MatchWiz Plays
Runs · Saturday, June 20, 2026

BOS @ SEA Runs matchups · Saturday, June 20, 2026

BOS
BOS
Boston Red Sox
vs
10:10 PM EDT
SEA
Seattle Mariners
SEA
T-Mobile ParkElevation 10 ftCenter Field 405 ft

BOS BOS Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from BOS's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.24025 BF
Season.102177 BF
Last 2 Years.120417 BF
wOBA allowed.282
Hard-Hit %44%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05917 BF
Season.081136 BF
Last 2 Years.108369 BF
wOBA allowed.289
Hard-Hit %32%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.103

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03132 PA
Season.12886 PA
Last 2 Years.123179 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 13vs TEX0
Jun 16vs TOR0
Jun 17vs TOR0
Jun 18vs TOR0
Jun 19@ SEA0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.134

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.24025 PA
Season.102177 PA
Last 2 Years.120417 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.120

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.135208 PA
Season.1111068 PA
Last 2 Years.1014113 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.304
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.320
Hard-Hit % Allowed39%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.54

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.113

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.13238 PA
Season.092206 PA
Last 2 Years.114852 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 14vs TEX0
Jun 16vs TOR0
Jun 17vs TOR0
Jun 18vs TOR1
Jun 19@ SEA1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.099

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05917 PA
Season.081136 PA
Last 2 Years.108369 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.098

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.081148 PA
Season.105915 PA
Last 2 Years.1044222 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.321
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.312
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-2

Runs0 in 2 PA
Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Runs0.481

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.100

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08336 PA
Season.078217 PA
Last 2 Years.121785 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 14vs TEX0
Jun 16vs TOR0
Jun 17vs TOR0
Jun 18vs TOR0
Jun 19@ SEA0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.134

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.24025 PA
Season.102177 PA
Last 2 Years.120417 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.120

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.135208 PA
Season.1111068 PA
Last 2 Years.1014113 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.314
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.320
Hard-Hit % Allowed39%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-3

Runs0 in 3 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Runs0.509

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.119

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.14641 PA
Season.101218 PA
Last 2 Years.118805 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 14vs TEX2
Jun 16vs TOR0
Jun 17vs TOR0
Jun 18vs TOR0
Jun 19@ SEA1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.099

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05917 PA
Season.081136 PA
Last 2 Years.108369 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.098

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.081148 PA
Season.105915 PA
Last 2 Years.1044222 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.372
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.312
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-1

Runs0 in 1 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances1
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Runs0.474

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2.8× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.107

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05934 PA
Season.112223 PA
Last 2 Years.141983 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 14vs TEX0
Jun 16vs TOR1
Jun 17vs TOR0
Jun 18vs TOR0
Jun 19@ SEA1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.134

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.24025 PA
Season.102177 PA
Last 2 Years.120417 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.120

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.135208 PA
Season.1111068 PA
Last 2 Years.1014113 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.302
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.320
Hard-Hit % Allowed39%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-3

Runs0 in 3 PA
Career Average.667
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Runs0.502

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 6-game hitting streak

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.125

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.12133 PA
Season.15491 PA
Last 2 Years.109622 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 13vs TEX2
Jun 14vs TEX0
Jun 16vs TOR0
Jun 17vs TOR0
Jun 18vs TOR1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.099

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05917 PA
Season.081136 PA
Last 2 Years.108369 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.098

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.081148 PA
Season.105915 PA
Last 2 Years.1044222 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.334
Hard-Hit %29%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.312
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.458

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.114

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.12532 PA
Season.103174 PA
Last 2 Years.112547 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 13vs TEX0
Jun 14vs TEX1
Jun 16vs TOR0
Jun 18vs TOR1
Jun 19@ SEA3

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.099

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05917 PA
Season.081136 PA
Last 2 Years.108369 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.098

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.081148 PA
Season.105915 PA
Last 2 Years.1044222 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.274
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.312
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.425

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.106

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09111 PA
Season.08868 PA
Last 2 Years.093408 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 4vs BAL0
Jun 5@ NYY1
Jun 12vs TEX1
Jun 16vs TOR0
Jun 18vs TOR0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.099

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05917 PA
Season.081136 PA
Last 2 Years.108369 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.098

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.081148 PA
Season.105915 PA
Last 2 Years.1044222 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.327
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.312
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.398

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.089

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00010 PA
Season.04567 PA
Last 2 Years.085211 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 10@ TB0
Jun 14vs TEX0
Jun 17vs TOR0
Jun 18vs TOR0
Jun 19@ SEA0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.099

