‹ Hits Allowed · Friday, June 19, 2026
BAL @ LAD Hits Allowed matchups · Friday, June 19, 2026
BAL
Baltimore Orioles
5–6
Final
LAD
Los Angeles Dodgers
◆ UNIQLO Field at Dodger StadiumElevation 515 ftCenter Field 395 ft☀ 69°F ClearWind 5 mph, Out To CF
Trey Gibson · RHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB24.0%
vs RHB20.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)6.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload20.6 BF
Expected batters faced20.6
From recent starts5
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.8 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-160+120
BOVBovada-160+120
DKDraftKings-159+120
We project 4.8 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
LAD lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Kyle Tucker (L)22.6%3.0 PA
2Andy Pages (R)24.1%3.0 PA
3Freddie Freeman (L)25.5%2.6 PA
4Mookie Betts (R)22.2%2.0 PA
5Max Muncy (L)22.9%2.0 PA
6Tommy Edman (L)21.6%2.0 PA
7Ryan Ward (L)22.5%2.0 PA
8Dalton Rushing (L)22.9%2.0 PA
9Alex Freeland (L)19.5%2.0 PA
Roki Sasaki · RHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.5%
vs RHB22.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.1%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.1 BF
Expected batters faced23.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.7 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-125
BOVBovada-105-135
DKDraftKings+100-132
FANFanatics-115-125
We project 4.7 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
BAL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Taylor Ward (R)20.7%3.0 PA
2Gunnar Henderson (L)21.7%3.0 PA
3Pete Alonso (R)23.1%3.0 PA
4Samuel Basallo (L)22.2%3.0 PA
5Leody Taveras (L)21.9%3.0 PA
6Colton Cowser (L)21.1%2.1 PA
7Coby Mayo (R)17.0%2.0 PA
8Jackson Holliday (L)20.5%2.0 PA
9Jeremiah Jackson (R)25.3%2.0 PA