.0 PA

2Yordan Alvarez (L)26.3%3.0 PA

3Christian Walker (R)20.1%3.0 PA

4Isaac Paredes (R)20.6%3.0 PA

5Jose Altuve (R)23.3%3.0 PA

6Yainer Diaz (R)24.2%2.7 PA

7Cam Smith (R)21.3%2.0 PA

8Brice Matthews (R)22.8%2.0 PA

9Raynel Delgado (L)22.5%2.0 PA

Hunter Brown · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate18.0% Hits / BF

vs LHB17.8%

vs RHB20.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.4%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.4 BF

Expected batters faced22.4

From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.2 H

Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

DET lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Kevin McGonigle (L)22.5%3.0 PA

2Dillon Dingler (R)26.2%3.0 PA

3Kerry Carpenter (L)22.7%3.0 PA

4Riley Greene (L)24.8%3.0 PA

5Spencer Torkelson (R)19.9%2.4 PA

6Wenceel Pérez (L)19.5%2.0 PA

7Zach McKinstry (L)20.5%2.0 PA

8Hao-Yu Lee (R)22.9%2.0 PA

9James Outman (L)19.0%2.0 PA