‹ Hits Allowed · Friday, June 19, 2026
MIN @ AZ Hits Allowed matchups · Friday, June 19, 2026
MIN
Minnesota Twins
5–9
Final
AZ
Arizona Diamondbacks
◆ Chase FieldElevation 1,086 ftCenter Field 407 ft☀ 77°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None
Connor Prielipp · LHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.2%
vs RHB21.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.7 BF
Expected batters faced22.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.2 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-125
BOVBovada-135-105
DKDraftKings-130-102
FANFanatics-150+105
We project 5.2 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
AZ lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Ketel Marte (R)24.5%3.0 PA
2Geraldo Perdomo (R)22.3%3.0 PA
3Corbin Carroll (L)26.9%3.0 PA
4Gabriel Moreno (R)22.4%3.0 PA
5Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (R)22.5%2.7 PA
6Nolan Arenado (R)20.6%2.0 PA
7Ildemaro Vargas (R)22.6%2.0 PA
8Jordan Lawlar (R)22.3%2.0 PA
9LuJames Groover (R)22.5%2.0 PA
Michael Soroka · RHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.6%
vs RHB18.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.8 BF
Expected batters faced23.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.0 H
Expected hits allowed — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+115-155
BOVBovada+115-155
DKDraftKings+115-152
We project 5.0 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
MIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Trevor Larnach (L)24.3%3.0 PA
2Byron Buxton (R)24.3%3.0 PA
3Kody Clemens (L)24.2%3.0 PA
4Josh Bell (L)23.5%3.0 PA
5Royce Lewis (R)20.6%3.0 PA
6Brooks Lee (L)21.1%2.8 PA
7Victor Caratini (L)23.2%2.0 PA
8Tristan Gray (L)21.7%2.0 PA
9Luke Keaschall (R)22.9%2.0 PA