‹ Hits Allowed · Friday, June 19, 2026
PIT @ COL Hits Allowed matchups · Friday, June 19, 2026
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
3–4
Final
COL
Colorado Rockies
◆ Coors FieldElevation 5,190 ftCenter Field 415 ft☀ 81°F Partly CloudyWind 8 mph, In From LF
Bubba Chandler · RHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate17.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.4%
vs RHB18.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.8 BF
Expected batters faced21.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.2 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-150+110
DKDraftKings-145+109
We project 4.2 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
COL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jake McCarthy (L)24.1%3.0 PA
2Willi Castro (L)22.5%3.0 PA
3Hunter Goodman (R)21.9%3.0 PA
4TJ Rumfield (L)23.3%2.8 PA
5Tyler Freeman (R)23.5%2.0 PA
6Cole Carrigg (L)22.5%2.0 PA
7Sterlin Thompson (L)22.5%2.0 PA
8Ezequiel Tovar (R)20.9%2.0 PA
9Kyle Karros (R)23.3%2.0 PA
Kyle Freeland · LHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate28.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.5%
vs RHB29.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.7 BF
Expected batters faced23.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection6.3 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-140+105
BOVBovada-130-110
DKDraftKings-127-104
FANFanatics-145+100
We project 6.3 H vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
PIT lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Spencer Horwitz (L)21.4%3.0 PA
2Nick Gonzales (R)23.3%3.0 PA
3Ryan O'Hearn (L)24.4%3.0 PA
4Marcell Ozuna (R)21.4%3.0 PA
5Brandon Lowe (L)18.5%3.0 PA
6Endy Rodríguez (R)22.5%2.7 PA
7Esmerlyn Valdez (R)22.5%2.0 PA
8Jared Triolo (R)24.1%2.0 PA
9Billy Cook (R)22.5%2.0 PA