‹ Hits Allowed · Friday, June 19, 2026
TOR @ CHC Hits Allowed matchups · Friday, June 19, 2026
TOR
Toronto Blue Jays
2–16
Final
CHC
Chicago Cubs
◆ Wrigley FieldElevation 595 ftCenter Field 400 ft☀ 71°F SunnyWind 6 mph, L To R
Kevin Gausman · RHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.1% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.9%
vs RHB21.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.2%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.4 BF
Expected batters faced23.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.8 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-155+115
BOVBovada-150+110
DKDraftKings-149+112
FANFanatics-155+105
We project 4.8 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
CHC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)26.3%3.0 PA
2Alex Bregman (R)21.8%3.0 PA
3Michael Busch (L)21.0%3.0 PA
4Seiya Suzuki (R)23.7%3.0 PA
5Ian Happ (L)20.9%3.0 PA
6Matt Shaw (R)23.4%2.4 PA
7Nico Hoerner (R)19.4%2.0 PA
8Carson Kelly (R)21.6%2.0 PA
9Dansby Swanson (R)17.8%2.0 PA
Ben Brown · RHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.9% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.3%
vs RHB19.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload19.6 BF
Expected batters faced19.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.1 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-125-105
BOVBovada-130-110
DKDraftKings-127-104
We project 4.1 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
TOR lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1George Springer (R)21.7%3.0 PA
2Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)23.1%2.6 PA
3Jesús Sánchez (L)26.3%2.0 PA
4Yohendrick Piñango (L)22.5%2.0 PA
5Alejandro Kirk (R)22.1%2.0 PA
6Nathan Lukes (L)27.5%2.0 PA
7Kazuma Okamoto (R)22.5%2.0 PA
8Davis Schneider (R)21.4%2.0 PA
9Andrés Giménez (L)22.8%2.0 PA