‹ Hits Allowed · Friday, June 19, 2026
CIN @ NYY Hits Allowed matchups · Friday, June 19, 2026
CIN
Cincinnati Reds
0–5
Final
NYY
New York Yankees
◆ Yankee StadiumElevation 55 ftCenter Field 408 ft☀ 77°F Partly CloudyWind 15 mph, Out To RF
Rhett Lowder · RHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.0% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.4%
vs RHB22.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.2 BF
Expected batters faced21.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.1 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+125-165
BOVBovada+120-160
DKDraftKings+119-159
We project 4.1 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
NYY lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Ben Rice (L)23.3%3.0 PA
2Jasson Domínguez (L)19.8%3.0 PA
3Cody Bellinger (L)23.1%3.0 PA
4Paul Goldschmidt (R)24.1%2.2 PA
5Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L)18.8%2.0 PA
6Spencer Jones (L)22.5%2.0 PA
7Anthony Volpe (R)22.0%2.0 PA
8Ryan McMahon (L)20.7%2.0 PA
9J.C. Escarra (L)18.7%2.0 PA
Cam Schlittler · RHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.7%
vs RHB20.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.5%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.5 BF
Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.5 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-118-110
BOVBovada-130-110
DKDraftKings-127-105
We project 4.5 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
CIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Blake Dunn (R)22.9%3.0 PA
2JJ Bleday (L)21.7%3.0 PA
3Sal Stewart (R)21.4%3.0 PA
4Nathaniel Lowe (L)23.3%3.0 PA
5Spencer Steer (R)18.9%3.0 PA
6Eugenio Suárez (R)21.7%2.5 PA
7Tyler Stephenson (R)22.7%2.0 PA
8Matt McLain (R)19.4%2.0 PA
9Edwin Arroyo (L)22.5%2.0 PA