‹ Hits Allowed · Wednesday, June 17, 2026
COL @ CHC Hits Allowed matchups · Wednesday, June 17, 2026
COL
Colorado Rockies
6–8
Final
CHC
Chicago Cubs
◆ Wrigley FieldElevation 595 ftCenter Field 400 ft☀ 70°F OvercastWind 13 mph, Out To CF
Sean Sullivan · LHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.5%
vs RHB22.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload20.2 BF
Expected batters faced20.2
From recent starts1
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.5 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
CHC lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)23.6%3.0 PA
2Nico Hoerner (R)25.3%3.0 PA
3Seiya Suzuki (R)21.0%2.3 PA
4Michael Busch (L)21.9%2.0 PA
5Alex Bregman (R)21.5%2.0 PA
6Ian Happ (R)18.4%2.0 PA
7Matt Shaw (R)22.9%2.0 PA
8Carson Kelly (R)24.5%2.0 PA
9Dansby Swanson (R)19.9%2.0 PA
Javier Assad · RHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.7% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.4%
vs RHB19.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.2%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload15.8 BF
Expected batters faced15.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection3.3 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
COL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jake McCarthy (L)23.6%2.0 PA
2Tyler Freeman (R)24.1%2.0 PA
3TJ Rumfield (L)22.7%2.0 PA
4Hunter Goodman (R)22.3%2.0 PA
5Cole Carrigg (L)22.5%2.0 PA
6Edouard Julien (L)22.0%2.0 PA
7Ezequiel Tovar (R)21.5%1.8 PA
8Sterlin Thompson (L)22.5%1.0 PA
9Kyle Karros (R)22.1%1.0 PA