MatchWiz Plays
Hits Allowed · Friday, June 19, 2026

SD @ TEX Hits Allowed matchups · Friday, June 19, 2026

SD
SD
San Diego Padres
79
Final
TEX
Texas Rangers
TEX
Globe Life FieldElevation 545 ftCenter Field 407 ft 74°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None

SD Randy Vásquez · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate24.8% Hits / BF

vs LHB23.8%
vs RHB24.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.6%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.3 BF

Expected batters faced22.3
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.4 H

Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+110-150
BOVBovada+115-155
DKDraftKings+117-156

We project 5.4 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

TEX lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Joc Pederson (L)20.8%3.0 PA
2Josh Jung (R)24.1%3.0 PA
3Wyatt Langford (R)22.0%3.0 PA
4Brandon Nimmo (L)23.8%3.0 PA
5Ezequiel Duran (R)23.4%2.3 PA
6Alejandro Osuna (L)20.3%2.0 PA
7Jake Burger (R)22.7%2.0 PA
8Nicky Lopez (L)22.5%2.0 PA
9Elias Díaz (R)22.5%2.0 PA

TEX Jacob deGrom · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.4% Hits / BF

vs LHB19.5%
vs RHB22.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.4%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.8 BF

Expected batters faced22.8
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.7 H

Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-125
BOVBovada-115-125
DKDraftKings-109-122
FANFanatics-105-135

We project 4.7 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

SD lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)24.1%3.0 PA
2Samad Taylor (R)25.0%3.0 PA
3Jackson Merrill (L)20.5%3.0 PA
4Manny Machado (R)19.0%3.0 PA
5Gavin Sheets (L)20.3%2.8 PA
6Xander Bogaerts (R)20.4%2.0 PA
7Ty France (R)19.7%2.0 PA
8Will Wagner (L)22.6%2.0 PA
9Rodolfo Durán (R)22.5%2.0 PA