MatchWiz Plays
Runs · Sunday, June 21, 2026

STL @ KC Runs matchups · Sunday, June 21, 2026

STL
STL
St. Louis Cardinals
vs
2:10 PM EDT
KC
Kansas City Royals
KC
Kauffman StadiumElevation 856 ftCenter Field 410 ft

STL STL Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from STL's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00020 BF
Season.036110 BF
Last 2 Years.096397 BF
wOBA allowed.243
Hard-Hit %28%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06929 BF
Season.15988 BF
Last 2 Years.120324 BF
wOBA allowed.310
Hard-Hit %38%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.141

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.12931 PA
Season.171210 PA
Last 2 Years.171210 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 15vs SD0
Jun 16vs SD0
Jun 17vs SD0
Jun 18@ KC1
Jun 19@ KC0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.078

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA
Season.036110 PA
Last 2 Years.096397 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.127

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.149174 PA
Season.1191006 PA
Last 2 Years.0953120 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.333
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.289
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Runs0 in 3 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 1

Projection

Projected Runs0.55

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.149

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.22041 PA
Season.140236 PA
Last 2 Years.132613 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 15vs SD1
Jun 16vs SD1
Jun 17vs SD0
Jun 18@ KC1
Jun 19@ KC1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.118

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06929 PA
Season.15988 PA
Last 2 Years.120324 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.122

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.135222 PA
Season.116994 PA
Last 2 Years.1063445 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.344
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.306
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-5

Runs0 in 6 PA
Career Average.167
Plate Appearances6
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 1

Projection

Projected Runs0.61

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.160

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.28938 PA
Season.135222 PA
Last 2 Years.120932 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 15vs SD0
Jun 16vs SD0
Jun 17vs SD0
Jun 18@ KC0
Jun 19@ KC0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.078

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA
Season.036110 PA
Last 2 Years.096397 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.127

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.149174 PA
Season.1191006 PA
Last 2 Years.0953120 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.415
Hard-Hit %42%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.289
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-6

Runs0 in 6 PA
Career Average.333
Plate Appearances6
HR · K · BB1 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Runs0.565

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.104

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04643 PA
Season.136235 PA
Last 2 Years.105602 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 15vs SD0
Jun 16vs SD0
Jun 17vs SD0
Jun 18@ KC0
Jun 19@ KC0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.118

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06929 PA
Season.15988 PA
Last 2 Years.120324 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.122

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.135222 PA
Season.116994 PA
Last 2 Years.1063445 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.329
Hard-Hit %39%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.306
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-5

Runs0 in 6 PA
Career Average.167
Plate Appearances6
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 1

Projection

Projected Runs0.487

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.131

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.15040 PA
Season.15040 PA
Last 2 Years.124627 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 14@ MIN0
Jun 15vs SD1
Jun 16vs SD1
Jun 17vs SD0
Jun 19@ KC1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.078

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA
Season.036110 PA
Last 2 Years.096397 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.127

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.149174 PA
Season.1191006 PA
Last 2 Years.0953120 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.328
Hard-Hit %39%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.289
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.474

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 5-game hitting streak

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.121

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.14335 PA
Season.102206 PA
Last 2 Years.135864 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 15vs SD1
Jun 16vs SD0
Jun 17vs SD0
Jun 18@ KC2
Jun 19@ KC1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.118

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06929 PA
Season.15988 PA
Last 2 Years.120324 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.122

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.135222 PA
Season.116994 PA
Last 2 Years.1063445 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.295
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.306
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head3-for-6

Runs0 in 7 PA
Career Average.429
Plate Appearances7
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Runs0.492

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2.1× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 4 games since a hit

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.096

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08025 PA
Season.06133 PA
Last 2 Years.04271 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 15vs SD0
Jun 16vs SD0
Jun 17vs SD0
Jun 18@ KC0
Jun 19@ KC0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.078

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA
Season.036110 PA
Last 2 Years.096397 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.127

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.149174 PA
Season.1191006 PA
Last 2 Years.0953120 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.294
Hard-Hit %39%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.289
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.396

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 15vs SD0
Jun 16vs SD1
Jun 17vs SD0
Jun 18@ KC2
Jun 19@ KC0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.118

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06929 PA
Season.15988 PA
Last 2 Years.120324 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.122

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.135222 PA
Season.116994 PA
Last 2 Years.1063445 PA

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.306
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.462

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.119

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.13622 PA
Season.111144 PA
Last 2 Years.123195 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 14@ MIN1
Jun 15vs SD0
Jun 16vs SD0
Jun 17vs SD1
Jun 19@ KC1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.078

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA
Season.036110 PA
Last 2 Years.096397 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.127

