Best MLB Stolen Bases Matchups — Saturday, June 20, 2026
Top stolen bases spot: Samad Taylor
Samad Taylor (SD) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Nathan Eovaldi. The righty is running at .129 SB/PA against righties this year — and .138 over the last two weeks, an elite bat that turns into a stolen base in about 6% of his trips. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.5 trips, so the volume's there. No real history against Nathan Eovaldi. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Jonny DeLuca (TB) (85) vs RHP Cade Cavalli: an elite bat at .050.
- Nasim Nuñez (WSH) (79) vs LHP Ian Seymour: an elite bat at .054, hot bat.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) (76) vs RHP Nathan Eovaldi: a high-volume bat at .043.
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa (BOS) (70) vs RHP Emerson Hancock: an elite bat at .047, hot bat.
- Zach Neto (LAA) (67) vs RHP J.T. Ginn: a high-volume bat at .038.
- Leody Taveras (BAL) (64) vs RHP Yoshinobu Yamamoto: a high-volume bat at .043.
- Jake McCarthy (COL) (63) vs RHP Paul Skenes: a high-volume bat at .033, hitter's park, hot bat.
Platoon edges to target
- Nasim Nuñez (WSH) — righty bat vs LHP, .125 against lefties this year.
- Leody Taveras (BAL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .054 against righties this year.
- Jake McCarthy (COL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .054 against righties this year.
- Taylor Walls (TB) — lefty bat vs RHP, .053 against righties this year.
- Chandler Simpson (TB) — lefty bat vs RHP, .066 against righties this year.
Where the running game runs today
Coors Field is playing as a real hitter's park today (+6% running-game park). Top bat there: Jake McCarthy (COL) at 63.
Lineup watch
252 of today's hitters are still on projected lineups, drawn from each team's last game. Batting order drives the score, so these flip the moment official lineups post — usually about two hours before first pitch. Anyone who doesn't make the official card gets flagged "Not starting" and drops to the bottom.
How to read these stolen bases matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's stolen bases per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.