Best MLB walks allowed matchups — Wednesday, June 17, 2026
Every starting pitcher on the Wednesday, June 17, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by walk risk against today's lineup. His command, the lineup's plate discipline, and his workload. Results show how each call played out.
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload9.2 BF
Expected batters faced9.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection0.8 BB
Expected walks — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness7.1% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Mickey Gasper (L)8.8%1.2
2. Ceddanne Rafaela (R)5.5%1.0
3. Wilyer Abreu (L)7.3%1.0
4. Willson Contreras (R)7.4%1.0
5. Jarren Duran (L)6.6%1.0
6. Masataka Yoshida (L)8.0%1.0
7. Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)6.6%1.0
8. Andruw Monasterio (R)6.4%1.0
9. Marcelo Mayer (L)7.0%1.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher walks Rate9.3% BB / BF
vs LHB8.5%
vs RHB9.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.8%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload9.6 BF
Expected batters faced9.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection0.8 BB
Expected walks — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.1% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. JJ Wetherholt (L)8.2%1.6
2. Iván Herrera (R)8.9%1.0
3. Alec Burleson (L)9.1%1.0
4. Jordan Walker (R)6.1%1.0
5. Lars Nootbaar (L)10.4%1.0
6. Masyn Winn (R)7.1%1.0
7. Jimmy Crooks (L)8.0%1.0
8. Blaze Jordan (R)8.5%1.0
9. Nathan Church (L)6.3%1.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher walks Rate7.1% BB / BF
vs LHB8.3%
vs RHB6.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.2%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload15.8 BF
Expected batters faced15.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.3 BB
Expected walks — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness9.0% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Jake McCarthy (L)8.1%2.0
2. Tyler Freeman (R)8.0%2.0
3. TJ Rumfield (L)9.9%2.0
4. Hunter Goodman (R)9.1%2.0
5. Cole Carrigg (L)8.5%2.0
6. Edouard Julien (L)11.2%2.0
7. Ezequiel Tovar (R)5.3%1.8
8. Sterlin Thompson (L)8.5%1.0
9. Kyle Karros (R)12.0%1.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher walks Rate10.3% BB / BF
vs LHB12.7%
vs RHB7.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.1%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload17.6 BF
Expected batters faced17.6
From recent starts5
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.5 BB
Expected walks — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.4% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Ketel Marte (R)8.0%2.0
2. Geraldo Perdomo (R)9.5%2.0
3. Corbin Carroll (L)8.5%2.0
4. Gabriel Moreno (R)7.8%2.0
5. Nolan Arenado (R)9.2%2.0
6. Ildemaro Vargas (R)6.4%2.0
7. Jordan Lawlar (R)9.9%2.0
8. LuJames Groover (R)8.5%2.0
9. Tommy Troy (R)7.7%1.6
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher walks Rate7.6% BB / BF
vs LHB8.3%
vs RHB7.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.2%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.5 BF
Expected batters faced21.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.6 BB
Expected walks — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.1% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Tommy Edman (R)4.4%3.0
2. Andy Pages (R)7.1%3.0
3. Freddie Freeman (L)8.9%3.0
4. Mookie Betts (R)9.6%2.5
5. Miguel Rojas (R)8.5%2.0
6. Kyle Tucker (L)11.6%2.0
7. Alex Call (R)8.1%2.0
8. Dalton Rushing (L)6.9%2.0
9. Alex Freeland (R)7.9%2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher walks Rate13.7% BB / BF
vs LHB10.5%
vs RHB14.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)5.3%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload14.5 BF
Expected batters faced14.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.6 BB
Expected walks — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.1% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. James Wood (L)15.6%2.0
2. Luis García Jr. (L)5.6%2.0
3. Curtis Mead (R)10.0%2.0
4. CJ Abrams (L)8.6%2.0
5. Dylan Crews (R)4.9%2.0
6. Daylen Lile (L)7.3%1.6
7. Keibert Ruiz (L)6.2%1.0
8. José Tena (L)6.8%1.0
9. Nasim Nuñez (L)8.2%1.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher walks Rate7.2% BB / BF
vs LHB7.4%
vs RHB7.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.1%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload20.0 BF
