MatchWiz Plays
Runs · Sunday, June 21, 2026

PIT @ COL Runs matchups · Sunday, June 21, 2026

PIT
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
vs
3:10 PM EDT
COL
Colorado Rockies
COL
Coors FieldElevation 5,190 ftCenter Field 415 ft

PIT PIT Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from PIT's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09521 BF
Season.186161 BF
Last 2 Years.138595 BF
wOBA allowed.505
Hard-Hit %47%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00020 BF
Season.177181 BF
Last 2 Years.134626 BF
wOBA allowed.323
Hard-Hit %39%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkHitter-friendly
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.121

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.11643 PA
Season.123228 PA
Last 2 Years.134861 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 15@ ATH0
Jun 16@ ATH1
Jun 17@ ATH3
Jun 19@ COL1
Jun 20@ COL1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.135

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09521 PA
Season.186161 PA
Last 2 Years.138595 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.153

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.174167 PA
Season.150765 PA
Last 2 Years.1372737 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.355
Hard-Hit %29%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.386
Hard-Hit % Allowed41%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-4

Runs0 in 4 PA
Career Average.250
Plate Appearances4
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Runs0.646

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkHitter-friendly
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 5-game hitting streak

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.138

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.12839 PA
Season.165218 PA
Last 2 Years.151885 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 15@ ATH0
Jun 16@ ATH1
Jun 17@ ATH2
Jun 19@ COL0
Jun 20@ COL0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.135

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09521 PA
Season.186161 PA
Last 2 Years.138595 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.153

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.174167 PA
Season.150765 PA
Last 2 Years.1372737 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.356
Hard-Hit %39%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.386
Hard-Hit % Allowed41%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head3-for-10

Runs0 in 12 PA
Career Average.250
Plate Appearances12
HR · K · BB1 · 4 · 2

Projection

Projected Runs0.673

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkHitter-friendly
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 11-game hitting streak

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.142

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.17939 PA
Season.154220 PA
Last 2 Years.125971 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 15@ ATH0
Jun 16@ ATH3
Jun 17@ ATH1
Jun 19@ COL0
Jun 20@ COL0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.135

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09521 PA
Season.186161 PA
Last 2 Years.138595 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.153

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.174167 PA
Season.150765 PA
Last 2 Years.1372737 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.362
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.386
Hard-Hit % Allowed41%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-14

Runs0 in 18 PA
Career Average.111
Plate Appearances18
HR · K · BB0 · 4 · 4

Projection

Projected Runs0.668

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkHitter-friendly
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.107

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05338 PA
Season.129179 PA
Last 2 Years.119870 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 15@ ATH0
Jun 16@ ATH1
Jun 17@ ATH1
Jun 19@ COL0
Jun 20@ COL0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.135

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09521 PA
Season.186161 PA
Last 2 Years.138595 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.153

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.174167 PA
Season.150765 PA
Last 2 Years.1372737 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.336
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.386
Hard-Hit % Allowed41%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-7

Runs0 in 8 PA
Career Average.125
Plate Appearances8
HR · K · BB1 · 3 · 1

Projection

Projected Runs0.57

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2.5× / ~1.7×
BallparkHitter-friendly
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.115

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10040 PA
Season.127197 PA
Last 2 Years.110698 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 15@ ATH1
Jun 16@ ATH0
Jun 17@ ATH0
Jun 19@ COL0
Jun 20@ COL0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.119

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA
Season.177181 PA
Last 2 Years.134626 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.149

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.174178 PA
Season.1411023 PA
Last 2 Years.1313664 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.293
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.307
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-2

Runs0 in 3 PA
Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 1

Projection

Projected Runs0.555

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkHitter-friendly
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.129

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.15632 PA
Season.14335 PA
Last 2 Years.12241 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 15@ ATH0
Jun 16@ ATH0
Jun 17@ ATH0
Jun 19@ COL0
Jun 20@ COL0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.135

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09521 PA
Season.186161 PA
Last 2 Years.138595 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.153

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.174167 PA
Season.150765 PA
Last 2 Years.1372737 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.357
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.386
Hard-Hit % Allowed41%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.593

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkHitter-friendly
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 6-game hitting streak

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.103

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07938 PA
Season.104125 PA
Last 2 Years.101416 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 14vs MIA0
Jun 15@ ATH0
Jun 16@ ATH0
Jun 17@ ATH1
Jun 20@ COL0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.135

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09521 PA
Season.186161 PA
Last 2 Years.138595 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.153

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.174167 PA
Season.150765 PA
Last 2 Years.1372737 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.333
Hard-Hit %25%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.386
Hard-Hit % Allowed41%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-3

Runs0 in 3 PA
Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Runs0.524

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkHitter-friendly
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.105

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.11834 PA
Season.078102 PA
Last 2 Years.097516 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 14vs MIA0
Jun 16@ ATH0
Jun 17@ ATH2
Jun 19@ COL1
Jun 20@ COL0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.119

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA
Season.177181 PA
Last 2 Years.134626 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.149

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.174178 PA
Season.1411023 PA
Last 2 Years.1313664 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.286
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.307
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-1

Runs0 in 1 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances1
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Runs0.494

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkHitter-friendly
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.108

