Best MLB walks allowed matchups — Thursday, June 18, 2026
Every starting pitcher on the Thursday, June 18, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by walk risk against today's lineup. His command, the lineup's plate discipline, and his workload. Results show how each call played out.
PROJSome lineups aren't official yet — 2 starts use an opposing lineup projected from that team's last game. The strikeout projection updates automatically once the official lineup posts, ~2 hours before first pitch.
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#Pitcher · MatchupScore
Pitcher walks Rate7.1% BB / BF
vs LHB5.7%
vs RHB8.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.6%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload16.4 BF
Expected batters faced16.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.2 BB
Expected walks — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Trea Turner (R)9.3%2.0
2. Kyle Schwarber (L)12.2%2.0
3. Bryce Harper (L)11.3%2.0
4. Alec Bohm (R)7.2%2.0
5. Brandon Marsh (L)6.0%2.0
6. Edmundo Sosa (R)6.1%2.0
7. Bryson Stott (L)9.7%2.0
8. J.T. Realmuto (R)8.9%1.4
9. Derek Hill (R)6.8%1.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher walks Rate5.6% BB / BF
vs LHB6.0%
vs RHB6.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.8%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.4 BF
Expected batters faced22.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.3 BB
Expected walks — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Joc Pederson (L)10.3%3.0
2. Josh Jung (R)5.9%3.0
3. Wyatt Langford (R)7.1%3.0
4. Brandon Nimmo (L)8.0%3.0
5. Ezequiel Duran (R)6.2%2.4
6. Josh Smith (L)10.2%2.0
7. Jake Burger (R)7.8%2.0
8. Alejandro Osuna (L)9.5%2.0
9. Kyle Higashioka (R)9.5%2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher walks Rate6.2% BB / BF
vs LHB7.2%
vs RHB5.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.1%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.5 BF
Expected batters faced21.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.3 BB
Expected walks — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness7.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. George Springer (R)10.3%3.0
2. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)9.7%3.0
3. Jesús Sánchez (L)7.0%3.0
4. Yohendrick Piñango (L)8.5%2.5
5. Ernie Clement (R)4.2%2.0
6. Nathan Lukes (L)6.8%2.0
7. Kazuma Okamoto (R)8.7%2.0
8. Brandon Valenzuela (L)9.4%2.0
9. Andrés Giménez (L)5.1%2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher walks Rate8.5% BB / BF
vs LHB8.8%
vs RHB8.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.3%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload18.4 BF
Expected batters faced18.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.4 BB
Expected walks — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness7.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Luis Arraez (L)4.8%2.4
2. Bryce Eldridge (L)8.1%2.0
3. Matt Chapman (R)12.7%2.0
4. Rafael Devers (L)8.2%2.0
5. Jung Hoo Lee (L)5.9%2.0
6. Willy Adames (R)8.8%2.0
7. Casey Schmitt (R)5.5%2.0
8. Drew Gilbert (L)6.6%2.0
9. Eric Haase (R)8.7%2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher walks Rate7.7% BB / BF
vs LHB9.7%
vs RHB6.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.5%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.3 BF
Expected batters faced23.3
From recent starts4
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.5 BB
Expected walks — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Zach Neto (R)11.6%3.0
2. Nick Madrigal (R)8.7%3.0
3. Jo Adell (R)7.0%3.0
4. Vaughn Grissom (R)9.5%3.0
5. Oswald Peraza (R)5.8%3.0
6. Christian Moore (R)6.8%2.3
7. Denzer Guzman (R)7.3%2.0
8. Logan O'Hoppe (R)8.6%2.0
9. Jose Siri (R)9.8%2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher walks Rate5.8% BB / BF
vs LHB6.7%
vs RHB6.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.1%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.5 BF
Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.6 BB
Expected walks — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness9.2% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. JJ Wetherholt (L)11.3%3.0
2. Iván Herrera (R)14.5%3.0
3. Jordan Walker (R)7.7%3.0
4. Nelson Velázquez (R)7.6%3.0
5. Alec Burleson (L)6.3%2.5
6. Masyn Winn (R)11.2%2.0
7. Blaze Jordan (R)8.5%2.0
8. José Fermín (R)9.2%2.0
9. Pedro Pagés (R)6.2%2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher walks Rate5.0% BB / BF
vs LHB6.6%
vs RHB4.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.5%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.4 BF
Expected batters faced23.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.6 BB
Expected walks — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness9.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Taylor Ward (R)13.5%3.0
2. Gunnar Henderson (L)10.0%3.0
3. Adley Rutschman (L)9.5%3.0
4. Pete Alonso (R)10.8%3.0
5. Samuel Basallo (L)8.8%3.0
6. Leody Taveras (L)7.6%2.4
7. Colton Cowser (L)10.5%2.0
8. Blaze Alexander (R)6.1%2.0
9. Jackson Holliday (L)9.7%2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher walks Rate8.5% BB / BF