Expected batters faced20.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.6 BB
Expected walks — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness9.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Carter Jensen (L)8.2%3.0
2. Bobby Witt Jr. (R)9.7%3.0
3. Jac Caglianone (L)11.7%2.0
4. Lane Thomas (R)11.3%2.0
5. Michael Massey (L)5.4%2.0
6. Salvador Perez (R)5.1%2.0
7. John Rave (L)9.5%2.0
8. Nick Loftin (R)10.3%2.0
9. Isaac Collins (L)15.0%2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher walks Rate6.7% BB / BF
vs LHB6.2%
vs RHB7.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.9%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.1 BF
Expected batters faced21.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.7 BB
Expected walks — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness9.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Jeremy Peña (R)9.0%3.0
2. Yordan Alvarez (L)14.1%3.0
3. Christian Walker (R)6.8%3.0
4. Isaac Paredes (R)9.9%2.1
5. Jose Altuve (R)8.8%2.0
6. Cam Smith (R)8.9%2.0
7. Joey Loperfido (L)11.3%2.0
8. Jake Meyers (R)8.1%2.0
9. Christian Vázquez (R)8.6%2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher walks Rate8.2% BB / BF
vs LHB5.7%
vs RHB11.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)6.9%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.4 BF
Expected batters faced22.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.7 BB
Expected walks — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness9.0% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Liam Hicks (L)10.4%3.0
2. Otto Lopez (R)5.7%3.0
3. Kyle Stowers (L)9.6%3.0
4. Xavier Edwards (L)10.7%3.0
5. Javier Sanoja (R)7.5%2.4
6. Owen Caissie (L)8.0%2.0
7. Jakob Marsee (L)12.2%2.0
8. Joe Mack (L)8.5%2.0
9. Esteury Ruiz (R)8.7%2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher walks Rate5.8% BB / BF
vs LHB7.0%
vs RHB5.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.3%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload25.5 BF
Expected batters faced25.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.7 BB
Expected walks — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Trea Turner (R)5.4%3.0
2. Kyle Schwarber (L)13.9%3.0
3. Bryce Harper (L)13.8%3.0
4. Brandon Marsh (L)7.4%3.0
5. Alec Bohm (R)7.0%3.0
6. Bryson Stott (L)7.4%3.0
7. Gabriel Rincones Jr. (L)8.5%3.0
8. Justin Crawford (L)6.2%2.5
9. Garrett Stubbs (L)7.6%2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher walks Rate8.5% BB / BF
vs LHB8.5%
vs RHB8.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload20.2 BF
Expected batters faced20.2
From recent starts1
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.8 BB
Expected walks — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness9.0% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)7.1%3.0
2. Nico Hoerner (R)7.2%3.0
3. Seiya Suzuki (R)12.0%2.3
4. Michael Busch (L)10.9%2.0
5. Alex Bregman (R)11.0%2.0
6. Ian Happ (R)7.4%2.0
7. Matt Shaw (R)7.5%2.0
8. Carson Kelly (R)9.9%2.0
9. Dansby Swanson (R)8.0%2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher walks Rate8.0% BB / BF
vs LHB9.4%
vs RHB7.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.3%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.0 BF
Expected batters faced24.0
From recent starts7
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.9 BB
Expected walks — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.2% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Carson Benge (L)9.1%3.0
2. Bo Bichette (R)7.9%3.0
3. Juan Soto (L)8.8%3.0
4. Marcus Semien (R)8.4%3.0
5. Mark Vientos (R)5.3%3.0
6. Francisco Alvarez (R)7.9%3.0
7. A.J. Ewing (L)7.6%2.0
8. Luis Torrens (R)7.0%2.0
9. Zack Short (R)12.0%2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher walks Rate8.2% BB / BF
vs LHB9.7%
vs RHB6.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.1%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.6 BF
Expected batters faced22.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.9 BB
Expected walks — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness9.1% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)8.1%3.0
2. Samad Taylor (R)8.5%3.0
3. Jackson Merrill (L)8.1%3.0
4. Manny Machado (R)8.2%3.0
5. Gavin Sheets (L)9.3%2.6
6. Xander Bogaerts (R)10.4%2.0
7. Ty France (R)6.9%2.0
8. Will Wagner (L)13.8%2.0
