PIT @ ATH Hits Allowed matchups · Tuesday, June 16, 2026

PIT

Pittsburgh Pirates

6–5

Final

ATH

Athletics

◆ Sutter Health ParkElevation 24 ftCenter Field 403 ft☀ 85°F ClearWind 10 mph, Out To CF

Mitch Keller · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.6% Hits / BF

vs LHB23.4%

vs RHB23.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.3%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.7 BF

Expected batters faced23.7

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.6 H

Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

ATH lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Nick Kurtz (L)23.1%3.0 PA

2Shea Langeliers (R)21.0%3.0 PA

3Tyler Soderstrom (L)22.4%3.0 PA

4Jacob Wilson (R)24.6%3.0 PA

5Carlos Cortes (L)23.3%3.0 PA

6Zack Gelof (R)23.9%2.7 PA

7Lawrence Butler (L)21.3%2.0 PA

8Henry Bolte (R)24.5%2.0 PA

9Jeff McNeil (L)20.4%2.0 PA

Jack Perkins · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.9% Hits / BF

vs LHB20.2%

vs RHB23.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.0%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload14.6 BF

Expected batters faced14.6

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.1 H

Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

PIT lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Spencer Horwitz (L)22.7%2.0 PA

2Brandon Lowe (L)22.3%2.0 PA

3Bryan Reynolds (L)20.2%2.0 PA

4Ryan O'Hearn (L)23.9%2.0 PA

5Nick Gonzales (R)26.7%2.0 PA

6Endy Rodríguez (L)20.8%1.6 PA

7Tyler Callihan (L)22.9%1.0 PA

8Jake Mangum (L)28.0%1.0 PA

9Jared Triolo (R)18.7%1.0 PA