‹ Hits Allowed · Wednesday, June 17, 2026
SD @ STL Hits Allowed matchups · Wednesday, June 17, 2026
SD
San Diego Padres
6–1
Final
STL
St. Louis Cardinals
◆ Busch StadiumElevation 460 ftCenter Field 400 ft☀ 85°F CloudyWind 22 mph, R To L
Bradgley Rodriguez · RHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.6%
vs RHB23.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload9.6 BF
Expected batters faced9.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.1 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
STL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1JJ Wetherholt (L)22.4%1.6 PA
2Iván Herrera (R)22.1%1.0 PA
3Alec Burleson (L)27.9%1.0 PA
4Jordan Walker (R)24.9%1.0 PA
5Lars Nootbaar (L)21.2%1.0 PA
6Masyn Winn (R)20.0%1.0 PA
7Jimmy Crooks (L)20.2%1.0 PA
8Blaze Jordan (R)22.5%1.0 PA
9Nathan Church (L)23.5%1.0 PA
Kyle Leahy · RHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate25.7% Hits / BF
vs LHB25.7%
vs RHB24.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.1%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.6 BF
Expected batters faced22.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.4 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
SD lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)24.3%3.0 PA
2Samad Taylor (R)24.8%3.0 PA
3Jackson Merrill (L)20.5%3.0 PA
4Manny Machado (R)18.4%3.0 PA
5Gavin Sheets (L)21.3%2.6 PA
6Xander Bogaerts (R)20.3%2.0 PA
7Ty France (R)20.5%2.0 PA
8Will Wagner (L)23.9%2.0 PA
9Rodolfo Durán (R)22.5%2.0 PA