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.149174 PA
Season.1191006 PA
Last 2 Years.0953120 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.336
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.289
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Runs0 in 2 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Runs0.419

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

KC KC Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from KC's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00027 BF
Season.108203 BF
Last 2 Years.125537 BF
wOBA allowed.331
Hard-Hit %36%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00023 BF
Season.119126 BF
Last 2 Years.128376 BF
wOBA allowed.224
Hard-Hit %36%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 11-game hitting streak

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.143

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.20539 PA
Season.128196 PA
Last 2 Years.143251 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 14vs HOU1
Jun 15@ WSH0
Jun 17@ WSH1
Jun 18vs STL2
Jun 19vs STL0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.095

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00027 PA
Season.108203 PA
Last 2 Years.125537 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.122

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.125152 PA
Season.1201055 PA
Last 2 Years.1232982 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.329
Hard-Hit %39%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.295
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-3

Runs0 in 3 PA
Career Average.667
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Runs0.575

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 5-game hitting streak

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.132

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.22227 PA
Season.10595 PA
Last 2 Years.109448 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 15@ WSH0
Jun 16@ WSH2
Jun 17@ WSH1
Jun 18vs STL1
Jun 19vs STL1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.101

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA
Season.119126 PA
Last 2 Years.128376 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.132

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.158209 PA
Season.1131172 PA
Last 2 Years.1193933 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.338
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.257
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.553

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.139

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.21932 PA
Season.129186 PA
Last 2 Years.108351 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 15@ WSH1
Jun 16@ WSH0
Jun 17@ WSH0
Jun 18vs STL1
Jun 19vs STL2

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.095

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00027 PA
Season.108203 PA
Last 2 Years.125537 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.122

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.125152 PA
Season.1201055 PA
Last 2 Years.1232982 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.352
Hard-Hit %43%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.295
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-4

Runs0 in 5 PA
Career Average.200
Plate Appearances5
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 1

Projection

Projected Runs0.541

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.092

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06133 PA
Season.083218 PA
Last 2 Years.090991 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 15@ WSH0
Jun 16@ WSH0
Jun 17@ WSH0
Jun 18vs STL2
Jun 19vs STL0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.101

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA
Season.119126 PA
Last 2 Years.128376 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.132

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.158209 PA
Season.1131172 PA
Last 2 Years.1193933 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.268
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.257
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-7

Runs0 in 7 PA
Career Average.286
Plate Appearances7
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Runs0.44

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.108

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08834 PA
Season.113142 PA
Last 2 Years.102578 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 14vs HOU0
Jun 16@ WSH0
Jun 17@ WSH1
Jun 18vs STL1
Jun 19vs STL1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.095

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00027 PA
Season.108203 PA
Last 2 Years.125537 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.122

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.125152 PA
Season.1201055 PA
Last 2 Years.1232982 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.322
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.295
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-3

Runs0 in 3 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Runs0.449

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.110

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05319 PA
Season.13965 PA
Last 2 Years.101237 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 15@ WSH0
Jun 16@ WSH0
Jun 17@ WSH0
Jun 18vs STL0
Jun 19vs STL1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.101

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA
Season.119126 PA
Last 2 Years.128376 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.132

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.158209 PA
Season.1131172 PA
Last 2 Years.1193933 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.332
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.257
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.45

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2.2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.126

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.3333 PA
Season.3333 PA
Last 2 Years.103155 PA

Last 2 GamesRuns

Jun 17@ WSH2
Jun 19vs STL1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.095

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00027 PA
Season.108203 PA
Last 2 Years.125537 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.122

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.125152 PA
Season.1201055 PA
Last 2 Years.1232982 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.342
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.295
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-3

Runs0 in 4 PA
Career Average.250
Plate Appearances4
HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 1

Projection

Projected Runs0.467

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.101

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05934 PA
Season.099171 PA
Last 2 Years.120474 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 15@ WSH0
Jun 16@ WSH0
Jun 17@ WSH1
Jun 18vs STL2
Jun 19vs STL0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.095

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00027 PA
Season.108203 PA
Last 2 Years.125537 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.122

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.125152 PA
Season.1201055 PA
Last 2 Years.1232982 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.321
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.295
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-1

Runs0 in 3 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 1

Projection

Projected Runs0.408

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.198

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.7504 PA
Season.7508 PA
Last 2 Years.60030 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 7@ MIN0
Jun 10vs TEX0
Jun 16@ WSH1
Jun 18vs STL1
Jun 19vs STL0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.101

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA
Season.119126 PA
Last 2 Years.128376 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.132

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.158209 PA
Season.1131172 PA
Last 2 Years.1193933 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.322
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.257
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.596

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.