‹ Hits Allowed · Tuesday, June 16, 2026
TOR @ BOS Hits Allowed matchups · Tuesday, June 16, 2026
TOR
Toronto Blue Jays
6–1
Final
BOS
Boston Red Sox
◆ Fenway ParkElevation 21 ftCenter Field 420 ft☀ 77°F Partly CloudyWind 3 mph, Out To RF
Dylan Cease · RHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.2%
vs RHB20.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)23.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.6 BF
Expected batters faced23.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.8 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
BOS lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Masataka Yoshida (L)21.8%3.0 PA
2Ceddanne Rafaela (R)25.7%3.0 PA
3Wilyer Abreu (L)22.8%3.0 PA
4Willson Contreras (R)25.8%3.0 PA
5Jarren Duran (L)21.1%3.0 PA
6Caleb Durbin (R)20.0%2.6 PA
7Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)25.7%2.0 PA
8Marcelo Mayer (L)20.2%2.0 PA
9Connor Wong (R)22.1%2.0 PA
Payton Tolle · LHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.2%
vs RHB22.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.8 BF
Expected batters faced23.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.2 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
TOR lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1George Springer (R)20.5%3.0 PA
2Ernie Clement (R)25.4%3.0 PA
3Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)24.2%3.0 PA
4Alejandro Kirk (R)23.9%3.0 PA
5Kazuma Okamoto (R)22.3%3.0 PA
6Nathan Lukes (L)19.5%2.8 PA
7Davis Schneider (R)17.5%2.0 PA
8Andrés Giménez (L)19.5%2.0 PA
9Myles Straw (R)22.1%2.0 PA