‹ Hits Allowed · Friday, June 19, 2026
STL @ KC Hits Allowed matchups · Friday, June 19, 2026
STL
St. Louis Cardinals
5–6
Final
KC
Kansas City Royals
◆ Kauffman StadiumElevation 856 ftCenter Field 410 ft☀ 80°F CloudyWind 0 mph, Calm
Michael McGreevy · RHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.6%
vs RHB21.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.1%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.9 BF
Expected batters faced22.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.0 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-130-105
BOVBovada-150+110
DKDraftKings-145+109
We project 5.0 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
KC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Carter Jensen (L)21.9%3.0 PA
2Lane Thomas (R)20.0%3.0 PA
3Jac Caglianone (L)23.0%3.0 PA
4Salvador Perez (R)20.0%3.0 PA
5Michael Massey (L)23.7%2.9 PA
6Nick Loftin (R)21.4%2.0 PA
7John Rave (L)22.1%2.0 PA
8Isaac Collins (L)20.0%2.0 PA
9Tyler Tolbert (R)22.5%2.0 PA
Seth Lugo · RHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.7% Hits / BF
vs LHB25.3%
vs RHB21.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.1 BF
Expected batters faced23.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.5 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-135+100
BOVBovada-150+110
DKDraftKings-151+113
FANFanatics-135-105
We project 5.5 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
STL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1JJ Wetherholt (L)22.7%3.0 PA
2Iván Herrera (R)21.4%3.0 PA
3Alec Burleson (L)27.5%3.0 PA
4Jordan Walker (R)24.5%3.0 PA
5Lars Nootbaar (L)22.2%3.0 PA
6Masyn Winn (R)21.6%2.1 PA
7Jimmy Crooks (L)18.8%2.0 PA
8Blaze Jordan (R)22.5%2.0 PA
9Nathan Church (L)24.0%2.0 PA