‹ Runs · Saturday, June 20, 2026
TOR @ CHC Runs matchups · Saturday, June 20, 2026
TOR
Toronto Blue Jays
vs
2:20 PM EDT
CHC
Chicago Cubs
◆ Wrigley FieldElevation 595 ftCenter Field 400 ft
TOR Lineup
◷
Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from TOR's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).
Hits / BF vs LH Batters
WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.20729 BF
Season.131199 BF
Last 2 Years.136722 BF
wOBA allowed.368
Hard-Hit %35%
Hits / BF vs RH Batters
WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.23821 BF
Season.147129 BF
Last 2 Years.111658 BF
wOBA allowed.322
Hard-Hit %36%
Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.
Order · HitterMatchup
Context
Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.126
WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.15133 PA
Season.102167 PA
Last 2 Years.160865 PA
Last 5 GamesRuns
Jun 14vs NYY0
Jun 16@ BOS1
Jun 17@ BOS0
Jun 18@ BOS0
Jun 19@ CHC1
Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.142
WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.23821 PA
Season.147129 PA
Last 2 Years.111658 PA
Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.129
WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.146198 PA
Season.118954 PA
Last 2 Years.1163879 PA
Quality of Contact vs RHP
wOBA.333
Hard-Hit %38%
How well he's squaring up the ball.
Starter Allows · vs RHB
wOBA Allowed.353
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%
How hard hitters are squaring him up.
Head-to-Head0-for-2
Runs0 in 2 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0
Projection
Projected Runs0.612
A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.
Context
Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.122
WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.13829 PA
Season.109230 PA
Last 2 Years.1441056 PA
Last 5 GamesRuns
Jun 12vs NYY1
Jun 16@ BOS0
Jun 17@ BOS0
Jun 18@ BOS1
Jun 19@ CHC0
Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.142
WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.23821 PA
Season.147129 PA
Last 2 Years.111658 PA
Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.129
WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.146198 PA
Season.118954 PA
Last 2 Years.1163879 PA
Quality of Contact vs RHP
wOBA.313
Hard-Hit %37%
How well he's squaring up the ball.
Starter Allows · vs RHB
wOBA Allowed.353
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%
How hard hitters are squaring him up.
Head-to-Head0-for-3
Runs0 in 3 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0
Projection
Projected Runs0.591
A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.
Context
Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.117
WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.11127 PA
Season.115192 PA
Last 2 Years.126857 PA
Last 5 GamesRuns
Jun 13vs NYY0
Jun 14vs NYY0
Jun 17@ BOS0
Jun 18@ BOS0
Jun 19@ CHC0
Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.140
WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.20729 PA
Season.131199 PA
Last 2 Years.136722 PA
Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.094
WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.079215 PA
Season.097853 PA
Last 2 Years.1113004 PA
Quality of Contact vs RHP
wOBA.354
Hard-Hit %38%
How well he's squaring up the ball.
Starter Allows · vs LHB
wOBA Allowed.365
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%
How hard hitters are squaring him up.
Head-to-Head2-for-4
Runs0 in 5 PA
Career Average.400
Plate Appearances5
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 1
Projection
Projected Runs0.538
A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.
Context
Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.117
WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks——
Season——
Last 2 Years——
Last 5 GamesRuns
Jun 12vs NYY0
Jun 13vs NYY0
Jun 14vs NYY0
Jun 18@ BOS0
Jun 19@ CHC0
Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.140
WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.20729 PA
Season.131199 PA
Last 2 Years.136722 PA
Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.094
WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.079215 PA
Season.097853 PA
Last 2 Years.1113004 PA
Starter Allows · vs LHB
wOBA Allowed.365
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%
How hard hitters are squaring him up.
Head-to-Head
No Prior Matchups—
Projection
Projected Runs0.528
A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.