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05917 PA
Season.081136 PA
Last 2 Years.108369 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.098

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.081148 PA
Season.105915 PA
Last 2 Years.1044222 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.281
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.312
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.356

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

SEA SEA Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from SEA's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.27311 BF
Season.09981 BF
Last 2 Years.087103 BF
wOBA allowed.295
Hard-Hit %29%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.12839 BF
Season.098246 BF
Last 2 Years.096303 BF
wOBA allowed.345
Hard-Hit %35%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Batter · Runs / PA vs LHP.119

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.3333 PA
Season.11073 PA
Last 2 Years.096364 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 5@ DET1
Jun 16vs BAL0
Jun 17vs BAL0
Jun 18vs BAL0
Jun 19vs BOS0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.124

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.27311 PA
Season.09981 PA
Last 2 Years.087103 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.110

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.118119 PA
Season.102498 PA
Last 2 Years.1002069 PA

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.328
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.318
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.553

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · Runs / PA vs LHP.105

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0001 PA
Season.03852 PA
Last 2 Years.144362 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

May 13@ HOU0
Jun 16vs BAL0
Jun 17vs BAL0
Jun 18vs BAL0
Jun 19vs BOS1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.111

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.12839 PA
Season.098246 PA
Last 2 Years.096303 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.090

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.078179 PA
Season.088808 PA
Last 2 Years.1043281 PA

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.308
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.364
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.476

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs LHP.112

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.16712 PA
Season.08681 PA
Last 2 Years.094361 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 12@ WSH1
Jun 13@ WSH0
Jun 14@ WSH0
Jun 18vs BAL1
Jun 19vs BOS0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.124

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.27311 PA
Season.09981 PA
Last 2 Years.087103 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.110

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.118119 PA
Season.102498 PA
Last 2 Years.1002069 PA

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.333
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.318
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.516

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · Runs / PA vs LHP.094

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0006 PA
Season.00017 PA
Last 2 Years.05690 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 14@ WSH0
Jun 16vs BAL0
Jun 17vs BAL1
Jun 18vs BAL1
Jun 19vs BOS0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.124

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.27311 PA
Season.09981 PA
Last 2 Years.087103 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.110

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.118119 PA
Season.102498 PA
Last 2 Years.1002069 PA

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.328
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.318
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.466

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs LHP.099

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10010 PA
Season.06789 PA
Last 2 Years.064156 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 14@ WSH1
Jun 16vs BAL0
Jun 17vs BAL1
Jun 18vs BAL1
Jun 19vs BOS0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.124

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.27311 PA
Season.09981 PA
Last 2 Years.087103 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.110

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.118119 PA
Season.102498 PA
Last 2 Years.1002069 PA

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.299
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.318
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.464

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2.9× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs LHP.119

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.1676 PA
Season.11526 PA
Last 2 Years.11526 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 14@ WSH0
Jun 16vs BAL1
Jun 17vs BAL0
Jun 18vs BAL0
Jun 19vs BOS0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.124

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.27311 PA
Season.09981 PA
Last 2 Years.087103 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.110

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.118119 PA
Season.102498 PA
Last 2 Years.1002069 PA

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.303
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.318
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.491

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs LHP.120

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.1676 PA
Season.13046 PA
Last 2 Years.101288 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 5@ DET0
Jun 9@ BAL1
Jun 10@ BAL0
Jun 13@ WSH1
Jun 18vs BAL0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.111

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.12839 PA
Season.098246 PA
Last 2 Years.096303 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.090

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.078179 PA
Season.088808 PA
Last 2 Years.1043281 PA

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.336
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.364
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.441

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs LHP.115

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.1676 PA
Season.08025 PA
Last 2 Years.115157 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 14@ WSH0
Jun 16vs BAL1
Jun 17vs BAL0
Jun 18vs BAL0
Jun 19vs BOS0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.111

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.12839 PA
Season.098246 PA
Last 2 Years.096303 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.090

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.078179 PA
Season.088808 PA
Last 2 Years.1043281 PA

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.293
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.364
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.421

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs LHP.131

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.5002 PA
Season.5002 PA
Last 2 Years.14328 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 13@ WSH1
Jun 14@ WSH0
Jun 16vs BAL1
Jun 17vs BAL0
Jun 18vs BAL0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.124

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.27311 PA
Season.09981 PA
Last 2 Years.087103 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.110

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.118119 PA
Season.102498 PA
Last 2 Years.1002069 PA

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.341
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.318
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.472

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.