vs LHB8.5%
vs RHB8.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload16.1 BF
Expected batters faced16.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.6 BB
Expected walks — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness9.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Travis Bazzana (L)10.6%2.0
2. David Fry (R)12.4%2.0
3. Brayan Rocchio (R)7.3%2.0
4. Rhys Hoskins (R)12.4%2.0
5. Kyle Manzardo (L)8.8%2.0
6. Gabriel Arias (R)7.1%2.0
7. Stuart Fairchild (R)13.7%2.0
8. Kahlil Watson (L)8.5%1.1
9. Austin Hedges (R)8.6%1.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher walks Rate6.9% BB / BF
vs LHB6.7%
vs RHB7.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.3%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.5 BF
Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.7 BB
Expected walks — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.2% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Chase Meidroth (R)8.5%3.0
2. Randal Grichuk (R)8.2%3.0
3. Miguel Vargas (R)12.7%3.0
4. Colson Montgomery (L)6.6%3.0
5. Edgar Quero (R)8.1%3.0
6. Braden Montgomery (R)8.5%2.5
7. Luisangel Acuña (R)6.3%2.0
8. Junior Perez (R)8.5%2.0
9. Tristan Peters (L)6.4%2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher walks Rate8.6% BB / BF
vs LHB6.6%
vs RHB9.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.1%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.9 BF
Expected batters faced21.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.8 BB
Expected walks — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness7.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Lane Thomas (R)12.6%3.0
2. Bobby Witt Jr. (R)8.7%3.0
3. Jac Caglianone (L)5.0%3.0
4. Starling Marte (R)8.1%2.9
5. Salvador Perez (R)6.6%2.0
6. Carter Jensen (L)7.9%2.0
7. Nick Loftin (R)10.0%2.0
8. Isaac Collins (R)6.5%2.0
9. Michael Massey (L)5.6%2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher walks Rate7.8% BB / BF
vs LHB8.6%
vs RHB7.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.9%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.1 BF
Expected batters faced23.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.0 BB
Expected walks — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness9.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Christian Yelich (L)9.3%3.0
2. Jackson Chourio (R)6.7%3.0
3. Brice Turang (L)8.5%3.0
4. Andrew Vaughn (R)9.8%3.0
5. Jake Bauers (L)11.2%3.0
6. Gary Sánchez (R)10.9%2.1
7. Blake Perkins (R)9.4%2.0
8. Cooper Pratt (R)8.5%2.0
9. Joey Ortiz (R)8.9%2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher walks Rate12.0% BB / BF
vs LHB12.2%
vs RHB9.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.9%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.5 BF
Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.1 BB
Expected walks — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness7.2% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Mickey Gasper (L)8.6%3.0
2. Ceddanne Rafaela (R)5.4%3.0
3. Wilyer Abreu (L)8.5%3.0
4. Willson Contreras (R)7.5%3.0
5. Jarren Duran (L)6.2%2.5
6. Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)6.6%2.0
7. Caleb Durbin (R)6.1%2.0
8. Connor Wong (R)9.5%2.0
9. Andruw Monasterio (R)6.4%2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher walks Rate11.0% BB / BF
vs LHB13.1%
vs RHB7.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.7%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload16.6 BF
Expected batters faced16.6
From recent starts4
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.1 BB
Expected walks — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness9.8% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Zack Gelof (R)7.3%2.0
2. Nick Kurtz (L)19.1%2.0
3. Shea Langeliers (R)7.6%2.0
4. Tyler Soderstrom (L)14.1%2.0
5. Jacob Wilson (R)6.8%2.0
6. Jonah Heim (L)8.5%2.0
7. Carlos Cortes (L)9.0%2.0
8. Henry Bolte (R)7.8%1.6
9. Jeff McNeil (L)8.1%1.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher walks Rate10.0% BB / BF
vs LHB11.4%
vs RHB7.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.6%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.3 BF
Expected batters faced22.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.1 BB
Expected walks — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.0% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Mauricio Dubón (R)6.1%3.0
2. Drake Baldwin (L)9.5%3.0
3. Matt Olson (L)9.1%3.0
4. Ozzie Albies (L)9.9%3.0
5. Austin Riley (R)8.2%2.3
6. Eli White (R)5.5%2.0
7. Jorge Mateo (R)8.0%2.0
8. Mike Yastrzemski (L)9.7%2.0
9. Sandy León (L)6.1%2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher walks Rate8.7% BB / BF
vs LHB11.7%
vs RHB4.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.4%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.6 BF
Expected batters faced21.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.2 BB
Expected walks — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Carson Benge (L)6.3%3.0
2. Bo Bichette (R)5.4%3.0
3. Juan Soto (L)15.4%3.0
4. Jared Young (L)6.5%2.6
5. A.J. Ewing (L)10.9%2.0