Context
Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit
Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.093
WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00010 PA
Season.03727 PA
Last 2 Years.086581 PA
Last 5 GamesRuns
Jun 12vs NYY1
Jun 14vs NYY0
Jun 16@ BOS0
Jun 17@ BOS0
Jun 19@ CHC0
Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.142
WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.23821 PA
Season.147129 PA
Last 2 Years.111658 PA
Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.129
WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.146198 PA
Season.118954 PA
Last 2 Years.1163879 PA
Quality of Contact vs RHP
wOBA.321
Hard-Hit %35%
How well he's squaring up the ball.
Starter Allows · vs RHB
wOBA Allowed.353
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%
How hard hitters are squaring him up.
Head-to-Head1-for-2
Runs0 in 2 PA
Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB1 · 0 · 0
Projection
Projected Runs0.491
A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.
Context
Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2.2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 5-game hitting streak
Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.121
WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.12532 PA
Season.120117 PA
Last 2 Years.128579 PA
Last 5 GamesRuns
Jun 14vs NYY1
Jun 16@ BOS0
Jun 17@ BOS0
Jun 18@ BOS1
Jun 19@ CHC0
Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.140
WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.20729 PA
Season.131199 PA
Last 2 Years.136722 PA
Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.094
WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.079215 PA
Season.097853 PA
Last 2 Years.1113004 PA
Quality of Contact vs RHP
wOBA.349
Hard-Hit %30%
How well he's squaring up the ball.
Starter Allows · vs LHB
wOBA Allowed.365
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%
How hard hitters are squaring him up.
Head-to-Head
No Prior Matchups—
Projection
Projected Runs0.49
A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.
Context
Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.125
WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.14335 PA
Season.124225 PA
Last 2 Years.124225 PA
Last 5 GamesRuns
Jun 14vs NYY0
Jun 16@ BOS1
Jun 17@ BOS0
Jun 18@ BOS1
Jun 19@ CHC0
Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.142
WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.23821 PA
Season.147129 PA
Last 2 Years.111658 PA
Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.129
WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.146198 PA
Season.118954 PA
Last 2 Years.1163879 PA
Quality of Contact vs RHP
wOBA.335
Hard-Hit %39%
How well he's squaring up the ball.
Starter Allows · vs RHB
wOBA Allowed.353
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%
How hard hitters are squaring him up.
Head-to-Head
No Prior Matchups—
Projection
Projected Runs0.522
A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.
Context
Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.129
WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.1437 PA
Season.17446 PA
Last 2 Years.121288 PA
Last 5 GamesRuns
Jun 12vs NYY0
Jun 14vs NYY1
Jun 16@ BOS1
Jun 17@ BOS1
Jun 19@ CHC0
Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.142
WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.23821 PA
Season.147129 PA
Last 2 Years.111658 PA
Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.129
WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.146198 PA
Season.118954 PA
Last 2 Years.1163879 PA
Quality of Contact vs RHP
wOBA.340
Hard-Hit %37%
How well he's squaring up the ball.
Starter Allows · vs RHB
wOBA Allowed.353
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%
How hard hitters are squaring him up.
Head-to-Head0-for-3
Runs0 in 3 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0
Projection
Projected Runs0.515
A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.
Context
Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.095
WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07427 PA
Season.075187 PA
Last 2 Years.097735 PA
Last 5 GamesRuns
Jun 13vs NYY0
Jun 16@ BOS2
Jun 17@ BOS2
Jun 18@ BOS0
Jun 19@ CHC1
Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.140
WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.20729 PA
Season.131199 PA
Last 2 Years.136722 PA
Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.094
WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.079215 PA
Season.097853 PA
Last 2 Years.1113004 PA
Quality of Contact vs RHP
wOBA.300
Hard-Hit %29%
How well he's squaring up the ball.
Starter Allows · vs LHB
wOBA Allowed.365
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%
How hard hitters are squaring him up.
Head-to-Head0-for-3
Runs0 in 3 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0
Projection
Projected Runs0.405
A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.
CHC Lineup
◷
Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from CHC's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).
Hits / BF vs LH Batters
WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08312 BF
Season.07963 BF
Last 2 Years.093301 BF
wOBA allowed.292
Hard-Hit %34%
Hits / BF vs RH Batters
WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.25024 BF
Season.126207 BF
Last 2 Years.1351054 BF
wOBA allowed.370
Hard-Hit %32%
Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.
