‹ Hits Allowed · Friday, June 19, 2026
MIL @ ATL Hits Allowed matchups · Friday, June 19, 2026
MIL
Milwaukee Brewers
2–3
Final
ATL
Atlanta Braves
◆ Truist ParkElevation 1,001 ftCenter Field 400 ft☀ 83°F Partly CloudyWind 9 mph, Out To CF
Jacob Misiorowski · RHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate14.9% Hits / BF
vs LHB14.9%
vs RHB17.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.7 BF
Expected batters faced23.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection3.8 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-155+115
DKDraftKings-152+114
We project 3.8 H vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
ATL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Drake Baldwin (L)23.9%3.0 PA
2Ozzie Albies (L)21.0%3.0 PA
3Matt Olson (L)23.2%3.0 PA
4Dominic Smith (L)24.1%3.0 PA
5Mauricio Dubón (R)25.3%3.0 PA
6Austin Riley (R)19.4%2.7 PA
7Mike Yastrzemski (L)21.0%2.0 PA
8Eli White (R)21.7%2.0 PA
9Jorge Mateo (R)22.5%2.0 PA
Martín Pérez · LHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.1%
vs RHB20.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload18.4 BF
Expected batters faced18.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection3.9 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-145+105
DKDraftKings-140+105
FANFanatics-155+110
We project 3.9 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
MIL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Christian Yelich (L)22.7%2.4 PA
2Jackson Chourio (R)28.4%2.0 PA
3Brice Turang (L)19.1%2.0 PA
4William Contreras (R)26.2%2.0 PA
5Garrett Mitchell (L)19.3%2.0 PA
6Andrew Vaughn (R)29.0%2.0 PA
7Blake Perkins (R)22.4%2.0 PA
8Cooper Pratt (R)22.5%2.0 PA
9Joey Ortiz (R)21.7%2.0 PA