‹ Hits Allowed · Thursday, June 18, 2026
NYM @ PHI Hits Allowed matchups · Thursday, June 18, 2026
NYM
New York Mets
6–4
Final
PHI
Philadelphia Phillies
◆ Citizens Bank ParkElevation 20 ftCenter Field 401 ft☀ 89°F Partly CloudyWind 21 mph, Out To RF
Sean Manaea · LHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.9% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.4%
vs RHB21.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload16.4 BF
Expected batters faced16.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection3.6 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
PHI lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Trea Turner (R)21.2%2.0 PA
2Kyle Schwarber (L)23.3%2.0 PA
3Bryce Harper (L)20.3%2.0 PA
4Alec Bohm (R)22.2%2.0 PA
5Brandon Marsh (L)23.7%2.0 PA
6Edmundo Sosa (R)22.8%2.0 PA
7Bryson Stott (L)23.2%2.0 PA
8J.T. Realmuto (R)20.7%1.4 PA
9Derek Hill (R)21.7%1.0 PA
Aaron Nola · RHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate25.0% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.7%
vs RHB25.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.6 BF
Expected batters faced21.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.2 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
NYM lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Carson Benge (L)21.7%3.0 PA
2Bo Bichette (R)26.4%3.0 PA
3Juan Soto (L)22.8%3.0 PA
4Jared Young (L)22.0%2.6 PA
5A.J. Ewing (L)24.6%2.0 PA
6Marcus Semien (R)19.6%2.0 PA
7Brett Baty (L)21.4%2.0 PA
8MJ Melendez (L)18.4%2.0 PA
9Francisco Alvarez (R)23.0%2.0 PA