Order · HitterMatchup
Context
Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 9-game hitting streak
Batter · Runs / PA vs LHP.110
WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08312 PA
Season.107103 PA
Last 2 Years.103368 PA
Last 5 GamesRuns
Jun 14@ SF0
Jun 15vs COL1
Jun 16vs COL1
Jun 17vs COL1
Jun 19vs TOR1
Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.103
WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08312 PA
Season.07963 PA
Last 2 Years.093301 PA
Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.098
WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.078217 PA
Season.1111193 PA
Last 2 Years.1073882 PA
Quality of Contact vs LHP
wOBA.338
Hard-Hit %32%
How well he's squaring up the ball.
Starter Allows · vs LHB
wOBA Allowed.312
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%
How hard hitters are squaring him up.
Head-to-Head2-for-4
Runs0 in 4 PA
Career Average.500
Plate Appearances4
HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 0
Projection
Projected Runs0.49
A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.
Context
Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Batter · Runs / PA vs LHP.119
WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.15413 PA
Season.10387 PA
Last 2 Years.124306 PA
Last 5 GamesRuns
Jun 14@ SF0
Jun 15vs COL0
Jun 16vs COL0
Jun 17vs COL1
Jun 19vs TOR1
Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.143
WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.25024 PA
Season.126207 PA
Last 2 Years.1351054 PA
Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.112
WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.112178 PA
Season.110976 PA
Last 2 Years.1093883 PA
Quality of Contact vs LHP
wOBA.325
Hard-Hit %33%
How well he's squaring up the ball.
Starter Allows · vs RHB
wOBA Allowed.363
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%
How hard hitters are squaring him up.
Head-to-Head1-for-9
Runs0 in 10 PA
Career Average.100
Plate Appearances10
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 1
Projection
Projected Runs0.572
A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.
Context
Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Batter · Runs / PA vs LHP.098
WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06316 PA
Season.07199 PA
Last 2 Years.101267 PA
Last 5 GamesRuns
Jun 14@ SF0
Jun 15vs COL0
Jun 16vs COL0
Jun 17vs COL0
Jun 19vs TOR0
Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.103
WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08312 PA
Season.07963 PA
Last 2 Years.093301 PA
Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.098
WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.078217 PA
Season.1111193 PA
Last 2 Years.1073882 PA
Quality of Contact vs LHP
wOBA.348
Hard-Hit %36%
How well he's squaring up the ball.
Starter Allows · vs LHB
wOBA Allowed.312
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%
How hard hitters are squaring him up.
Head-to-Head
No Prior Matchups—
Projection
Projected Runs0.443
A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.
Context
Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~2.8× / ~1.6×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Batter · Runs / PA vs LHP.126
WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.1258 PA
Season.16162 PA
Last 2 Years.114326 PA
Last 5 GamesRuns
Jun 13@ SF0
Jun 15vs COL1
Jun 16vs COL0
Jun 17vs COL1
Jun 19vs TOR2
Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.143
WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.25024 PA
Season.126207 PA
Last 2 Years.1351054 PA
Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.112
WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.112178 PA
Season.110976 PA
Last 2 Years.1093883 PA
Quality of Contact vs LHP
wOBA.364
Hard-Hit %33%
How well he's squaring up the ball.
Starter Allows · vs RHB
wOBA Allowed.363
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%
How hard hitters are squaring him up.
Head-to-Head6-for-12
Runs0 in 14 PA
Career Average.429
Plate Appearances14
HR · K · BB2 · 2 · 2
Projection
Projected Runs0.56
A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.
Context
Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Batter · Runs / PA vs LHP.126
WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.15413 PA
Season.13688 PA
Last 2 Years.120365 PA
Last 5 GamesRuns
Jun 14@ SF0
Jun 15vs COL1
Jun 16vs COL0
Jun 17vs COL1
Jun 19vs TOR3
Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.143
WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.25024 PA
Season.126207 PA
Last 2 Years.1351054 PA
Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.112
WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.112178 PA
Season.110976 PA
Last 2 Years.1093883 PA
Quality of Contact vs LHP
wOBA.291
Hard-Hit %31%
How well he's squaring up the ball.