6. Marcus Semien (R)8.0%2.0
7. Brett Baty (L)8.4%2.0
8. MJ Melendez (L)10.3%2.0
9. Francisco Alvarez (R)8.6%2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher walks Rate9.7% BB / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB7.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.2%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.2 BF
Expected batters faced24.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.3 BB
Expected walks — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.1% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Trevor Larnach (L)10.3%3.0
2. Byron Buxton (R)7.8%3.0
3. Kody Clemens (L)7.7%3.0
4. Royce Lewis (R)8.3%3.0
5. Josh Bell (L)7.0%3.0
6. Brooks Lee (L)7.3%3.0
7. Victor Caratini (L)8.4%2.2
8. Tristan Gray (L)7.1%2.0
9. Luke Keaschall (R)9.4%2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher walks Rate8.3% BB / BF
vs LHB9.6%
vs RHB7.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.9%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.9 BF
Expected batters faced24.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.4 BB
Expected walks — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.8% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. J.P. Crawford (L)11.7%3.0
2. Cal Raleigh (L)11.1%3.0
3. Josh Naylor (L)8.1%3.0
4. Dominic Canzone (L)7.4%3.0
5. Cole Young (L)7.1%3.0
6. Colt Emerson (L)7.2%3.0
7. Mitch Garver (R)10.8%2.9
8. Victor Robles (R)6.9%2.0
9. Miles Mastrobuoni (L)9.0%2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher walks Rate11.3% BB / BF
vs LHB12.2%
vs RHB8.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.4%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.6 BF
Expected batters faced22.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.9 BB
Expected walks — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness9.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Ben Rice (L)13.0%3.0
2. Paul Goldschmidt (R)5.8%3.0
3. Cody Bellinger (L)10.8%3.0
4. Jasson Domínguez (L)8.8%3.0
5. Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L)12.9%2.6
6. Spencer Jones (L)8.5%2.0
7. José Caballero (R)7.8%2.0
8. Ryan McMahon (L)9.4%2.0
9. J.C. Escarra (L)8.3%2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
14 with a BBLive count — updates as games play
1
Gage JumpP
ATHvsLAA· proj #5
3BBFinal
T1
Shane DrohanP
MILvsCLE· proj #8
3BBFinal
T1
Parker MessickP
CLE@MIL· proj #11
3BBFinal
4
Joe RyanP
MIN@TEX· proj #2
2BBFinal
T4
Noah CameronP
KCvsSTL· proj #6
2BBFinal
T4
Jack LeiterP
TEXvsMIN· proj #16
2BBFinal
T4
Shane BazP
BAL@SEA· proj #17
2BBFinal
8
Sean ManaeaP
NYM@PHI· proj #1
1BBFinal
T8
Sonny GrayP
BOSvsTOR· proj #3
1BBFinal
T8
Bryan WooP
SEAvsBAL· proj #7
1BBFinal
T8
Ryan WeathersP
NYYvsCWS· proj #9
1BBFinal
T8
Ryan JohnsonP
LAA@ATH· proj #13
1BBFinal
T8
Aaron NolaP
PHIvsNYM· proj #15
1BBFinal
T8
Sean BurkeP
CWS@NYY· proj #18
1BBFinal
Grades post here as games go final — how often our top-ranked matchups hit, vs the season.
Best MLB Walks Allowed Matchups — Thursday, June 18, 2026
Sean Manaea (NYM) is the top walks allowed spot on the Thursday, June 18, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 1.2 BB, with Joe Ryan (MIN) right behind. Every starter is ranked by walk risk against today's lineup — his command, the lineup's plate discipline, and his workload. It's the read DFS and pitcher-prop players make before lock.
Top spot: Sean Manaea
Sean Manaea (NYM) tops the Thursday, June 18, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 1.2 BB vs PHI. His command, the lineup's plate discipline, and his workload.
The rest of the top of the board
Joe Ryan (MIN) (92) — about 1.3 BB vs TEX.
Sonny Gray (BOS) (91) — about 1.3 BB vs TOR.
Martín Pérez (ATL) (88) — about 1.4 BB vs SF.
Gage Jump (ATH) (80) — about 1.5 BB vs LAA.
Noah Cameron (KC) (78) — about 1.6 BB vs STL.
How it played out
The top 10 starts averaged 1.6 BB. Sean Manaea finished with 1. Every projection is graded against the box score.
How to read the walks allowed board
Each starter's score (0–100) ranked by walk risk against today's lineup — his command, the lineup's plate discipline, and his workload. We project a walks count for the start and grade it against what actually happened.
Which pitcher has the best walks allowed matchup today (Thursday, June 18, 2026)?
Sean Manaea (NYM) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 1.2 BB against PHI.
What are the best pitcher walks props today?
The top projected starts on Thursday, June 18, 2026: Sean Manaea (~1.2 BB), Joe Ryan (~1.3 BB), Sonny Gray (~1.3 BB), Martín Pérez (~1.4 BB), Gage Jump (~1.5 BB). The full board ranks every starter.
How is the walks allowed score calculated?
Ranked by walk risk against today's lineup — his command, the lineup's plate discipline, and his workload. Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected walks count alongside, and graded against the box score.
Can I use this for pitcher props or DFS?
Yes — the board surfaces the best walks spots and projects a number. Where there's a posted line we show the over/under and which side our projection leans. We show the data and grade it, not picks.
