‹ Hits Allowed · Friday, June 19, 2026
BOS @ SEA Hits Allowed matchups · Friday, June 19, 2026
BOS
Boston Red Sox
6–2
Final
SEA
Seattle Mariners
◆ T-Mobile ParkElevation 10 ftCenter Field 405 ft☀ 80°F ClearWind 5 mph, L To R
Ranger Suarez · LHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB25.2%
vs RHB21.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.5 BF
Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.1 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-125-105
BOVBovada-155+115
DKDraftKings-153+115
We project 5.1 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
SEA lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Rob Refsnyder (R)22.5%3.0 PA
2Cal Raleigh (R)20.9%3.0 PA
3Julio Rodríguez (R)22.5%3.0 PA
4Josh Naylor (L)25.3%3.0 PA
5Dominic Canzone (L)22.2%2.5 PA
6Cole Young (L)22.3%2.0 PA
7Victor Robles (R)22.6%2.0 PA
8Colt Emerson (L)19.2%2.0 PA
9Weston Wilson (R)22.5%2.0 PA
Bryce Miller · RHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate18.1% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.2%
vs RHB19.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.6 BF
Expected batters faced21.6
From recent starts6
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.0 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-140+100
DKDraftKings-136+103
We project 4.0 H vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
BOS lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Mickey Gasper (L)22.5%3.0 PA
2Ceddanne Rafaela (R)24.8%3.0 PA
3Wilyer Abreu (L)21.7%3.0 PA
4Willson Contreras (R)23.7%2.6 PA
5Jarren Duran (L)20.8%2.0 PA
6Caleb Durbin (R)19.0%2.0 PA
7Marcelo Mayer (L)19.2%2.0 PA
8Carlos Narváez (R)19.8%2.0 PA
9Andruw Monasterio (R)21.9%2.0 PA