MatchWiz Plays
Runs · Sunday, June 21, 2026

BOS @ SEA Runs matchups · Sunday, June 21, 2026

BOS
BOS
Boston Red Sox
vs
4:10 PM EDT
SEA
Seattle Mariners
SEA
T-Mobile ParkElevation 10 ftCenter Field 405 ft

BOS BOS Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from BOS's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07128 BF
Season.099192 BF
Last 2 Years.103653 BF
wOBA allowed.290
Hard-Hit %37%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00020 BF
Season.091154 BF
Last 2 Years.105657 BF
wOBA allowed.302
Hard-Hit %42%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.103

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03132 PA
Season.12886 PA
Last 2 Years.123179 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 13vs TEX0
Jun 16vs TOR0
Jun 17vs TOR0
Jun 18vs TOR0
Jun 19@ SEA0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.102

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07128 PA
Season.099192 PA
Last 2 Years.103653 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.129

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.156205 PA
Season.1121053 PA
Last 2 Years.1033877 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.304
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.259
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.499

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.113

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.13238 PA
Season.092206 PA
Last 2 Years.114852 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 14vs TEX0
Jun 16vs TOR0
Jun 17vs TOR0
Jun 18vs TOR1
Jun 19@ SEA1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.092

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA
Season.091154 PA
Last 2 Years.105657 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.101

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.090145 PA
Season.104897 PA
Last 2 Years.1043934 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.321
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.308
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head3-for-6

Runs0 in 6 PA
Career Average.500
Plate Appearances6
HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 0

Projection

Projected Runs0.472

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.100

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08336 PA
Season.078217 PA
Last 2 Years.121785 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 16vs TOR0
Jun 17vs TOR0
Jun 18vs TOR0
Jun 19@ SEA0
Jun 20@ SEA2

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.102

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07128 PA
Season.099192 PA
Last 2 Years.103653 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.129

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.156205 PA
Season.1121053 PA
Last 2 Years.1033877 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.314
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.259
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-5

Runs0 in 5 PA
Career Average.200
Plate Appearances5
HR · K · BB0 · 3 · 0

Projection

Projected Runs0.468

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.119

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.14641 PA
Season.101218 PA
Last 2 Years.118805 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 16vs TOR0
Jun 17vs TOR0
Jun 18vs TOR0
Jun 19@ SEA1
Jun 20@ SEA1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.092

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA
Season.091154 PA
Last 2 Years.105657 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.101

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.090145 PA
Season.104897 PA
Last 2 Years.1043934 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.372
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.308
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Runs0 in 3 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Runs0.465

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.107

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05934 PA
Season.112223 PA
Last 2 Years.141983 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 16vs TOR1
Jun 17vs TOR0
Jun 18vs TOR0
Jun 19@ SEA1
Jun 20@ SEA1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.102

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07128 PA
Season.099192 PA
Last 2 Years.103653 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.129

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.156205 PA
Season.1121053 PA
Last 2 Years.1033877 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.302
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.259
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head3-for-10

Runs0 in 11 PA
Career Average.273
Plate Appearances11
HR · K · BB1 · 4 · 1

Projection

Projected Runs0.461

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2.2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.114

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.12532 PA
Season.103174 PA
Last 2 Years.112547 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 14vs TEX1
Jun 16vs TOR0
Jun 18vs TOR1
Jun 19@ SEA3
Jun 20@ SEA0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.092

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA
Season.091154 PA
Last 2 Years.105657 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.101

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.090145 PA
Season.104897 PA
Last 2 Years.1043934 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.274
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.308
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Runs0 in 2 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Runs0.431

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.091

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03826 PA
Season.078193 PA
Last 2 Years.106302 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 14vs TEX0
Jun 16vs TOR0
Jun 17vs TOR0
Jun 19@ SEA0
Jun 20@ SEA0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.102

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07128 PA
Season.099192 PA
Last 2 Years.103653 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.129

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.156205 PA
Season.1121053 PA
Last 2 Years.1033877 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.279
Hard-Hit %27%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.259
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Runs0 in 2 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Runs0.413

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.098

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0008 PA
Season.083109 PA
Last 2 Years.099434 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 8@ TB0
Jun 13vs TEX1
Jun 14vs TEX0
Jun 19@ SEA0
Jun 20@ SEA0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.092

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA
Season.091154 PA
Last 2 Years.105657 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.101

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.090145 PA
Season.104897 PA
Last 2 Years.1043934 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.284
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.308
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Runs0 in 2 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Runs0.379

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.089

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00010 PA
Season.04567 PA
Last 2 Years.085211 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 14vs TEX0
Jun 17vs TOR0
Jun 18vs TOR0
Jun 19@ SEA0
Jun 20@ SEA0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.092

