MatchWiz Plays
Hits Allowed · Friday, June 19, 2026

SF @ MIA Hits Allowed matchups · Friday, June 19, 2026

SF
SF
San Francisco Giants
34
Final
MIA
Miami Marlins
MIA
loanDepot parkElevation 10 ftCenter Field 407 ft 72°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None

SF Landen Roupp · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.6% Hits / BF

vs LHB20.4%
vs RHB21.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.6%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.3 BF

Expected batters faced22.3
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.7 H

Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+110-150
BOVBovada+120-160
DKDraftKings+120-160

We project 4.7 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

MIA lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Liam Hicks (L)25.8%3.0 PA
2Owen Caissie (L)19.3%3.0 PA
3Heriberto Hernández (R)23.4%3.0 PA
4Kyle Stowers (L)21.8%3.0 PA
5Otto Lopez (R)25.8%2.3 PA
6Jakob Marsee (L)20.5%2.0 PA
7Connor Norby (R)21.8%2.0 PA
8Joe Mack (L)22.5%2.0 PA
9Javier Sanoja (R)21.5%2.0 PA

MIA Lake Bachar · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate17.1% Hits / BF

vs LHB17.9%
vs RHB18.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.4%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload11.9 BF

Expected batters faced11.9
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.4 H

Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Hits Allowed Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
FANFanatics+125-180

We project 2.4 H vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

SF lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Luis Arraez (L)28.3%2.0 PA
2Bryce Eldridge (L)24.8%2.0 PA
3Matt Chapman (R)23.3%1.9 PA
4Rafael Devers (L)22.8%1.0 PA
5Jung Hoo Lee (L)28.5%1.0 PA
6Willy Adames (R)21.8%1.0 PA
7Casey Schmitt (R)24.2%1.0 PA
8Drew Gilbert (L)21.0%1.0 PA
9Daniel Susac (R)21.1%1.0 PA