MatchWiz Plays
Runs · Sunday, June 21, 2026

LAA @ ATH Runs matchups · Sunday, June 21, 2026

LAA
LAA
Los Angeles Angels
vs
4:05 PM EDT
ATH
Athletics
ATH
Sutter Health ParkElevation 24 ftCenter Field 403 ft

LAA LAA Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from LAA's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06531 BF
Season.11397 BF
Last 2 Years.128180 BF
wOBA allowed.292
Hard-Hit %33%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.30030 BF
Season.21389 BF
Last 2 Years.150167 BF
wOBA allowed.375
Hard-Hit %32%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.139

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.15246 PA
Season.154247 PA
Last 2 Years.138962 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 16@ AZ2
Jun 17@ AZ1
Jun 18@ ATH0
Jun 19@ ATH1
Jun 20@ ATH1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.177

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.30030 PA
Season.21389 PA
Last 2 Years.150167 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.115

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.119219 PA
Season.1141040 PA
Last 2 Years.1093445 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.321
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.355
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-4

Runs0 in 4 PA
Career Average.500
Plate Appearances4
HR · K · BB1 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Runs0.653

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.110

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.13023 PA
Season.086175 PA
Last 2 Years.114871 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 14vs TB0
Jun 15@ AZ0
Jun 16@ AZ0
Jun 19@ ATH2
Jun 20@ ATH0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.107

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06531 PA
Season.11397 PA
Last 2 Years.128180 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.152

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.198202 PA
Season.123880 PA
Last 2 Years.1242388 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.321
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.325
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-4

Runs0 in 4 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances4
HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 0

Projection

Projected Runs0.552

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.150

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.30040 PA
Season.098225 PA
Last 2 Years.100878 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 16@ AZ1
Jun 17@ AZ0
Jun 18@ ATH0
Jun 19@ ATH1
Jun 20@ ATH1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.177

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.30030 PA
Season.21389 PA
Last 2 Years.150167 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.115

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.119219 PA
Season.1141040 PA
Last 2 Years.1093445 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.314
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.355
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-3

Runs0 in 3 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Runs0.651

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.076

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00029 PA
Season.061147 PA
Last 2 Years.078333 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 14vs TB0
Jun 15@ AZ0
Jun 17@ AZ0
Jun 18@ ATH0
Jun 19@ ATH2

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.177

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.30030 PA
Season.21389 PA
Last 2 Years.150167 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.115

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.119219 PA
Season.1141040 PA
Last 2 Years.1093445 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.274
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.355
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-0

Runs0 in 1 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances1
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Runs0.477

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.103

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.099142 PA

Last 2 GamesRuns

Jun 18@ ATH0
Jun 19@ ATH0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.177

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.30030 PA
Season.21389 PA
Last 2 Years.150167 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.115

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.119219 PA
Season.1141040 PA
Last 2 Years.1093445 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.282
Hard-Hit %27%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.355
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Runs0 in 2 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Runs0.526

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.112

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10728 PA
Season.10728 PA
Last 2 Years.09563 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 16@ AZ2
Jun 17@ AZ0
Jun 18@ ATH0
Jun 19@ ATH1
Jun 20@ ATH1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.177

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.30030 PA
Season.21389 PA
Last 2 Years.150167 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.115

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.119219 PA
Season.1141040 PA
Last 2 Years.1093445 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.309
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.355
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.528

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.103

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07726 PA
Season.105124 PA
Last 2 Years.089731 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 13vs TB0
Jun 15@ AZ0
Jun 16@ AZ1
Jun 18@ ATH0
Jun 19@ ATH2

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.177

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.30030 PA
Season.21389 PA
Last 2 Years.150167 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.115

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.119219 PA
Season.1141040 PA
Last 2 Years.1093445 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.330
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.355
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-1

Runs0 in 1 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances1
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Runs0.498

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.133

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.15632 PA
Season.14569 PA
Last 2 Years.14569 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 16@ AZ0
Jun 17@ AZ0
Jun 18@ ATH0
Jun 19@ ATH1
Jun 20@ ATH1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.107

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06531 PA
Season.11397 PA
Last 2 Years.128180 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.152

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.198202 PA
Season.123880 PA
Last 2 Years.1242388 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.338
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.325
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.511

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~1.2× / ~2.6×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.141

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.15020 PA
Season.23534 PA
Last 2 Years.135244 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 16@ AZ0
Jun 17@ AZ0
Jun 18@ ATH0
Jun 19@ ATH1
Jun 20@ ATH1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.177

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.30030 PA
Season.21389 PA
Last 2 Years.150167 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.115

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.119219 PA
Season.1141040 PA
Last 2 Years.1093445 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.343
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.355
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.522

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

ATH ATH Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from ATH's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00016 BF
Season.09991 BF
Last 2 Years.120200 BF
wOBA allowed.234
Hard-Hit %27%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02051 BF
Season.114264 BF
Last 2 Years.123535 BF
wOBA allowed.266
Hard-Hit %32%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 23-game hitting streak