9. Rodolfo Durán (R)8.5%2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher walks Rate8.5% BB / BF
vs LHB8.3%
vs RHB8.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.8%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.5 BF
Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.9 BB
Expected walks — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Paul Goldschmidt (R)10.3%3.0
2. Ben Rice (L)8.3%3.0
3. Amed Rosario (R)7.6%3.0
4. Cody Bellinger (L)8.8%3.0
5. Jasson Domínguez (R)7.9%2.5
6. Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L)9.0%2.0
7. José Caballero (R)7.2%2.0
8. Anthony Volpe (R)8.3%2.0
9. Ali Sánchez (R)7.3%2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher walks Rate5.9% BB / BF
vs LHB6.8%
vs RHB5.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.5%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload25.0 BF
Expected batters faced25.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.9 BB
Expected walks — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness9.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Nick Kurtz (L)19.1%3.0
2. Shea Langeliers (R)7.3%3.0
3. Tyler Soderstrom (L)13.0%3.0
4. Jacob Wilson (R)6.6%3.0
5. Jonah Heim (L)8.3%3.0
6. Zack Gelof (R)7.4%3.0
7. Lawrence Butler (L)9.0%3.0
8. Henry Bolte (R)8.1%2.0
9. Jeff McNeil (L)8.1%2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher walks Rate7.4% BB / BF
vs LHB8.5%
vs RHB6.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.8%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.0 BF
Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.9 BB
Expected walks — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness9.2% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Spencer Horwitz (L)10.8%3.0
2. Brandon Lowe (L)9.6%3.0
3. Bryan Reynolds (L)12.3%3.0
4. Ryan O'Hearn (L)8.9%3.0
5. Nick Gonzales (R)5.7%3.0
6. Marcell Ozuna (R)8.8%2.0
7. Jake Mangum (L)6.7%2.0
8. Jared Triolo (R)9.8%2.0
9. Henry Davis (R)10.6%2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher walks Rate6.8% BB / BF
vs LHB8.5%
vs RHB5.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.9%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.2 BF
Expected batters faced24.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.0 BB
Expected walks — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness9.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Taylor Ward (R)13.6%3.0
2. Gunnar Henderson (L)10.1%3.0
3. Adley Rutschman (L)10.1%3.0
4. Pete Alonso (R)10.4%3.0
5. Samuel Basallo (L)9.4%3.0
6. Leody Taveras (L)7.7%3.0
7. Tyler O'Neill (R)9.2%2.2
8. Jackson Holliday (L)10.2%2.0
9. Blaze Alexander (R)6.5%2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher walks Rate8.5% BB / BF
vs LHB8.5%
vs RHB8.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.3 BF
Expected batters faced22.3
From recent starts3
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.1 BB
Expected walks — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness9.0% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. George Springer (R)12.0%3.0
2. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)11.8%3.0
3. Kazuma Okamoto (R)9.1%3.0
4. Alejandro Kirk (R)7.8%3.0
5. Ernie Clement (R)6.5%2.3
6. Jesús Sánchez (L)6.7%2.0
7. Davis Schneider (R)13.2%2.0
8. Myles Straw (R)8.6%2.0
9. Andrés Giménez (L)5.8%2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher walks Rate9.4% BB / BF
vs LHB13.8%
vs RHB4.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.7%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.5 BF
Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.3 BB
Expected walks — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.2% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Kevin McGonigle (L)14.0%3.0
2. Dillon Dingler (R)6.1%3.0
3. Riley Greene (L)9.3%3.0
4. Spencer Torkelson (R)8.4%3.0
5. Kerry Carpenter (L)7.8%3.0
6. Colt Keith (L)6.7%2.5
7. Matt Vierling (R)6.2%2.0
8. Hao-Yu Lee (R)7.2%2.0
9. Jake Rogers (R)8.3%2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher walks Rate9.7% BB / BF
vs LHB10.3%
vs RHB9.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.9%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.4 BF
Expected batters faced21.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.3 BB
Expected walks — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Travis Bazzana (L)9.8%3.0
2. Kyle Manzardo (L)10.3%3.0
3. Brayan Rocchio (L)8.2%3.0
4. Rhys Hoskins (R)11.8%2.4
