‹ Hits Allowed · Wednesday, June 17, 2026
DET @ HOU Hits Allowed matchups · Wednesday, June 17, 2026
DET
Detroit Tigers
2–4
Final
HOU
Houston Astros
◆ Daikin ParkElevation 45 ftCenter Field 409 ft☀ 73°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None
Casey Mize · RHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.3%
vs RHB23.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.9%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.1 BF
Expected batters faced21.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.6 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
HOU lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jeremy Peña (R)23.4%3.0 PA
2Yordan Alvarez (L)26.7%3.0 PA
3Christian Walker (R)23.2%3.0 PA
4Isaac Paredes (R)20.2%2.1 PA
5Jose Altuve (R)21.3%2.0 PA
6Cam Smith (R)20.0%2.0 PA
7Joey Loperfido (L)20.8%2.0 PA
8Jake Meyers (R)22.0%2.0 PA
9Christian Vázquez (R)19.9%2.0 PA
Peter Lambert · RHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB15.4%
vs RHB26.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.5 BF
Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.9 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
DET lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Kevin McGonigle (L)22.5%3.0 PA
2Dillon Dingler (R)26.2%3.0 PA
3Riley Greene (L)24.8%3.0 PA
4Spencer Torkelson (R)19.9%3.0 PA
5Kerry Carpenter (L)22.7%3.0 PA
6Colt Keith (L)22.3%2.5 PA
7Matt Vierling (R)18.1%2.0 PA
8Hao-Yu Lee (R)22.9%2.0 PA
9Jake Rogers (R)18.6%2.0 PA