Batter · Runs / PA vs LHP.139

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.25016 PA
Season.15857 PA
Last 2 Years.099162 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 15vs PIT1
Jun 16vs PIT2
Jun 17vs PIT1
Jun 18vs LAA1
Jun 19vs LAA1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.092

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02051 PA
Season.114264 PA
Last 2 Years.123535 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.100

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.086174 PA
Season.103836 PA
Last 2 Years.1122255 PA

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.338
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.247
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-3

Runs0 in 3 PA
Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Runs0.543

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs LHP.131

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.17423 PA
Season.130108 PA
Last 2 Years.134261 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 16vs PIT1
Jun 17vs PIT1
Jun 18vs LAA1
Jun 19vs LAA0
Jun 20vs LAA0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.099

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00016 PA
Season.09991 PA
Last 2 Years.120200 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.122

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.137146 PA
Season.107793 PA
Last 2 Years.1241926 PA

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.343
Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.276
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-4

Runs0 in 6 PA
Career Average.333
Plate Appearances6
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 2

Projection

Projected Runs0.542

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs LHP.172

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.33318 PA
Season.22281 PA
Last 2 Years.148283 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 16vs PIT0
Jun 17vs PIT1
Jun 18vs LAA1
Jun 19vs LAA1
Jun 20vs LAA0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.092

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02051 PA
Season.114264 PA
Last 2 Years.123535 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.100

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.086174 PA
Season.103836 PA
Last 2 Years.1122255 PA

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.401
Hard-Hit %39%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.247
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-5

Runs0 in 5 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances5
HR · K · BB0 · 3 · 0

Projection

Projected Runs0.594

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs LHP.123

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.23517 PA
Season.08780 PA
Last 2 Years.099242 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 16vs PIT1
Jun 17vs PIT0
Jun 18vs LAA1
Jun 19vs LAA3
Jun 20vs LAA0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.099

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00016 PA
Season.09991 PA
Last 2 Years.120200 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.122

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.137146 PA
Season.107793 PA
Last 2 Years.1241926 PA

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.356
Hard-Hit %41%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.276
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-4

Runs0 in 4 PA
Career Average.250
Plate Appearances4
HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 0

Projection

Projected Runs0.5

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 7-game hitting streak

Batter · Runs / PA vs LHP.105

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0005 PA
Season.07752 PA
Last 2 Years.120191 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 16vs PIT1
Jun 17vs PIT0
Jun 18vs LAA1
Jun 19vs LAA1
Jun 20vs LAA0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.092

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02051 PA
Season.114264 PA
Last 2 Years.123535 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.100

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.086174 PA
Season.103836 PA
Last 2 Years.1122255 PA

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.308
Hard-Hit %29%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.247
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.424

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2.2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 4 games since a hit

Batter · Runs / PA vs LHP.114

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season.09111 PA
Last 2 Years.12516 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 14vs COL1
Jun 15vs PIT0
Jun 16vs PIT0
Jun 18vs LAA0
Jun 19vs LAA0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.099

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00016 PA
Season.09991 PA
Last 2 Years.120200 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.122

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.137146 PA
Season.107793 PA
Last 2 Years.1241926 PA

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.359
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.276
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.459

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs LHP.108

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0003 PA
Season.08336 PA
Last 2 Years.109230 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 15vs PIT2
Jun 16vs PIT0
Jun 17vs PIT0
Jun 19vs LAA4
Jun 20vs LAA0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.099

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00016 PA
Season.09991 PA
Last 2 Years.120200 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.122

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.137146 PA
Season.107793 PA
Last 2 Years.1241926 PA

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.300
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.276
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-3

Runs0 in 3 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 0

Projection

Projected Runs0.437

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs LHP.151

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.23821 PA
Season.19436 PA
Last 2 Years.19436 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 16vs PIT0
Jun 17vs PIT1
Jun 18vs LAA0
Jun 19vs LAA0
Jun 20vs LAA0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.092

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02051 PA
Season.114264 PA
Last 2 Years.123535 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.100

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.086174 PA
Season.103836 PA
Last 2 Years.1122255 PA

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.364
Hard-Hit %45%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.247
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-3

Runs0 in 3 PA
Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 0

Projection

Projected Runs0.482

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs LHP.105

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0004 PA
Season.09343 PA
Last 2 Years.084190 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 16vs PIT0
Jun 17vs PIT0
Jun 18vs LAA0
Jun 19vs LAA0
Jun 20vs LAA0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.099

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00016 PA
Season.09991 PA
Last 2 Years.120200 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.122

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.137146 PA
Season.107793 PA
Last 2 Years.1241926 PA

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.294
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.276
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-4

Runs0 in 4 PA
Career Average.250
Plate Appearances4
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Runs0.408

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.