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10010 PA
Season.103117 PA
Last 2 Years.085352 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 7@ ATL0
Jun 9vs LAD0
Jun 14vs MIA0
Jun 17@ ATH1
Jun 20@ COL0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.119

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA
Season.177181 PA
Last 2 Years.134626 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.149

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.174178 PA
Season.1411023 PA
Last 2 Years.1313664 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.287
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.307
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Runs0 in 2 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Runs0.486

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

COL COL Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from COL's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.23330 BF
Season.27344 BF
Last 2 Years.167132 BF
wOBA allowed.553
Hard-Hit %52%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00027 BF
Season.00034 BF
Last 2 Years.102127 BF
wOBA allowed.178
Hard-Hit %17%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkHitter-friendly
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 9-game hitting streak

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.125

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.13023 PA
Season.133166 PA
Last 2 Years.128548 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 15@ CHC0
Jun 16@ CHC1
Jun 17@ CHC1
Jun 19vs PIT0
Jun 20vs PIT2

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.170

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.23330 PA
Season.27344 PA
Last 2 Years.167132 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.131

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.135223 PA
Season.1371262 PA
Last 2 Years.1173546 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.328
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.400
Hard-Hit % Allowed41%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.692

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkHitter-friendly
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.134

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.16724 PA
Season.139166 PA
Last 2 Years.135768 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 15@ CHC0
Jun 16@ CHC1
Jun 17@ CHC0
Jun 19vs PIT0
Jun 20vs PIT0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.170

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.23330 PA
Season.27344 PA
Last 2 Years.167132 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.131

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.135223 PA
Season.1371262 PA
Last 2 Years.1173546 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.343
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.400
Hard-Hit % Allowed41%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-1

Runs0 in 2 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 1

Projection

Projected Runs0.699

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkHitter-friendly
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.131

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.16131 PA
Season.131214 PA
Last 2 Years.131214 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 15@ CHC0
Jun 16@ CHC1
Jun 17@ CHC0
Jun 19vs PIT1
Jun 20vs PIT0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.170

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.23330 PA
Season.27344 PA
Last 2 Years.167132 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.131

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.135223 PA
Season.1371262 PA
Last 2 Years.1173546 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.358
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.400
Hard-Hit % Allowed41%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.68

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~2.4× / ~1.9×
BallparkHitter-friendly
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.145

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.18832 PA
Season.167204 PA
Last 2 Years.118720 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 15@ CHC1
Jun 16@ CHC0
Jun 17@ CHC1
Jun 19vs PIT0
Jun 20vs PIT0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.078

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00027 PA
Season.00034 PA
Last 2 Years.102127 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.106

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.124178 PA
Season.0891160 PA
Last 2 Years.0913729 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.356
Hard-Hit %40%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.275
Hard-Hit % Allowed27%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-2

Runs0 in 2 PA
Career Average1.000
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB1 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Runs0.543

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.2×
BallparkHitter-friendly
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.128

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.14827 PA
Season.134202 PA
Last 2 Years.121315 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 13@ ATH0
Jun 14@ ATH3
Jun 15@ CHC0
Jun 16@ CHC0
Jun 20vs PIT0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.170

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.23330 PA
Season.27344 PA
Last 2 Years.167132 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.131

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.135223 PA
Season.1371262 PA
Last 2 Years.1173546 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.355
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.400
Hard-Hit % Allowed41%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.623

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkHitter-friendly
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 15@ CHC1
Jun 16@ CHC0
Jun 17@ CHC0
Jun 19vs PIT1
Jun 20vs PIT0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.170

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.23330 PA
Season.27344 PA
Last 2 Years.167132 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.131

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.135223 PA
Season.1371262 PA
Last 2 Years.1173546 PA

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.400
Hard-Hit % Allowed41%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.58

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkHitter-friendly
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.113

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.11526 PA
Season.115183 PA
Last 2 Years.095444 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 13@ ATH1
Jun 15@ CHC0
Jun 16@ CHC0
Jun 17@ CHC0
Jun 20vs PIT0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.170

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.23330 PA
Season.27344 PA
Last 2 Years.167132 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.131

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.135223 PA
Season.1371262 PA
Last 2 Years.1173546 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.301
Hard-Hit %46%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.400
Hard-Hit % Allowed41%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.558

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkHitter-friendly
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.109

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.12025 PA
Season.090199 PA
Last 2 Years.108759 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 15@ CHC0
Jun 16@ CHC1
Jun 17@ CHC0
Jun 19vs PIT1
Jun 20vs PIT0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.078

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00027 PA
Season.00034 PA
Last 2 Years.102127 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.106

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.124178 PA
Season.0891160 PA
Last 2 Years.0913729 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.289
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.275
Hard-Hit % Allowed27%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-6

Runs0 in 6 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances6
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Runs0.415

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkHitter-friendly
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 13@ ATH1
Jun 14@ ATH0
Jun 17@ CHC2
Jun 19vs PIT0
Jun 20vs PIT0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.170

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.23330 PA
Season.27344 PA
Last 2 Years.167132 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.131

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.135223 PA
Season.1371262 PA
Last 2 Years.1173546 PA

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.400
Hard-Hit % Allowed41%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.54

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.