5. Daniel Schneemann (L)7.9%2.0
6. David Fry (R)8.2%2.0
7. Steven Kwan (L)9.4%2.0
8. Petey Halpin (L)8.1%2.0
9. Patrick Bailey (L)6.9%2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher walks Rate11.2% BB / BF
vs LHB10.6%
vs RHB10.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.0%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.3 BF
Expected batters faced22.3
From recent starts6
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.3 BB
Expected walks — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.0% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Luis Arraez (L)6.1%3.0
2. Bryce Eldridge (L)12.7%3.0
3. Matt Chapman (R)9.3%3.0
4. Rafael Devers (L)9.6%3.0
5. Jung Hoo Lee (L)5.8%2.3
6. Willy Adames (R)7.6%2.0
7. Casey Schmitt (R)4.5%2.0
8. Drew Gilbert (L)10.3%2.0
9. Eric Haase (R)6.4%2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher walks Rate10.7% BB / BF
vs LHB5.2%
vs RHB13.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)2.1%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.0 BF
Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts0
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.3 BB
Expected walks — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.1% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Mauricio Dubón (R)9.0%3.0
2. Drake Baldwin (L)9.6%3.0
3. Matt Olson (L)8.2%3.0
4. Ozzie Albies (R)4.6%3.0
5. Austin Riley (R)10.0%3.0
6. Eli White (R)9.5%2.0
7. Jorge Mateo (R)6.5%2.0
8. Mike Yastrzemski (L)8.8%2.0
9. Sandy León (R)6.8%2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher walks Rate8.5% BB / BF
vs LHB8.5%
vs RHB8.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.8 BF
Expected batters faced23.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.4 BB
Expected walks — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness10.2% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Yandy Díaz (R)8.9%3.0
2. Jonathan Aranda (L)12.0%3.0
3. Cedric Mullins (L)9.7%3.0
4. Junior Caminero (R)10.0%3.0
5. Richie Palacios (L)12.1%3.0
6. Chandler Simpson (L)6.6%2.8
7. Victor Mesa Jr. (L)11.9%2.0
8. Hunter Feduccia (L)10.7%2.0
9. Taylor Walls (L)10.0%2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher walks Rate11.2% BB / BF
vs LHB10.1%
vs RHB11.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.3%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.3 BF
Expected batters faced23.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.5 BB
Expected walks — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. J.P. Crawford (L)12.2%3.0
2. Cal Raleigh (L)11.5%3.0
3. Julio Rodríguez (R)7.6%3.0
4. Dominic Canzone (L)7.1%3.0
5. Cole Young (L)7.1%3.0
6. Victor Robles (R)7.1%2.3
7. Colt Emerson (L)7.7%2.0
8. Connor Joe (R)9.8%2.0
9. Miles Mastrobuoni (L)8.0%2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher walks Rate11.4% BB / BF
vs LHB8.5%
vs RHB12.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.0 BF
Expected batters faced22.0
From recent starts6
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.5 BB
Expected walks — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Chase Meidroth (R)9.3%3.0
2. Randal Grichuk (R)8.4%3.0
3. Miguel Vargas (R)12.8%3.0
4. Colson Montgomery (L)6.7%3.0
5. Everson Pereira (R)9.2%2.0
6. Edgar Quero (R)8.1%2.0
7. Braden Montgomery (R)8.5%2.0
8. Luisangel Acuña (R)6.9%2.0
9. Sam Antonacci (L)6.2%2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher walks Rate9.4% BB / BF
vs LHB7.7%
vs RHB10.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.4%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.8 BF
Expected batters faced23.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.6 BB
Expected walks — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness9.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Zach Neto (R)10.8%3.0
2. Mike Trout (R)13.3%3.0
3. Jo Adell (R)7.0%3.0
4. Oswald Peraza (R)5.8%3.0
5. Vaughn Grissom (R)10.2%3.0
6. Denzer Guzman (R)7.7%2.8
7. Jose Siri (R)10.0%2.0
8. Logan Porter (R)10.1%2.0
9. Wade Meckler (L)9.3%2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher walks Rate8.9% BB / BF
vs LHB8.6%
vs RHB9.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.3%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.7 BF
Expected batters faced24.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.6 BB
Expected walks — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness10.0% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Christian Yelich (L)9.4%3.0