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA
Season.091154 PA
Last 2 Years.105657 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.101

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.090145 PA
Season.104897 PA
Last 2 Years.1043934 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.281
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.308
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.351

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

SEA SEA Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from SEA's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.23113 BF
Season.12365 BF
Last 2 Years.12580 BF
wOBA allowed.299
Hard-Hit %21%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.11136 BF
Season.088171 BF
Last 2 Years.109230 BF
wOBA allowed.265
Hard-Hit %33%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 4 games since a hit

Batter · Runs / PA vs LHP.109

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10010 PA
Season.08384 PA
Last 2 Years.122302 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 13@ WSH0
Jun 16vs BAL0
Jun 17vs BAL0
Jun 19vs BOS0
Jun 20vs BOS0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.107

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.11136 PA
Season.088171 PA
Last 2 Years.109230 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.093

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.082182 PA
Season.091883 PA
Last 2 Years.1033354 PA

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.312
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.313
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.49

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs LHP.105

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0001 PA
Season.03852 PA
Last 2 Years.144362 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 16vs BAL0
Jun 17vs BAL0
Jun 18vs BAL0
Jun 19vs BOS1
Jun 20vs BOS0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.107

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.11136 PA
Season.088171 PA
Last 2 Years.109230 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.093

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.082182 PA
Season.091883 PA
Last 2 Years.1033354 PA

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.308
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.313
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.472

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs LHP.119

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA
Season.14583 PA
Last 2 Years.158349 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 14@ WSH0
Jun 16vs BAL0
Jun 17vs BAL1
Jun 19vs BOS1
Jun 20vs BOS0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.107

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.11136 PA
Season.088171 PA
Last 2 Years.109230 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.093

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.082182 PA
Season.091883 PA
Last 2 Years.1033354 PA

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.334
Hard-Hit %40%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.313
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.493

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs LHP.112

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.16712 PA
Season.08681 PA
Last 2 Years.094361 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 13@ WSH0
Jun 14@ WSH0
Jun 18vs BAL1
Jun 19vs BOS0
Jun 20vs BOS0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.131

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.23113 PA
Season.12365 PA
Last 2 Years.12580 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.110

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.120117 PA
Season.099514 PA
Last 2 Years.0982092 PA

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.333
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.323
Hard-Hit % Allowed29%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.514

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Batter · Runs / PA vs LHP.094

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0006 PA
Season.00017 PA
Last 2 Years.05690 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 16vs BAL0
Jun 17vs BAL1
Jun 18vs BAL1
Jun 19vs BOS0
Jun 20vs BOS0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.131

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.23113 PA
Season.12365 PA
Last 2 Years.12580 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.110

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.120117 PA
Season.099514 PA
Last 2 Years.0982092 PA

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.328
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.323
Hard-Hit % Allowed29%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.465

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2.8× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · Runs / PA vs LHP.099

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10010 PA
Season.06789 PA
Last 2 Years.064156 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 16vs BAL0
Jun 17vs BAL1
Jun 18vs BAL1
Jun 19vs BOS0
Jun 20vs BOS0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.131

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.23113 PA
Season.12365 PA
Last 2 Years.12580 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.110

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.120117 PA
Season.099514 PA
Last 2 Years.0982092 PA

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.299
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.323
Hard-Hit % Allowed29%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.456

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs LHP.115

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.1676 PA
Season.08025 PA
Last 2 Years.115157 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 14@ WSH0
Jun 16vs BAL1
Jun 17vs BAL0
Jun 18vs BAL0
Jun 19vs BOS0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.107

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.11136 PA
Season.088171 PA
Last 2 Years.109230 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.093

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.082182 PA
Season.091883 PA
Last 2 Years.1033354 PA

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.293
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.313
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.43

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · Runs / PA vs LHP.119

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.1676 PA
Season.11526 PA
Last 2 Years.11526 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 16vs BAL1
Jun 17vs BAL0
Jun 18vs BAL0
Jun 19vs BOS0
Jun 20vs BOS0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.131

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.23113 PA
Season.12365 PA
Last 2 Years.12580 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.110

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.120117 PA
Season.099514 PA
Last 2 Years.0982092 PA

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.303
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.323
Hard-Hit % Allowed29%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.468

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 6 games since a hit

Batter · Runs / PA vs LHP.123

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season.12532 PA
Last 2 Years.135163 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

May 24vs DET0
May 25vs TB0
May 27vs TB0
May 28vs TOR0
Jun 19vs BOS0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.107

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.11136 PA
Season.088171 PA
Last 2 Years.109230 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.093

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.082182 PA
Season.091883 PA
Last 2 Years.1033354 PA

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.322
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.313
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.424

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.