Best MLB Runs Matchups — Saturday, June 20, 2026
Top runs spot: Trevor Larnach
Trevor Larnach (MIN) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Zac Gallen. The lefty is scoring at .164 R/PA against righties this year — and .194 over the last two weeks, a strong bat that turns into a run in about 15% of his trips. And Zac Gallen has been getting lit up by righties lately — .154 runs per batter faced. The bullpen behind him hasn't been any better to that side, so there's no relief late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. No real history against Zac Gallen. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Kody Clemens (MIN) (99) vs RHP Zac Gallen: an excellent bat at .159 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.154).
- Spencer Horwitz (PIT) (99) vs RHP Tomoyuki Sugano: a solid bat at .121 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.207), hitter's park.
- Byron Buxton (MIN) (97) vs RHP Zac Gallen: an excellent bat at .168 into an arm letting runs score against the same side (.120).
- Corbin Carroll (AZ) (96) vs RHP Taj Bradley: an excellent bat at .150 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.286).
- Liam Hicks (MIA) (93) vs RHP Trevor McDonald: a strong bat at .145 into an arm vulnerable to the same side (.136), hot bat.
- Brandon Lowe (PIT) (93) vs RHP Tomoyuki Sugano: a strong bat at .138 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.207), hitter's park.
- Nick Kurtz (ATH) (89) vs RHP Walbert Ureña: an elite bat at .171 into an arm mostly holding up against the same side (.100).
Platoon edges to target
- Trevor Larnach (MIN) — lefty bat vs RHP, .164 against righties this year.
- Kody Clemens (MIN) — lefty bat vs RHP, .138 against righties this year.
- Spencer Horwitz (PIT) — lefty bat vs RHP, .123 against righties this year.
- Corbin Carroll (AZ) — lefty bat vs RHP, .162 against righties this year.
- Liam Hicks (MIA) — lefty bat vs RHP, .156 against righties this year.
Best parks to score in today
Coors Field is playing as a real hitter's park today (+6% run-scoring park). Top bat there: Spencer Horwitz (PIT) at 99.
Lineup watch
252 of today's hitters are still on projected lineups, drawn from each team's last game. Batting order drives the score, so these flip the moment official lineups post — usually about two hours before first pitch. Anyone who doesn't make the official card gets flagged "Not starting" and drops to the bottom.
How to read these runs matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's runs scored per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.