2. Jackson Chourio (R)8.3%3.0
3. Brice Turang (L)12.8%3.0
4. William Contreras (R)7.9%3.0
5. Jake Bauers (L)13.3%3.0
6. Sal Frelick (L)10.2%3.0
7. Garrett Mitchell (L)10.5%2.7
8. Cooper Pratt (R)8.5%2.0
9. David Hamilton (L)9.2%2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher walks Rate11.2% BB / BF
vs LHB10.5%
vs RHB10.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.1%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.8 BF
Expected batters faced22.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.6 BB
Expected walks — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness9.2% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Edwin Arroyo (L)8.5%3.0
2. JJ Bleday (L)10.8%3.0
3. Sal Stewart (R)10.9%3.0
4. Nathaniel Lowe (L)12.2%3.0
5. Eugenio Suárez (R)7.8%2.8
6. Spencer Steer (R)9.4%2.0
7. Noelvi Marte (R)6.7%2.0
8. Jose Trevino (R)7.1%2.0
9. Matt McLain (R)9.8%2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
23 with a BBLive count — updates as games play
1
Shane McClanahanP
TB@LAD· proj #5
5BBFinal
2
Sam AldegheriP
LAA@AZ· proj #4
3BBFinal
T2
Braxton AshcraftP
PIT@ATH· proj #15
3BBFinal
T2
JR RitchieP
ATLvsSF· proj #21
3BBFinal
T2
Eduardo RodriguezP
AZvsLAA· proj #26
3BBFinal
6
Braydon FisherP
TOR@BOS· proj #1
2BBFinal
T6
Zack LittellP
WSHvsKC· proj #7
2BBFinal
T6
Andrew PainterP
PHIvsMIA· proj #9
2BBFinal
T6
Sean SullivanP
COL@CHC· proj #11
2BBFinal
T6
Nick LodoloP
CINvsNYM· proj #12
2BBFinal
T6
Aaron CivaleP
ATHvsPIT· proj #16
2BBFinal
T6
Brandon SproatP
MILvsCLE· proj #20
2BBFinal
T6
Carson WhisenhuntP
SF@ATL· proj #22
2BBFinal
T6
Kyle BradishP
BAL@SEA· proj #24
2BBFinal
T6
Gavin WilliamsP
CLE@MIL· proj #27
2BBFinal
16
Luinder AvilaP
KC@WSH· proj #6
1BBFinal
T16
Casey MizeP
DET@HOU· proj #8
1BBFinal
T16
Sandy AlcantaraP
MIA@PHI· proj #10
1BBFinal
T16
Kyle LeahyP
STLvsSD· proj #13
1BBFinal
T16
Anthony KayP
CWS@NYY· proj #14
1BBFinal
T16
Shohei OhtaniTWP
LADvsTB· 0-for-1· proj #23
1BBFinal
T16
Carlos RodónP
NYYvsCWS· proj #25
1BBFinal
T16
Nolan McLeanP
NYM@CIN· proj #28
1BBFinal
Grades post here as games go final — how often our top-ranked matchups hit, vs the season.
Best MLB Walks Allowed Matchups — Wednesday, June 17, 2026
Braydon Fisher (TOR) is the top walks allowed spot on the Wednesday, June 17, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 0.8 BB, with Bradgley Rodriguez (SD) right behind. Every starter is ranked by walk risk against today's lineup — his command, the lineup's plate discipline, and his workload. It's the read DFS and pitcher-prop players make before lock.
Top spot: Braydon Fisher
Braydon Fisher (TOR) tops the Wednesday, June 17, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 0.8 BB vs BOS. His command, the lineup's plate discipline, and his workload.
The rest of the top of the board
Bradgley Rodriguez (SD) (98) — about 0.8 BB vs STL.
Javier Assad (CHC) (74) — about 1.3 BB vs COL.
Sam Aldegheri (LAA) (62) — about 1.5 BB vs AZ.
Shane McClanahan (TB) (56) — about 1.6 BB vs LAD.
Luinder Avila (KC) (53) — about 1.6 BB vs WSH.
How it played out
The top 10 starts averaged 1.7 BB. Braydon Fisher finished with 2. Every projection is graded against the box score.
How to read the walks allowed board
Each starter's score (0–100) ranked by walk risk against today's lineup — his command, the lineup's plate discipline, and his workload. We project a walks count for the start and grade it against what actually happened.
Which pitcher has the best walks allowed matchup today (Wednesday, June 17, 2026)?
Braydon Fisher (TOR) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 0.8 BB against BOS.
What are the best pitcher walks props today?
The top projected starts on Wednesday, June 17, 2026: Braydon Fisher (~0.8 BB), Bradgley Rodriguez (~0.8 BB), Javier Assad (~1.3 BB), Sam Aldegheri (~1.5 BB), Shane McClanahan (~1.6 BB). The full board ranks every starter.
How is the walks allowed score calculated?
Ranked by walk risk against today's lineup — his command, the lineup's plate discipline, and his workload. Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected walks count alongside, and graded against the box score.
Can I use this for pitcher props or DFS?
Yes — the board surfaces the best walks spots and projects a number. Where there's a posted line we show the over/under and which side our projection leans. We show the data and grade it, not picks.