Starter Allows · vs RHB
wOBA Allowed.363
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%
How hard hitters are squaring him up.
Head-to-Head6-for-19
Runs0 in 21 PA
Career Average.286
Plate Appearances21
HR · K · BB1 · 5 · 2
Projection
Projected Runs0.536
A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.
Context
Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Batter · Runs / PA vs LHP.126
WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.2005 PA
Season.12357 PA
Last 2 Years.150167 PA
Last 5 GamesRuns
Jun 13@ SF0
Jun 15vs COL1
Jun 16vs COL1
Jun 17vs COL1
Jun 19vs TOR2
Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.143
WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.25024 PA
Season.126207 PA
Last 2 Years.1351054 PA
Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.112
WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.112178 PA
Season.110976 PA
Last 2 Years.1093883 PA
Quality of Contact vs LHP
wOBA.338
Hard-Hit %30%
How well he's squaring up the ball.
Starter Allows · vs RHB
wOBA Allowed.363
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%
How hard hitters are squaring him up.
Head-to-Head0-for-1
Runs0 in 2 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 1
Projection
Projected Runs0.518
A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.
Context
Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Batter · Runs / PA vs LHP.120
WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.1258 PA
Season.11091 PA
Last 2 Years.149328 PA
Last 5 GamesRuns
Jun 13@ SF0
Jun 15vs COL0
Jun 16vs COL0
Jun 17vs COL1
Jun 19vs TOR1
Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.143
WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.25024 PA
Season.126207 PA
Last 2 Years.1351054 PA
Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.112
WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.112178 PA
Season.110976 PA
Last 2 Years.1093883 PA
Quality of Contact vs LHP
wOBA.317
Hard-Hit %30%
How well he's squaring up the ball.
Starter Allows · vs RHB
wOBA Allowed.363
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%
How hard hitters are squaring him up.
Head-to-Head5-for-14
Runs0 in 15 PA
Career Average.333
Plate Appearances15
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 1
Projection
Projected Runs0.495
A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.
Context
Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Batter · Runs / PA vs LHP.153
WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.5006 PA
Season.18869 PA
Last 2 Years.128219 PA
Last 5 GamesRuns
Jun 11@ COL1
Jun 12@ SF1
Jun 14@ SF0
Jun 17vs COL1
Jun 19vs TOR3
Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.143
WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.25024 PA
Season.126207 PA
Last 2 Years.1351054 PA
Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.112
WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.112178 PA
Season.110976 PA
Last 2 Years.1093883 PA
Quality of Contact vs LHP
wOBA.368
Hard-Hit %38%
How well he's squaring up the ball.
Starter Allows · vs RHB
wOBA Allowed.363
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%
How hard hitters are squaring him up.
Head-to-Head4-for-7
Runs0 in 9 PA
Career Average.444
Plate Appearances9
HR · K · BB1 · 0 · 2
Projection
Projected Runs0.548
A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.
Context
Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Batter · Runs / PA vs LHP.155
WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.4297 PA
Season.15982 PA
Last 2 Years.191294 PA
Last 5 GamesRuns
Jun 14@ SF1
Jun 15vs COL0
Jun 16vs COL0
Jun 17vs COL1
Jun 19vs TOR2
Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.143
WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.25024 PA
Season.126207 PA
Last 2 Years.1351054 PA
Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.112
WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.112178 PA
Season.110976 PA
Last 2 Years.1093883 PA
Quality of Contact vs LHP
wOBA.309
Hard-Hit %31%
How well he's squaring up the ball.
Starter Allows · vs RHB
wOBA Allowed.363
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%
How hard hitters are squaring him up.
Head-to-Head12-for-43
Runs0 in 47 PA
Career Average.255
Plate Appearances47
HR · K · BB2 · 5 · 4
Projection
Projected Runs0.538
A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.